Parijat

Geopolitics analyst and contributor. Passionate about global affairs, strategic trends in the Indo-Pacific, and Quad. Opinions my own. RTs not endorsements.

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

...but the sanctions push could widen the conflict beyond Iran. China is warning it will protect its interests, while Pakistan’s army chief is in #Tehran trying to revive negotiations. Meanwhile, attacks on shipping are spreading toward the #RedSea. https://t.co/BUICy4Zer6

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

The #IranWar is entering a new phase. Washington is preparing its “greatest financial offensive ever” against Iran, threatening secondary sanctions on countries and companies that continue doing business with Tehran. That puts #China, and #India in a difficult position...

[ChinaPower @ChinaPowerCSIS]

The South China Sea’s eight major straits carried nearly $6.4 trillion in trade in 2024. This @CSIS analysis examines the economic importance of these chokepoints and the consequences of potential disruptions: https://t.co/aVlk9VkYyS

[Financial Times @FT]

Breaking news: Long-term borrowing costs across major economies hit multi-decade highs on Tuesday as inflation concerns, deficit fears and surging AI bond issuance put pressure on government debt around the world. https://t.co/J3qDc282lv

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

This one somehow keeps getting worse. The #IranWar's brought this rivalry out into the open. What's once largely an economic rivalry is now turning into a full-blown power tussle. As reported by Reuters, & earlier by the FT / Bloomberg, the lines are getting much harder to ignore

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

@aadilbrar Interesting satellite imagery. This looks huge! As expected, the #CCP appears to have cleared towns/villages to make way for this massive military complex. Earlier images showed 3–4 densely populated areas, while in the latest images, they seem to have been wiped out. #Beijing

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

@CollinSLKoh By now, every world leader serious about #geopolitics and the global order should know the nature of the current US admin. There is no room for diplomatic niceties / historical ties. Stay strong. Stay firm. Deal with WH based on interests, not sentiment. This too shall pass.

[Reuters Asia @ReutersAsia]

China and the Philippines summoned each other's ambassadors after accusations by both sides of provoking tensions in the contested South China Sea https://t.co/Si52WWBWS5

[U.S. Embassy India @USAndIndia]

The Quad has evolved into a powerful partnership between the United States, Australia, India, and Japan advancing a free and open Indo-Pacific for generations to come. As the Quad Foreign Ministers meet for the second time this year in Manila, learn what the Quad is all about and why it matters more than ever.

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

@aadilbrar This is great and timely, Aadil. Understanding China’s military footprint is crucial, and much of the information is either scattered or hidden behind language barrier. All the best!

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

RT @FT: Breaking news: Donald Trump has said the US would lower tariffs on India from 25% to 18% after India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi…

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

@Noahpinion Agree - Taiwan also needs more than new weapons - it needs enough fit-for-service manpower. Against China’s huge much larger active force (10x), $40B over eight years is too little & possibly too late. #Taiwan needs stronger capacity to hold the line until allies arrive.

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

Because U.S. support hasn’t been reliable, India is working with Moscow on fifth-gen jets #SukhoiSU57 and building AMCA for long-term needs. The U.S. tightly controls supplies, even for its closest partners.

#India #AMCA #Russia #DefenseSecurity2025

[Bloomberg @business]

India plans to start discussions toward the purchase of Russian fighter jets and a missile defense shield during President Vladimir Putin’s visit this week, according to people with knowledge of the matter https://t.co/Ydliz2hgnM

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

If Europe wants to stay relevant, it has to build real strategic autonomy. The Ukraine war is a reminder that relying on external actors/allies for defense is not sustainable.

#Ukraine #NATO #Trump

[Financial Times @FT]

Europe needs a plan for decoupling from America https://t.co/LH6BGBW890 | opinion

[Parijat @knowmadicnotes]

Interesting to see how Moscow, despite heavy sanctions, continues to shape the escalatory ladder in Europe and push Europeans into a tight spot.

#NATO #RussiaUkraineWar @TheStudyofWar

[Institute for the Study of War @TheStudyofWar]

Lithuanian authorities reported on November 29 that they detected over 60 balloons flying into Lithuanian airspace from Belarus overnight and that an unspecified number of balloons forced the Vilnius International Airport to temporarily suspend operations in the early morning of November 29, impacting 22 flights and 3,000 travelers. Aerial incursions have forced Vilnius International Airport to suspend operations several times in recent months.

ISW continues to assess that Russia is increasingly engaging in covert and overt attacks against Europe and the ongoing Russian airspace violations are likely part of “Phase Zero” — Russia’s broader informational and psychological condition-setting phase — to prepare for a possible NATO-Russia war in the future.

ISW continues to assess that Belarus is Russia’s de facto cobelligerent in the war in Ukraine, thus, Belarusian incursions into NATO airspace are very likely part of Russia’s broader Phase Zero effort.

[Focus Taiwan (CNA English News) @Focus_Taiwan]

All 24 lawmakers of the main opposition Kuomintang (KMT) up for recall Saturday survived their recall votes, ensuring that the KMT along with Taiwan People's Party (TPP) lawmakers will maintain opposition control of the Legislature.

[Damien Symon @detresfa_]

Of the 9 Indian airstrikes conducted in Pakistan earlier today, 8 targets were revealed in India's official press release, these locations have since been geolocated & mapped in this visual providing an insight into this cross-border operation

[Nikkei Asia @NikkeiAsia]

U.S. sets tariffs as high as 3,403% on solar cells from Southeast Asia https://t.co/vqOnUo9y2Y

[IMF @IMFNews]

IMF Growth Projections: 2025
🇺🇸US: 1.8%
🇩🇪 Germany: 0.0%
🇫🇷France: 0.6%
🇮🇹Italy: 0.4%
🇪🇸Spain: 2.5%
🇬🇧UK: 1.1%
🇯🇵Japan: 0.6%
🇨🇦Canada: 1.4%
🇨🇳China: 4.0%
🇮🇳India: 6.2%
🇷🇺Russia: 1.5%
🇲🇽Mexico: -0.3%
🇸🇦KSA: 3.0%
🇳🇬 Nigeria: 3.0%
🇿🇦RSA: 1.0%

[Institute for the Study of War @TheStudyofWar]

NEW: Iran proposed a three-stage nuclear deal proposal that caps Iranian uranium enrichment but would leave the necessary infrastructure in place to enable Iran to rapidly rebuild its nuclear program if the deal collapsed. ⬇️(1/3)

▪️ Anti-regime Iranian media reported that Iran proposed a three-stage nuclear deal proposal that capped Iranian uranium enrichment but preserved Iranian nuclear infrastructure, such as advanced centrifuges.

▪️ The reported plan does not include a timeline for the phases of the deal.

This proposal would likely preserve Iran’s ability to rapidly rebuild its nuclear program.