John Krasting

Climate Scientist @ GFDL. Lecturer at Rutgers. Formerly on TV. Personal account. Tweets do not represent views of NOAA or the US Government. RT≠Endorsement.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@Eric_Fink It never rains in a drought

[John Krasting @krasting]

@seckhardt SJ need about an inch between tonight and this weekend to keep things from getting worse

[John Krasting @krasting]

@seckhardt It just won’t rain …

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx It feels like Mother Nature is doing some “reckless driving” these days

[John Krasting @krasting]

@nynjpaweather Great post. I’d add that rather than making it an all or nothing argument, the idea now is to quantify *how much* climate change contributed to a particular event. It can be done, but it is hard to do and even harder to communicate.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@nynjpaweather @Mike__Gagliardi That’s one funky map

[John Krasting @krasting]

@AlexandraLSimon @BigJoeBastardi Do you have a photo credit? This is going to be an iconic photo for the history books

[John Krasting @krasting]

@ryanhallyall It’s really not all that uncertain. This storm is clearly NOT coming up the coast. Overall mid level pattern does not support that scenario

[John Krasting @krasting]

@mattlanza @JoeMartWx @ametsoc I heard it last night!

[John Krasting @krasting]

@nynjpaweather Same - we’re in thick clouds at 34K feet with a rough ride

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx @JoeMartWx - When I checked in yesterday for my flight today, they offered me the option to fly a day early. You might be able to get a flight out this afternoon if you’re lucky.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx Thanks @JoeMartWx ! Ping me when you get in!

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx @mattlanza That was my original flight! I switched since I have a talk on Monday. I totally get you about wanting to see this storm, though.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx @mattlanza I’m flying out of EWR on Saturday afternoon. Do you have a Sunday flight?

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx @mattlanza I think the whole national system is going to feel this. Ripple effects.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx I’d liken it to changing the transmission in your car. You need to get the parts to work smoothly with each other.

The models all have a lot in common already, but there’s work to be done to make it all mesh.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx It takes the throne with this one!

[John Krasting @krasting]

@JoeMartWx As a modeler, a lot goes into tuning the physics parameterizations. This is mostly science, but a little bit of art/experience, and sometimes luck. I think it’s because the NAM’s boundary layer and microphysics schemes are seeing things correctly.

[John Krasting @krasting]

@WeatherProf Real climate scientist here. This image shows the influence natural variability from the AMO/AMV. Heat transport oscillates likes this every couple of decades. This is not a climate change signal.

AMOC slow down is still a real concern, but not during this time frame.