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[Allen Braden @allen_explains]

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The internet is bigger than Google shows you.

Most people never leave the first page.

[Simon Dedic @sjdedic]

Broke: buying $SOL because it’s Solana season.

Woke: buying the productive assets that are causing Solana season to happen.

[Ansem @blknoiz06]

@themoontography @mert like what

[nikshep @nikshepsvn]

rough current ranking of my conviction/upside in the popular coins:

1. VVV - perfect space/narrative -- AI, consumer, privacy, no censorship, growth just started, minds will be huge, team is crazy, the perfect and only retail available play to bet on model commoditization which is now pretty consensus across the industry (ie. companies will move to cheaper oss models vs all usage going to frontier) and <$1b for AI adjacent co w/ 3M+ users is insanely cheap -- tokenomics are strong and will get stronger over time imo

2. NEAR - brings usable privacy and omnichain app access to everyone (humans and agents) -- one stack to trade privately on polymarket, hyperliquid, do payroll via stablecoins and transforms crypto from a fragmented UX disaster to a usable ecosystem -- lots of AI / agent leaning tech (Near AI cloud which powers venice, ironclaw etc), super scalable and best team in entire space (insanely cheap at sub 2-3B valuation imo, seeing strong growth and making great progress towards deflation) -- overall super unique chain

3. HYPE - potential to change the entire finance industry -- decentralized everything exchange, HIP lets it expand and scale effortlessly -- amazing tokenomics (all fees get burned but higher valuation - 65B), getting noticed by wallstreet -- either will get more adoption or be contested by centralized players like kalshi depending on regulation

4. ZEC - deeply and purely crypto-native play, has strong team/attention and is different/better vs BTC in the sense that it has true privacy and quantum resistance, not bad bet at only 7.5B val for true privacy

5. XPL - bet on stablecoin adoption and tether wanting more control over their dominance, plasma one brings tokenomics (lock for benefits) -- young protocol in a large space at a good valuation but needs more value accrual to token ($1B)

6. WLD - KYC and agent identity will only become a bigger and bigger concern, has chance of mass adoption given its openai/sam altman connection but $6.2B valuation makes it higher risk/reward, most unproven of the lot, pretty bad tokenomics right now

[Sawyer Merritt @SawyerMerritt]

Tesla and SpaceX over the next few months:

• June 18: CRSP index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $4-7B in forced buying by passive funds.

• June 18: FTSE Russell index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $6-9B in forced buying by passive funds.

• June 26: MSCI index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $3-5B in forced buying by passive funds.

• End of June: HW3 Tesla owners get FSD V14 Light. Expect possible delays.

• July 2: Tesla Q2 vehicle and energy storage delivery report.

• July 6: NASDAQ 100 index inclusion for SpaceX. Triggers an estimated $8-12B in forced buying by passive funds.

• Late July: Tesla Q2 earnings call.

• Early-mid August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call, their first earnings call as a public company.

• 2 trading days after SpaceX's Q2 earnings released: 30% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 12% of all outstanding shares).

NOTE: Since only about 40% of all outstanding shares are eligible for early release lockups, that 30% above equates to 12% of all outstanding shares. Elon's shares, board member shares, and some others, are subject to an extended lockup of 366 days. Together, the shares subject to these extended lockup restrictions represent 60% of SpaceX's outstanding shares.

• August 21: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).

• September 10: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).

• September 25: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).

• September: Indexes rebalance. SpaceX will then have a higher weighting in those indexes due to an increase in the public float from insider shares being unlocked. Passive funds would likely need to purchase billions of dollars worth of additional shares to bring their holdings in line with the new index weight.

• October 2: Tesla Q3 vehicle and energy storage delivery report.

• October 12: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).

• October 26: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).

• Late October: Tesla Q3 earnings call.

• Early-mid November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.

• 2 trading days after SpaceX's Q3 earnings released: 28% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).

• December 9: 7% of eligible insider shares unlock (equates to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).

• December: Indexes rebalance again. SpaceX will then have an even higher weighting in those indexes due to an increase in the public float from insider shares being unlocked. Passive funds would likely need to purchase billions of dollars worth of additional shares to bring their holdings in line with the new index weight.

(The Cursor acquisition will likely affect these lockup percentages slightly)

[Ansem @blknoiz06]

pretty significant spot here for bitcoin, retesting key weekly resistance level from this range around 65-66k, not looking for longs here as i think there are better things to long, but if it does close above likely retests 72k (im in this camp)

if wrong & we see weakness below 63.8k then this is ltf bearish & think we retest 60k, would take that short if given w/ invals above the ltf consolidation prior to breakdown

fomc minutes today 2:30 may influence direction

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

Bitcoin putting in the start of a recovery here.

