Likhith Sagar

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@MerruX It is highly probable that the flaring observed at Pumping Station 2 is a direct result of operational disruptions at the Khurais Oil Field following a reported attack, which forced downstream systems to flare associated gas in order to safely relieve critical pipeline pressure.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@BrettErickson28 @tom_bike Thank you. It is highly likely that the flaring observed at PS2 is a direct result of operational disruptions at the Khurais Oil Field following a reported attack, which forced downstream systems to flare associated gas in order to safely relieve critical pipeline pressure.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@philippilk It could also be because Iranian oil on the seas is falling and someone needs to take responsibility. My speculation.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@MoloWarMonitor I wouldn't be surprised given that your posts are trustworthy. Cheers.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@MarioNawfal Too much violence in your latest posts these days Mario. 🫠

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@bonzerbarry Is this the same one UKMTO reported?

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@JavierBlas No wonder why shippers are taking risks doing SoH crossings, given lucrative freight charges.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@BrettErickson28 Thanks for sharing Brett. Makes me wonder what happened to the US's tanker for tanker policy.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@BarakRavid Hi. No deal anytime soon then? What about US's tanker for tanker policy?

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@BrettErickson28 I think so, given that the main pilot is Indian and he has resisted co-pilot from taking control of the flight, and these are the facts. Had the flight been crashed, Israel would have started another war with Iran and then could have had even more convincing false flag stories..

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@MoloWarMonitor What happened to Trump's tanker for tanker policy? Hi @MoloWarMonitor Can we expect any US retaliation?

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@simonbetrader @MoloWarMonitor What about potential risk premiums?

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@BrettErickson28 @andreas_krieg I disagree. Israelis don't have any divine powers. It is reasonable to assume that they didn't do vetting and trusted Emirates, which could very well be the case with multi national flights across the world.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@staunovo Does that mean WTI crude closes it's gap with Brent next week? The gap widened by more than $5/bbl over the last few days on anticipation of a diesel ban and lower refinery runs in the US.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@tleilax___ One could also argue that Trump admin asked for 120 mil bbl of diesel release from SPRs to be released, while Europe agreed for 50 mil bbl diesel release. Maybe falling short of expectations triggered the buying.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@aj_geo_analysis I like the timelines you come up with in your analysis AJ. Q1-27 for Pakistani offensive role as per Mecca pact looks a bit too late given the pace of current escalation with Yemen. Can you speculate/ elaborate a bit more on this timeline?

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@DarioCpx Possible because now that they can't refine their own crude they may choose to export more of it. Haha. 😉

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@MerruX Hi Ali. Refineries seem to be an easy fat target. We have seen this playbook used by Ukraine in targeting Russian refineries.

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@Ibrahym22Nagi Going for provinces under Saudi control would mean a major escalation and a bloody ground war. Is Ansarllah really willing to take such risk brother? What if Saudis carpet bomb Sanaa in retaliation?

[Likhith Sagar @likhithsagar96]

@OSINTWarfare @aj_geo_analysis Hi AJ. I wonder if US is behind these Balochi militants. In one of you analysis, you mentioned US could work on an idea to split Iran.