Jon Lieber 🇺🇸

Factoid enthusiast, houseplant assassin. MD for US @eurasiagroup. Once upon a time worked in the House, Senate, and WH. Optimistic but not naive.

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

@carlospetersen Predicting stuff be like ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[GZERO Media @gzeromedia]

Neither the Iranians nor the Americans can credibly claim to negotiating in good faith. But that doesn't mean the ceasefire is doomed to fail.

In fact, it's President Trump's only viable way out of the war, says @EurasiaGroup's Head of Research @lieber2k in the latest episode of the GZERO Debrief.

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

Terrible take. The unannounced drop by was one of the most delightful social interactions of the pre-cell phone era.

“Calling people you don’t know on the phone in 2026 is as bad as randomly knocking on a friend’s door unannounced in 1995” https://t.co/nnL1EXOIQc

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

Proud to work alongside sharp minds like @FirasMaksad. His latest on Middle East power blocs is worth your time. 👇

[Firas Maksad @FirasMaksad]

NEW

1/ #Iran dominates headlines—but it can no longer drive the Middle East's geo-politics. In this @ForeignPolicy piece, I argue that rivalry between Abrahamic vs Islamic coalitions will define what comes next.

#Saudi & the #UAE are at the heart of it.
https://t.co/lVv1rlyHEb

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

The time zone mapping here might be the dumbest in all the world.

[Mike Fragoso @mike_frags]

Dear Ms. Wilcox:

Thank you for briefing the hypo everyone is worried about. This will allow me both to rule against you and dispense with it in a summary manner that protects our 401ks.

Best regards,

Roberts, CJ

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

"But even accounting for this technological shift, it is the ongoing competition between states, far more than globalization, that has reshaped American manufacturing"
https://t.co/YTlqernEwE

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

“The truth is that there is no such thing as Europe; it’s merely a place where small countries have bad memories of each other.” https://t.co/dIkw3x53N5

[Greg Lukianoff @glukianoff]

Many will hate this piece, but free speech isn’t about protecting popular opinions.
Mahmoud Khalil’s arrest raises serious First Amendment concerns. What happens next could reshape campus speech rights—and not for the better. https://t.co/JqjSwKaeOR

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

@gbrew24 Technically it is income, the same way you pay income tax on non-cash prizes. Congress will sometimes create exemptions for this, as they did with Olympic medals in 2016 and scholarships back in the day.

[FOX News Radio @foxnewsradio]

What can the Trump Administration accomplish in the first 100 days to tackle inflation and the economy?

Managing Director for the US at @EurasiaGroup, @lieber2k explains on the latest Perino On Politics with @DanaPerino. https://t.co/dEaPL6atai

[Will McBride @EconoWill]

Interesting new paper on C corp versus S corp taxation: "Averaging across firms, we find that firms face lower tax rates as S corporations even if undistributed profits fully escape taxation in the C corporation counterfactual." https://t.co/wHkz3KOqML

[Eurasia Group @EurasiaGroup]

"The [Trump] administration is going to be this interesting mix of kind of laissez-faire, plus pro-business, plus populism," says our expert @lieber2k.

"How those three things interact are going to be happening in weird ways."
https://t.co/GZJ7xC4uui

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

What could go wrong?

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

It would be simply amazing if a no name comedian making a bad joke at an unnecessary rally ended up costing Trump the election.

https://t.co/pNK3bD4J6C

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

If Harris loses, it’s because of exchanges like this. She’s explaining why she can’t do things while Trump is fabricating that he’ll take a flamethrower to anything that stands in his way in an era where voters want to see things burn.

[Ryan Saavedra @RyanSaavedra]

CNN's Cooper presses Kamala on why she didn't use an executive order to stop the illegal immigration crisis earlier

She claims that it was because they wanted Congress to work

He asks if she wishes they took action earlier, she says they did the right thing by not doing it

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

Excellent article about how single party rule at the state level disenfranchises voters and leads to a surge in direct democracy through ballot initiatives https://t.co/YWG1oV7XrV

[Matthew Dominick @dominickmatthew]

Timelapse flying by Hurricane Milton about 2 hours ago.

1/6400 sec exposure, 14mm, ISO 500, 0.5 sec interval, 30fps

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

“By 2022, 53%—more than half of all U.S counties—drew at least a quarter of their income from government aid,” up from 1% in 1970. Data from ⁦@InnovateEconomy⁩ https://t.co/wdOkjMVO4P

[Jon Lieber 🇺🇸 @lieber2k]

@gbrew24 Imagine in 2024 having a hard time getting information out on the internet.