Luis jose

Founder & CEO, ITC | assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Macro, commodities & digital Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Plenty of narratives to justify why Bitcoin is dropping right now, but it often drops into June of midterm years.

I know the four year cycle view is mocked frequently, but it has been far more accurate than every other theory put out there.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Feel free to stop by

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

the best indicator

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

good to see Randi educating the next generation about Bitcoin

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Check out my interview with @BitcoinMagazine where we talk about the current Bitcoin bear market and when it might end:
https://t.co/VATgpX2OGm

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

For reference, this video was recorded a month ago when BTC and altcoins were much higher.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Bitcoin Cliff Dwellers https://t.co/fyo8bgLUaa

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

This work is just an extension of the power law work by @Giovann35084111, the upper and lower tail regression fit I did back in 2020, and the recent work done by @TheRealPlanC on price quantiles. I just simply extend the work to asymmetric tails by letting upper and lower tails have separately estimated curvatures (b_HI vs b_LO) and showing the asymmetry Δb = −0.302 is statistically significant.

Would recommend following both of them

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

While this is true, no apologies needed from anyone.

Let's just all move forward and be respectful of other views, because the truth is that no one knows for sure what will happen in the markets.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Come join!

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Always gotta stay on your toes

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

People will be like:

"The four year cycle is dumb, it is based on only 3 data points."

Then in a post later that day they will say:

"The last time BTC did this was in 2013 and afterwards it went up 700%!!!!🚀🚀🚀"

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

While this time may feel different, this is normally where #BTC is at this point in midterm years.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

https://t.co/fyo8bgLUaa

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

The biggest critics of the Four Year Cycle for Bitcoin will become the biggest cheerleaders of it in a few months

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Come join!

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

"People that say stuff about other people, they're really trying to process something inside of themselves that's bothering them so some insecurities inside of themselves"

-Mike Alfred on Spaces on May 27th, 2026

Also Mike Alfred:

https://t.co/Db4zxitD11

I hope Mike can drop the hate and live by the words he adamantly preaches. I'll extend the olive branch.

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Bitcoin Market Cycles

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

Bitcoin: A Date with Destiny

[Benjamin Cowen @benjamincowen]

🤣