Dilly Bonovan

Co-founder @swishtheory. Father, attorney, basketball devotee. Development is not linear. DM for business inquiries.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@Doug_Thonus It’s going to be like Dash running a track race in The Incredibles

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

I’d like to be on record that this idea is bad, is based on a fake problem, and will make the real problems worse.

[Shams Charania @ShamsCharania]

Breaking: The NBA's Board of Governors has passed new anti-tanking rules that include expanding the draft lottery from 14 to 16 teams, a relegation zone where the bottom 3 teams get penalized with lessened chances for the No. 1 pick, and flattened odds, sources tell ESPN.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@Doug_Thonus The draft also sucks the next couple years compared to the last two, but I’m sure the league will attribute less teams tanking to their new lottery rules instead.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@TripleJay28 I think Quinn has a good shot out of Miami, but there’s no way to really know with any of them until they get a chance.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

I know it’s easy to make certain Bulls players the butt of every joke, but I think it does a disservice to the player, the person making the joke, and the audience. Seen it happen with a few different Bulls players over the years (Snell, WCJ, Denzel, Pat) but it’s always wrong.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@Doug_Thonus I’ve clarified what I meant in a couple replies now

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@mustang6944 I’m not saying that teams didn’t egregiously tank, I’m saying that it’s not the “real” problem. And these reforms don’t accomplish anything positive for the league while creating a host of problems.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@mustang6944 It’s fake because people act like all these teams have gone rogue by tanking for talent, when in reality the league has systematically forced teams into doing this by flattening lottery odds and removing free agency for star players. Tanking is the symptom, not the cause.

[NoTechBen @NoTechBen]

It used to be the bottom 5 teams that tanked.

People complained about Philly, so the odds were flattened, resulting in the bottom 10 teams tanking.

Now the “solution” is to incentivize teams 7~16 to tank, but hey, the bottom five teams will try harder? Yay?

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@VeryVegeta @theXExpert The league rules prevent them from spending more. It has nothing to do with ownership. The only situation where an owner matters in spending is going into the tax to retain your own players, but that’s not really relevant to this discussion.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@VeryVegeta @theXExpert The league has instituted apron rules, max contracts, and contract extensions to stop this from happening. Bad teams can’t simply spend more to get top players, so they can only overpay non-star players. And now their picks are worth less so trading for them is even harder.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@JohnJablonka_ No!

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@couldntbeme96 There’s zero reason to be disrespectful to me over an opinion. Maybe fake is the wrong word, but tanking is a symptom rather than a cause. Free agency stopped being a way to get stars once extension rules changed, so teams are more reliant than ever on the draft to get them.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@theXExpert No argument here on that. But there’s always going to be 3 team at the bottom and I think these reforms unduly punish them for it.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@theXExpert Yes, but I don’t have confidence that making it even harder for the Sacramentos of the league is the right move either.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@theXExpert I’m awake. Tanking is just the symptom, not the cause. Teams need ways to get stars, and free agency has almost disappeared because of extension rules. There’s more reliance than ever on the draft as a result, so teams are incentivized to tank. Punishing tanking doesn’t solve it.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

@Biyombonesaw Kind of. It disincentivizes manipulation of standings at the bottom in favor of manipulation of 4-10. And it heavily punishes 1-3, teams who are actually bad, by giving them a 47% chance to get pick 10-12. I don’t think it really solves any problems, and it will create more.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

Unfathomably stupid system.

[Tankathon.com @tankathon]

4 straight test simulations with the new lottery system applied to this year's standings:

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

I honestly can’t believe the league is approving this plan. I keep thinking this is a bad joke. But nope, they are moving forward with this plan that solves very little and creates significant problems. They are responding to a scratch by doing surgery on the wrong body part.

[Dilly Bonovan @klahoops]

I’d like to be on record that this idea is bad, is based on a fake problem, and will make the real problems worse.