Knight

Prediction Markets Researcher & Analyst
@Polymarket Bull

DMs open

[Knight @KnightPredict]

https://t.co/ab7VmVa2X7

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@PolymarketTrade Staggering results!

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@rb_tweets imo, it's only a matter of time

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@rb_tweets Regarding this year, I’m bearish for now

[Knight @KnightPredict]

Why "NO" Is Still Very Much Alive for the CLARITY Act

Polymarket at 62% YES. Why 38% makes sense:

＞Needs 60 votes for cloture. Republicans hold 53 seats and requires at least 6-7 Democrats. Only 2 supported it in committee

＞Text reconciliation between Banking and Agriculture is still not finished - this is where the real horse-trading happens

＞The banking lobby (JPMorgan, BPI) remains dead-set against yield-bearing stablecoins

＞Extremely tight calendar: only 7-8 working weeks left before the August recess, followed by the October/November pre-midterm campaign period

＞Similar crypto bills have died at the full Senate stage multiple times despite strong committee support

38% NO is pricing in the very real risk that time simply runs out - isn't it?

[Polyfactual @polyfactual]

CLARITY Act 2026: Executive Branch vs Legislative Math

＞Senator Lummis: the Clarity Act is not just a crypto bill - it's a decision on whether America leads the next financial system or watches from the sidelines

＞SEC Chair Paul Atkins: digital assets are now Strategic Priority #1 through 2030. This establishes a clear regulatory framework for innovation

＞Treasury Secretary Bessent is pushing hard for immediate passage

Polymarket currently at 62%

The Real Picture:

- Bill added to Senate Legislative Calendar (June 1, Calendar No. 423)

- Senate back in session today, June 3

- Text reconciliation (Banking and Agriculture) still underway

- Needs 60 votes for cloture. Republicans hold 53-54 seats ➡︎ requires at least 6-7 Democrats

- Biggest hurdle: banking lobby fighting yield-bearing stablecoins

- Extremely tight window before the August recess and November midterms

What do you think - is 62% on Polymarket still a fair price?

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@0xSpivach Yeah, it was hot

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@decenterghost lmaaoo

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@KyleDeWriter

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@KyleDeWriter I lean more towards "no"

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@xatacrypt How do you think? Could they negotiate behind the scenes and settle all the issues after signing?

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@xatacrypt thanks for info bro

[Knight @KnightPredict]

Why "NO" Is Still Very Much Alive for the CLARITY Act

Polymarket at 62% YES. Why 38% makes sense:

＞Needs 60 votes for cloture. Republicans hold 53 seats and requires at least 6-7 Democrats. Only 2 supported it in committee

＞Text reconciliation between Banking and Agriculture is still not finished - this is where the real horse-trading happens

＞The banking lobby (JPMorgan, BPI) remains dead-set against yield-bearing stablecoins

＞Extremely tight calendar: only 7-8 working weeks left before the August recess, followed by the October/November pre-midterm campaign period

＞Similar crypto bills have died at the full Senate stage multiple times despite strong committee support

38% NO is pricing in the very real risk that time simply runs out - isn't it?

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@0xChaseTM tysm bro

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@Sevenup27 I have placed an order

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[Knight @KnightPredict]

@kreoapp Live Streaming for Esports Markets - That's absolutely awesome!

[Polyfactual @polyfactual]

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[Knight @KnightPredict]

@polyfactual @KairosTradeX @a16zcrypto @GenevaTrading Awesome, notifications are on!

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@connorkirsten Awesome, the scale is about to get way bigger!

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@Atenov_D 👀👀

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@syanovee Yeah, everyone believes in miracles.