@Reggie994509@G_Show00@sloprules "Over time the house has the advantage" then why does the house (20+ accounts over 10 sportsbooks) not continue to take my action by limiting my allowed stake to near pennies? surely if I have a negative expectancy they would continue to take my bets.
@Reggie994509@ShaunMille16384@sloprules There are tens of thousands of people who only rinse sportsbooks, myself included. Not everyone has 0 self control. It is exponentially easier to make hedge fund type returns taking a top down approach with regards to sports markets than it is to replicate them with trading.
@Reggie994509@G_Show00@sloprules There are market inefficiencies. Books will always post mistakes in pricing. As long as you aren't gambling based on gut/who you think is going to win you can achieve an edge over the house.
You are right in regards to 99% of people, but saying every1 has -ve ev is false.
@SuShiMiRoLLin1@ReverseJynxBets@NHarding97 @emptytesticles @sloprules@grok You bet a % of your funds per bet. The Kelly risk management model is a mathematically sound approach which brings the risk of ruin (losing it all) to near 0 provided your strategy involves knowing the true probability of an outcome/betting line which is very easily done.
@emptytesticles @sloprules Those are two completely different scenarios though? investing $100 over and over is introducing new capital, betting $100 is not.
A hundred $100 long positions will require $10,000 of capital.
A hundred $100 bets will require $100 of capital.
How do you not comprehend this.
@McGoose86@DataBasedBets@CompareTheNames Every profitable sports bettor thinks like this: If a coinflip just landed on heads 10 times in a row, and the winnings offered on heads is $90 profit for every $100 wagered, but Tails will win you $110, Tails is still the answer bcz ur getting +110 odds on a true 50% outcome.
@moimngr@DataBasedBets@CompareTheNames What part doesn't add up? Kashi p&l's are publicly available but keep coping because a dude makes more money than you clicking buttons
@TheVipe@DataBasedBets@CompareTheNames No they do that when a user is profitable and losing them money dumbass. Can't comprehend the mental gymnastics you had to perform for this reply lmfao
@MooseCandy1@OmqTyler_@EthanAz_ There are specific books that are included in the devig w/pre made live filters on their discord server, but yeah I'll give a hint and say that atleast 5+ books are included in the devig. Their tool has a 1 week free trial that you can get full access from.
@Staythecou54840@PicksOctagon@gneiffer07 You sound like an elderly man saying that he hates when health professionals say that smoking is bad for health because he's 80 and hasn't gotten cancer yet
@zackwithit@BookieBeats1@LacyBets Kalshi is legal in all states and is one of the best exchanges to bet into, and is supported by the software. If you aren't betting into Kalshi you are still able to leverage high limit exchanges as a sharp book alongside pinnacle, bookmaker, e.t.c. in a two way average calc.
@MattZylbert@EVtarded Maybe post your ROI % or unit return, posting win rate is meaningless. I easily make 7-10u betting each sunday slate pre-game and live and have no idea what my win loss record is, but get triple your yearly volume daily and have without a doubt have returned more units YOY