lone

wielder of the blade

[lone @lonetrack]

@tom_doerr How much harder is the opposite

[Alexander's Cartographer @cartographer_s]

The Pond - Aron Wiesenfeld, 2023

[emma @alltheblueroses]

footsteps in the snow

[Daniel @growing_daniel]

Merry Christmas brothers and sisters. It’s all true. A King is born.

[lone @lonetrack]

Taleb does argue that IQ is predictive, but only in the left tail, decorrelating as it goes higher. The strongest evidence here (against his case) is the odds ratios in the univariate logistic regression from -1 SD to +1 SD, which does show some apparent predictive power after >100. Still, he mainly argues that an asymmetrical piecewise linear function fits this type of data better than a linear model, especially after accounting for noise.

[soli @solisolsoli]

View of Dresden by Moonlight, 1839, by Johan Christian Dahl

[soli @solisolsoli]

Blade of Miquella by Redgonist

[lone @lonetrack]

@kalomaze imo 3.5>3.7>4, benchmark number go up but my experience with the model gets worse