1/The question we keep getting asked is should we buy or sell X coin. What they’re really asking is if it will go up or down. We don’t know. Nobody knows. And we don’t need to know.
@pegnftfnd@milesdeutscher@HeyTaiZen Followers is more about engagement, entertainment, and producing content on a regular basis. Tai and I are more interested in living our lives than gaining followers on social media after multiple exits over the past decade+.
I do not understand Schiff’s decade long jihad against Bitcoin since zero. Bitcoin started from nothing, a decade later is backed by the largest institutions, trading on global stock markets (not just US) and backed by the leading Presidential candidate is vindication we’re right
Today's #crypto crash wasn't big enough to shake the confidence of ETF investors. However, their resolve will be tested soon. Capitulation is needed to from a short-term bottom. #Bitcoin breaking below $38K should do the trick. At that price all #BitcoinETFs will hit new lows.
I bought yesterday’s crash. I had a some ammo left for the crash below $10K that never came, that I deployed now. Will continue to DCA if we drop further.
Is it too late to buy? Yes and no. No, it’s not too late because it’s going higher. Yes it’s too late because we’re likely already higher than the bottom of the next bear market. Anything you buy now and don’t sell will likely be a loser in the next bear market.
What am I doing in the crypto bull market? Mostly nothing. I invested nearly all my AMMO with just a little left in case we fell to $10K like so many believed. The bottom was in Dec ‘22 at $16K, but so many were bearish through most of ‘23. The bears have all been vanquished!
In the short run, the Bitcoin ETFs has been great! It's one of the reasons the new crypto bull market started. But I have mixed feelings about it, longer term.
If the majority of the capital ends up in Bitcoin ETFs rather than Bitcoin itself, it ultimately hurts adoption. The crypto industry still needs to work on adoption or it will end up just another asset in the traditional markets.
On one hand, it's a bridge to bring billions from the traditional markets into crypto. OTOH, every dollar that goes into Bitcoin ETFs is a dollar that didn't go into Bitcoin itself.
Contrast that with 2022 when we were BEARISH, but looking for reasons to BUY. We are looking for reasons to buy when the market is going down and reasons to sell when the market is bullish.
As for the market, there's not much for us to do. We switched from bearish to neutral to bullish last year, after the regional bank failures in the US. I was pretty much fully invested by Q2 of last year. We are BULLISH now, which means we're looking for reasons to SELL.