Kyle the Writer

nothing feels better than success | @Polymarket trader | 200+ KOLs agent | studying finances

all content here is sponsored or commissioned

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

just got done with my part at @notthreadguy livestream.

that was lit, bit nervous but I think we revealed some moments good enough.

much appreciate your time, your feed.

see soon again!

[Threadguy Updates @Threadupdates_]

Threadguy is now LIVE with @KyleDeWriter

https://t.co/zfr1iVoZFi

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@0xTengen_ as well as yours!

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

I back tested Polymarket 5-minute BTC Up/Down bot strategy and found out the key to $30,000 monthly profits

Analyzed sample is based on 120 days and 34,560 resolved markets data

The key thing that retail can't see but bots operation is based on: Orderbook depth

Here's a wallet that has found it early: https://t.co/UQLj4qLtcx

~$685,000 in PnL, 61% winrate, consistently af growing pnl chart

Why does it still winning?

A complete bid/ask depth on any Up/Down market, at any second in its history, down to 300ms, replayable on real fills - The only major advantage left for HFT bots against manual trader

Been pulling it from @Poly_Historical

Data from >30,000 markets shows: 95% of orderbook liquidity gets vanished before resolution

Compare the resting liquidity at 60 and 10 seconds before resolution: ~5x depth difference

Any well sized trade moves the odds, the major % of the edge is gone, even when market closes in your favor

But just 1 trading pattern that made that bot >$600k in realized pnl:

When depth leans 65/35 while price sits flat, it reverts within 1min in 73% of trades (enough for making 61% winrate profitable)

Median lag from depth to price - 11 seconds

11 SECONDS

Physically invisible for retail, consistently farmed by Quant Machines

Bookmark it, think for a while, circle back and try to get the edge of this writing

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

While most of y'all were copytrading Polymarket Whales

This guy made >$3,000 profit in 1 month by copytrading a weather market trader

I reverse engineered this account and find out who exactly he was copytrading

Within 30 trading days he proved that copying low sized traders is way more profitable

Emberspirit was repeating every trade of this weather trader

So far he doubled his initials and doesn't seem to stop

(links below to copytrade him at 0% fees)

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@probabilitygod definitely worth of checking @vatic_trading

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@Poly_Historical 🙏

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@mirnowq not really, the winrate is still low for making even a 3-market streak, as well as the opportunity is limited by orderbook liquidity

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@gusik4ever @PolymarketDevs @Polymarket the vid is great fr, thanks for collecting them all together

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@Voidgoesbrr saving money is also some sort of income

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@0xd1namit collected poly og + traders + devs in the inner circle

gratz

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@ol_onX hb mate

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@EagleVisions for now im just discovering the best strategy, takes a while to find one

agent deployment is much different story im working on to tell

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@0xNapalm @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade just 3 more days to stand, easy bond

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@parcifap why did you tell me that 😭

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@cryppimagic different communities were built different

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@banan_crypto @Polymarket govs have to fix their minds, it's a dead game not knowing whether you're suiting a bookie or prediction market

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@magsimich popped up in your circle, tyy

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@lostinazeroy agent deployment is a separate story to tell, working on it

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@monokern true for bots, manual traders can't reach this edge with same efforts

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@arespro @theunipcs definitely

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

Just found out that @theunipcs has blocked me

This probably happened after that tweet exposing FOMO app leaderboards, cabal launches, etc.

Man I was just reviewing the recent CT rumors about your million dollar frauds

I still want to read how underpriced $USELESS is, please unblock

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

Some from CT started exposing FOMO traders and their cabal squads worth tens of millions of dollars

All recent theses here:

> Frank degods stands behind $PAID and other moonshots, which are getting slowly rug pulled

> $TROLL dev regularly bundles and rug pulls memecoins

> Unipcs (Bonk guy) is responsible for tens rug pulls coming from bonk(dot)fun and pushes $USELESS to to clear reputation

> $100M moonshot White Whale was launched by Unipcs using alt account

> Bubblemaps are affiliated with axiom and pump fun, they do never expose the real bundles

> Axiom stores all your private information and trades to commit insider trading and sell all that information

> Axiom takes $100,000 fee for launchpad listing

> Poorgoat and $KATE are failed Ansem's projects which just like $ANSEM in attempt to promote his other projects and launchpad, so he's likely in huge losses now

> FOMO's leaderboard consists of unreal personas and fake PnL's, said that 98% of those accounts aren't real but are the wallets climbing the lb with pnl from bundled coins

How many of these are true? I guess barely 1 or 2 and even those only half-true

But if any point turns out to be true you better be prepared to sell off early

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@me_cool_off @variational_io can vari make its farmers a lifechange?

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@lorden_eth sounds like alpha thx for sharing this mate

[Kyle the Writer @KyleDeWriter]

@monokern jev is a new hypo