Knight

Prediction Markets Researcher & Analyst
@Polymarket Bull

DMs open

[Knight @KnightPredict]

https://t.co/ab7VmVa2X7

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@cryptocinna i would definitely watch

[Knight @KnightPredict]

SAN FRANCISCO JUST DECLARED AN EL NIÑO EMERGENCY

Polymarket: 69% it's the strongest El Niño on record. NOAA's forecast points higher

would you buy "record" at 69¢?

＞ the record is RONI +2.40, set in 1982-83. 1997-98 peaked at 2.28, 2015-16 at 2.25

＞ this one is ahead of 1982's pace: 1.69 in Jul-Sep, 1982 was at 1.14

＞ NOAA's October 8 outlook: 83% chance Oct-Dec alone hits +2.5 or more

＞ the case for NO: 1997 was even hotter in Jul-Sep at 1.84 and stalled at 2.28

＞ resolves YES once NOAA prints any season above 2.40

＞ $100 on YES at the 70¢ ask pays $143. only about $230 sits on the asks before the next one at 90¢. keep it under $200 or your fill jumps

[ https://t.co/DmLJFbV4kw ]

NOAA's outlook implies 83%+, the market says 69%. who's right?

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@sotoramix boring first half tbh

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@KyleDeWriter i'll be keeping a close eye on him from now on

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@safruw i think chelsea should easily win today

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@jasperbellx numbers always beat words and that's a seriously bullish indicator

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@SheikhSilicon @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade

[Knight @KnightPredict]

SAN FRANCISCO JUST DECLARED AN EL NIÑO EMERGENCY

Polymarket: 69% it's the strongest El Niño on record. NOAA's forecast points higher

would you buy "record" at 69¢?

＞ the record is RONI +2.40, set in 1982-83. 1997-98 peaked at 2.28, 2015-16 at 2.25

＞ this one is ahead of 1982's pace: 1.69 in Jul-Sep, 1982 was at 1.14

＞ NOAA's October 8 outlook: 83% chance Oct-Dec alone hits +2.5 or more

＞ the case for NO: 1997 was even hotter in Jul-Sep at 1.84 and stalled at 2.28

＞ resolves YES once NOAA prints any season above 2.40

＞ $100 on YES at the 70¢ ask pays $143. only about $230 sits on the asks before the next one at 90¢. keep it under $200 or your fill jumps

[ https://t.co/DmLJFbV4kw ]

NOAA's outlook implies 83%+, the market says 69%. who's right?

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@williamlegate that's actually insane

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@mirnowq @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade el niño is a natural phenomenon where the surface water in the central and eastern pacific gets super warm.

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@hexobuilds @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade haven't opened a position yet! usually i gather all the info first

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@KyleDeWriter just the best! great results. but i feel like my referrals have stopped trading.

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@0xbobaaa looks dope ofc

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@tomniy_bes @perpdotcom @dgnterminal really bullish bro

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@EagleVisions Bublik for sure

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@KryptoBestiya good luck today! rooting for you

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@igor_mikerin off to read the article

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@polysuccubus @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade facts bro

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@polysuccubus crazy trader ofc

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@EagleVisions @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Same. Guess we’ll find out soon enough

[Knight @KnightPredict]

@AleiahLock such a cool read! saved