We bounced nicely off of the 200w SMA after sweeping $60k and not following through lower.

Yesterday closed at $65,700, which was back above the 2021 high and for me, is bullish.

What I would like to see for full confirmation of a deviation below $65,000 is this next 2W close above that level.

Once $74,000 was breached we were invalidated on our short term expansion thesis and thrown into a bit of a no mans land.

From here, I think we are going to mess around between the Realised Cap at $54,000 and the 1D 200 SMA which is now at $78,500.

Close that 2W above $65,000 and I think the bottom is in, although i wouldn't expect as fast as a recovery as i was expecting above $74,000.

Fall back down below and close this 2W as a retest of the $65,000 low, and I think we see $54,000.

Either way, worst is over imo.

[Simon Dedic @sjdedic]

We’ve looked at almost every TCG platform in crypto. We passed on all of them except two.

@Collector_Crypt, when it was too niche for anyone else to touch.

And @Beezie, for reasons that won’t stay under the radar much longer.

If you had access to the same insights we do about what the stellar @AndreaMYellie and @Pratik_in_Web3 are cooking, the doubt would disappear instantly.

These two aren’t competitors in our book. They’re a barbell. Owning both means owning the entire category, vertically and horizontally.

In a few months this will all be obvious, when the long tail starts consolidating into these two winners. The smart collectors will be using Collector and Beezie, and nothing else.

Save yourself the regret and switch while you’re still early.

[Jake Brukhman @jbrukh]

Unlike many investors in crypto, I did not pivot to AI in the last few years. However, since 2020, I built some of the deepest understanding in this industry on the intersection of AI and decentralized networks (crypto, web3).

From the start, it was very clear that AI models are a centralizing force and the biggest target for government control. That point became market fact last night, with @AnthropicAI’s export control compliance.

As an investor in decentralized AI, I know that d-networks are a counterbalance to this state of affairs. In particular, the starting point of sovereign, open, public, decentralized AI is the seemingly insurmountable compute problem.

How are people supposed to source more industrial compute for frontier training than these huge trillion dollar companies? The answer is simple: there is enough commodity GPU compute in the world to compete on the frontier, but to make use of it we need new algorithms for training.

That’s what a few companies like @gensynai @PrimeIntellect @bageldotcom @Pluralis @NousResearch @MacrocosmosAI @covenant_ai set out to research, while everyone on the planet told them it was impossible.

The result is that it is not only possible, but it can be cheaper and nearly as efficient as the alternative process.

The second major problem is economic sustainability. Open source models are great, however, they are not economically viable as they don’t have a business model. So far in decentralized AI, only @Pluralis has an answer — by breaking up the weights of the model among participants, we create a business model for tokenized AI models.

This is the moment of truth — will AI become fully centralized and fall under censorship and unilateral government control? Or will the AI world realize the importance of public AI on open decentralized networks?

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

Nice range forming here with Bitcoin.

High level shorts at $65,500.
High level longs at $58,000

With $61,000 and $62,500 also being areas of interest.

Would expect the range to go on for a bit, so wait for extremes of the range for sweeps.

This is likely the most bullish scenario we could expect to play out.

Highs taken first.

[Eira @EiraX29]

🚨🚨 LOS MÉDICOS NUNCA TE DIRAN ESTO:

1. Ansiedad – Magnesio, B6, Omega-3
2. Depresión – D, B12, Omega3
3. Irritabilidad – B1, B6, Magnesio
4. Niebla mental – B1, B12, Omega3
5. Insomnio – Magnesio, B12, D
6. Baja libido – Zinc, D, B3
7. Estreñimiento – Magnesio, C, Fibra
8. Espasmos oculares – Magnesio, B12, Potasio
9. Antojos de azúcar – Cromo, Magnesio, Zinc
10. Manos frías: Hierro
11. Falta de apetito: Zinc
12. Ojos secos: Vitamina A
13. Falta de aliento: Hierro
14. Caída del cabello: Hierro
15. Boca seca: Vitamina A
16. Uñas quebradizas: Biotina (B7)
17. Cansancio todo el día: Vitamina D
18. Sentirse decaído: Vitamina B6
19. Olvidos: Omega 3
20. Calambres en las piernas: Magnesio
21. Niebla mental: Vitamina B12
22. Debilidad muscular: Potasio
23. Hormigueo o entumecimiento: Vitamina B6
24. Mala calidad del sueño: Magnesio

🚨🚨 Tu "salud mental" y otros síntomas podrían ser una simple deficiencia de micronutrientes disfrazada...

