Shawn B

[Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 @ThierryBorgeat]

Citadel Securities just put institutional weight behind what the AI bulls won't say out loud.

In a new macro note titled "Tokenomics," Citadel makes the argument plainly: even the most powerful technology on earth still has to pass through the boring discipline of cost curves, capacity limits, and marginal returns.

The evidence is piling up:
– Amazon removed its token usage leaderboard
– Microsoft cancelled Claude Code subscriptions
– Multiple companies reporting unexpectedly massive token bills

Their conclusion is the part that matters.

Adoption is no longer about what AI can do in principle. It's becoming about the price and scarcity of the inputs needed to run it at scale. Compute. Power. Cooling. Memory bandwidth. Inference budgets. All real, all binding constraints.

And here's the kicker from the chart.

The Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index, a benchmark for how much the market is actually spending on AI tokens, has started rolling over. Citadel reads it as a shift toward cheaper models. Companies substituting away from expensive frontier AI toward "good enough" alternatives.

That's economics 101 doing what it always does. When the price of something rises, people use less of it, or find a cheaper version.

Citadel sees a bifurcation forming. Frontier AI concentrated among a few firms with the balance sheets to absorb the cost. Everyone else quietly downgrading to simpler, cheaper models.

This is the part of every technology revolution the early narrative ignores.

The technology being real was never the question.

The question was always whether the economics could carry the valuations.

When one of the most sophisticated trading firms on earth starts writing about AI in the language of cost curves and rationing instead of limitless demand, the conversation has quietly changed.

The hype was about what AI could do.

The reckoning is about what it costs.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@RealSimpleAriel Bro 😂

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@CheddarFlow Is it PUT selling ?

[Aakash Gupta @aakashgupta]

Those drifting dots you can never quite look at directly are shadows. The objects casting them sit inside your own eye.

The vitreous is the gel that fills most of your eyeball, roughly 99% water held together by a fine mesh of collagen fibers. Light passes straight through it on the way to your retina. As you age, the gel liquefies and those fibers lose their even spacing and clump into strands and knots.

When light hits a clump, it drops a tiny shadow on the retina behind it. That shadow is the floater. What you perceive is the dark spot it casts on your own light sensor, one cell layer deep.

This is why you can never catch one. The clump is suspended in liquid a few millimeters in front of the retina, so it tracks your eye instead of holding still. Look up and it drifts up with you, then settles a beat later as the fluid stops moving. Chasing it is chasing your own shadow.

It's also why they only appear against a blank wall or a bright sky. A uniform bright background is the one lighting condition where a faint shadow on your retina has enough contrast to register. Any busy scene drowns it out completely.

The part that gets people: this is chemically guaranteed. Your vitreous contains riboflavin, and decades of light passing through it slowly oxidizes the collagen bonds until the mesh degrades. Given enough years it happens to everyone, no exceptions.

70% see them because the other 30% just haven't noticed the shadows their own eyes have been casting the whole time.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@kunal00 I was just thinking that on the way home from work, such a bad timing with that rule coming off.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@RealSimpleAriel Getting there for SNDK and maybe MU. But WDC still looks cheap compared to the other 2. WDC still more room to run in my opinion.

[Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦 @lugaricano]

Countries get the cabinets they pay for. Singapore pays its Foreign Minister about S$1.1m, around US$800,000. The salary is benchmarked to 60% of the median income of the top 1,000 Singaporean earners. That is why you can get Vivian Balakrishnan, former eye surgeon and hospital chief executive, implementing @karpathy's external brain idea (link below). The speech shows deep understanding of AI and fills one with confidence about Singapore's future.

The UK Foreign Secretary earns roughly £165,000: the MP salary plus a ministerial salary of about £67,000. The ministerial part is frozen since the crisis and is down by roughly a third in real terms since 2010. This is what a junior Magic Circle lawyer earns.

Spain pays its ministers around €85,000. So you do not get a surgeon who has run hospitals. You get a party loyalist who has never run anything.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@RealSimpleAriel That's why In Singapore they pay the politicians millions but very strict penalties for corruption.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@seattlehiker1 @WealthCoachMak Stick with spreads limits your downside.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@HansCashFlow I typed the email but never got anything. What should I do, Thank You

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@TechEquityEng @MarcosMillaYT Then just buy EWY South Korea ETF

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@swati_gs @BhaiPreetSingh Trying to learn here to each their own I guess but why do Hindus go to Dargahs ?

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@ProblemSniper Going short any names ?

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@ProblemSniper Ready Anna

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@YashicaDutt What a dumb comment only priests are allowed into the inner sanctum. And last time I checked nobody asks about your caste when entering a temple. Why are u making up lies, who is paying you to say this stuff ?

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@arunpudur @aravind

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@MarcosMillaYT @grok what date was this video released

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@ProblemSniper Welcome bro.

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@Nithin0dha @aravind

[Shawn B @kitreddy83]

@RShivshankar Suspended with full pay while the court case drags on for 20 years 😉