Kai Moore

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[Bryant🐂🀄️ @bryantheden]

Everyone's arguing whether the US-Iran peace deal is real

Nobody's asking why @Polymarket is resolving a $343M market 4 days before the deal even gets signed

Let me walk you through what actually happened

First, the timeline the signing ceremony is scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland, the June 15 market is already sitting at 93% YES and flagged "In Review" they're paying out a permanent peace deal before the pen has touched paper

Next, the rules Polymarket's own resolution criteria explicitly say a temporary extension of the April 7 ceasefire does NOT qualify, the thing on the table is a "first stage" MoU mediated by Pakistan and Qatar
Iran's foreign minister called it "closer than ever," not signed, not permanent by their own written wording, this is not a YES

And now the part that explains everything, the money
$11.02M in cash on this market, $9.11M parked on YES vs $1.91M on NO, TVL splits $5.82M YES against $652K NO, market strength reads 97% YES, 10 wallets are sitting on $14.06M in combined YES PNL, the entire NO side holds exactly 1 profitable wallet and -$2.62M

So let's drop the act

This market got disputed twice and it's still grinding to YES, not because the rules say so, because the order book does

The oracle isn't reading the resolution criteria, it's reading the size of the bags pointed at YES

And these are the same people lining up a $POLY launch

You don't fix a captured oracle with a token, you fix it with an oracle that can't be bought

Right now this isn't the world's largest prediction market
it's the world's largest book where the house settles after seeing everyone's cards

[gemchanger @gemchange_ltd]

Polymarket Tools - No BS Guide

I've been trading on Polymarket for a while now. Tested every tool in the ecosystem. Most are mediocre. Some actually make money. Here's what matters when you're trying to profit from prediction markets. No fluff, only what gives you an edge.

Cut through the noise. Focus on execution. These are the tools that actually move your P&L.
* - means I personally use this

U just need them - Core Accounts:
* @Polymarket - The platform itself. Where your money goes.
* @PolymarketTrade - Track profitable traders. Copy smart, not blindly.
* @PolymarketIntel - News feed. Sleep on events, lose money.
* @PolymarketBuild - New tools drop here.

AI Assistance:
* @Munar_AI & @trypolyagent & @polytaleai - AI assistants for research, market analysis, and filtering noise. Pick one, save hours.
@polybroapp - Quantum signals. When it says fade - consider fading.
@polysimplr - If Polymarket's interface pisses you off, use this.
@tradefoxai - Best liquidity across platforms. Spreads matter.
@Ravenai_ - Meta-analysis. For those thinking three steps ahead.
@rainmakerdotfun - Specifically for sports betting.

Information Assistance - Data & Analytics:
* @PolymarketEco - Directory of all tools. Bookmark it.
* @layerhub & * @PolyAlertHub - Whale and smart money tracking. Know when they move.
* @pizzintwatch - Pentagon pizza orders predict military action. Works sometimes.
@poly_data & @markiumpro - Raw data. Do your own analysis.
* @Polysights - AI against revenge trading.
* @hashdive - "Smart Scores" = statistical edge. Check before big trades.
* @NevuaMarkets - Instant alerts. Set it up or miss opportunities.
* @polyfactual & @Polynoob_ - Weekly streams and complete guide. Free alpha for beginners.
@polyscope_ - Free monitoring dashboard.
@predictionindex & @Predictifybot & @MentionMetrix - Market aggregation beyond Polymarket. More opportunities.
@PredictFolio - Real-time portfolio tracking.

Terminals & Trading - Trading Assistance:
@ostium - Long/short TradFi assets onchain with leverage.
@fliprbot - Leverage for prediction markets. Careful, liquidations are real.
@tryokbet & @PolyxBot & @bankrbot - Telegram and Twitter bots. Trade when you're not at your desk.
@polymtrade & @polyswipe_app & @BetlyTrade - Mobile terminals. Trade from anywhere.
* @polyburg - Catches signals others miss. Contrarian positions.
@sportstensor - Collective intelligence for sports.
@StandDOTtrade & @auramoney - Advanced terminals. Everything in one place.

Best Communities - Talk Assistance:
* @zscdao - Real traders. Network here.
* @predictionarc - For beginners. Start here, Biggest Community, supported by Poly.

[Bitcoin @Bitcoin]

Perspective.

[James Seyffart @JSeyff]

NEW: Here is a list of all the filings and/or applications I'm tracking for Crypto ETPs here in the US. There are 92 line items in this spreadsheet. You will almost certainly have to squint and zoom to see but best I can do on here

[Crash @CrashiusClay69]

Treasury of $ASTER is almost bigger than the circulating market cap of Aster

and people really going to sell week 1

- before Binance listing
- no buybacks yet
- no DEX upgrades yet
- no L1 yet
- not even 25% of HYPE circulating market cap yet

Aster at 3B market cap
Hype at 16B market cap

Aster #36 coin in the world

Will be top 10-20 with some time

[Sirio Berati @heysirio_ai]

It is officially game OVER!

Wan Animate (fully open source) is definitely a SOTA model.

The fidelity of the image is like nothing I have seen so far.

The relight LoRA does a phenomenal job as well with enhancing environmental lighting & integration.

What’s missing?