This semi sell-off has been brutal. And it feels like we’re close to capitulation.
But remember:
When sentiment is in the gutter, it's often the best time to stay put and accumulate if you can.
It's not about timing the exact bottom, but buying great businesses at increasingly attractive prices.
Interestingly enough, the stock market is the only place where people don't like discounts.
If you're bullish on $NBIS, you should be bullish on $BE as well (Save this).
On July 16, Bloom and Nebius announced a $1.7 billion project to deploy Bloom fuel cells across Nebius's AI infrastructure buildout.
Bloom Energy $BE down 44% from its highs is the best entry point in the AI power trade right now.
The 44% drop traces back to a short seller report on Bloom Energy. There is no inherent issue with the business.
That report alleged Bloom secretly depends on Chinese sourced scandium for its fuel cells and BE fell more than 17% last week on the claim alone.
Bloom pushed back hard in an SEC filing saying it holds enough non China scandium supply to support up to 25 gigawatts of annual fuel cell production. UBS kept its Buy rating on the stock through the entire drop.
Meanwhile the demand backdrop keeps getting bigger. Morgan Stanley expects data centers to grow from about 6% of total US electricity demand today to roughly 18% by 2030.
The order book already reflects that. Oracle has contracted 1.2 gigawatts of Bloom capacity, expandable to 2.8 gigawatts. CoreWeave runs Bloom at one of its AI data centers. AEP placed a firm 100 megawatt order that can grow to a full gigawatt.
The reason customers keep signing is simple:
Power is the binding constraint on the AI buildout and Bloom can deploy onsite generation in 60 to 90 days.
Supply is keeping pace too. Bloom is doubling its annual production capacity from 1 gigawatt to 2 gigawatts by year end and says its existing Fremont site alone can scale to 5 gigawatts.
Our PRO team's Vincent bought Bloom back in February at $144. He trimmed part of the position in June near $247, locking in a gain of more than 70% on that slice and still holds the rest through this drawdown.
View his entire portfolio and thesis for $1.
Link in first comment below.
House Select Committee Chairman Moolenaar and Congressman Whitesides have sent a letter to Secretary of Commerce Lutnick urging him not to authorize American purchases of memory chips from Chinese companies.
My First purchase of SpaceX will be in 10 months.
All IPOs trade in a similar trend.
Shocking stats:
- Most IPOs drop 50% after going live. Look at $CAVA $RDDT $ALAB $CRWV $CART $CBRS
- Some drop further to 70-80%, look at $HOOD $PLTR
- And some never recover: $MBLY $CRCL $KLAR
Breaking: Jensen Huang sounds bullish on ServiceNow $NOW
"For the first time, service is software. And the service industry is 100 times larger than the software industry"
$NOW is currently the Claude portfolio's largest holding
APPLE AND INTEL REACH PRELIMINARY CHIP-MAKING AGREEMENT
WSJ reports $AAPL and $INTC have reached a preliminary agreement for Intel to manufacture some chips for Apple devices.
It is still unclear which Apple products Intel would make chips for.
The Trump administration reportedly pushed for the deal, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick meeting Apple, Nvidia, Musk, and others to bring them into Intel’s ecosystem.
Intel now has partnerships with Apple, Nvidia, and Musk-linked companies.
Washington is trying to turn Intel Foundry into a U.S. chipmaking platform for America’s biggest tech companies.