Consulta siempre con tu médico, aunque me temo que de nutrición poca idea, la mayoría de médicos son expertos recetando drogas sintéticas, para callar síntomas, encontrar la raíz de las enfermedades no interesa al modelo de negocio...

[Altcoin Sherpa @AltcoinSherpa]

Good coins:

$HYPE
$JTO
$NEAR (surprising)
$LIT

Under the radar:

$BIO
$USELESS
$DRV
$RAIL
$ONDO

Cabal:
$BLIFE
$ARC
Bananas31

[Ansem @blknoiz06]

was wrong on $60k breakdown for now, closed shorts from higher, expecting consolidation between 60-65k for now

still think that a lot of alts look good, many got completely wiped out on 10/10 and have been sideways for 8 months with some building momentum

core should be HYPE, others like [VVV, JTO, WLD, LIT, NEAR, ZEC] look good to me also

will still look for hedge shorts on BTC/ETH/SOL on retests, if btc gets back above 65k cleanly i think it goes back to range highs around 75-80k & will cut bearish bias on majors

[Simon Dedic @sjdedic]

$DEUS is currently trading at a $17M mcap, $34M FDV. If you deduct the 30% supply being held and governed by the DAO, it's just a $24M FDV.

So the fairest metric would be to say that XMAQUINA is trading at a 2.4x to NAV.

In comparison, RoboStrategy / $BOT is trading at a 5.1x to NAV with a strong uptrend and narrative forming around it.

There is an interesting catch up trade here in my opinion, on top of some additional tailwinds:

1) I still think robotics is not a consensus trade right now, but the "ChatGPT moment" of physical AI is yet to come. There will be explosive demand for these very inaccessible companies, and $DEUS and $BOT are currently the only vehicles out there that allow you to get exposure to them.

2) What's even more interesting is that XMAQUINA will soon evolve into a Robotics Capital Markets protocol. The natural evolution from "just an investment vehicle" into an actual revenue generating company by tokenizing each individual robotics deal and giving people direct ownership, while taking a cut on the trading fees, all accruing to $DEUS. Essentially, imagine RoboStrategy and xStocks / PreStocks having a baby.

I know it feels wrong to buy things at a premium to NAV, but sometimes there is a bigger picture worth digging into.

[Ansem @blknoiz06]

pretty nasty 12h reversal candles on the leading alts hype/zec/vvv, &amp; btc + eth havent broken beneath their range lows yet

if we lose 60k &amp; 1750 think the lows of these past consolidations will also get ran - likely 45-50, 9-10, 350-400

[Bluntz @Bluntz_Capital]

some coins have held up exceptionally well and barely flinched.

$hype $zec $near $vvv $useless $cards

[Sykodelic 🔪 @Sykodelic_]

The 4 year Bitcoin cycle doesn't exist.

And at the moment, neither does the Business cycle correlation.

Everyone who is following the 4 year cycle is saying "this is just 4 year cycle bro you are coping"...

But its not.

Bitcoin has never been in an isolated bear market like this against everything else.

Every single Bitcoin bear 4 year cycle has happened with:

- Equities dropping
- Global liquidity index dropping
- Business cycle contracting

But right now we have:

- Equities screaming ATHs
- Global liquidity index ATHs
- Business cycle expanding

Which is the environment in which every single bull cycle has happened.

But now, everything is the total opposite.

This is not the 4 year cycle.

This is not the business cycle.

This is a totally new paradigm for Bitcoin in which it is not following anything.

You have to understand the 4 year cycle has been driven by macro...

But now, Bitcoin isn't listening to macro?

So what is it?

This is not blaming manipulation...

This is highlighting an incredibly large shift that is a total first for this market and it has massive implications.

If you blindly believe in the 4 year cycle, what makes you think it will just play out when everything else has changed?

Something bigger is happening here.

At 10/10 Bitcoin broke from everything...

And fuck knows what happened...

And that is just a fact you can see clearly on this chart.

[DANNY @Danny_Crypton]

My 2026 Bull Run prediction:

June → Bear trap
July → Bitcoin breakout
August → Altcoin season
September → New ATH around $150K
October → Bull trap
November → Liquidation cascade
December → Bear market kicks in

Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS.

I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job.

If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

[Sunil Gurjar, CFTe @sunilgurjar01]

Moving Average Cheat Sheet:

• 5 EMA : ⚡ Momentum
• 10 EMA: 🔍 Short-term trend
• 20 EMA: 🎯 Mean reversion
• 50 SMA: 🛡️ Strong uptrend support
• 100 SMA: 📉 Dip buy alert
• 200 SMA: 🔄 Trend shift
• 250 SMA: 💰 Fair value

#trading