@BritishHodl My ultimate aim is accumulate BTC.
Not many assets will outperform it, but certainly in the short term ETH is doing just that.
The ETH/BTC pairing clearly bottomed at 0.018 and is at least heading to the 0.5 Fib retracement at 0.053 per BTC.
From here that is a pretty easy 25%
@BritishHodl What about swapping for ETH with the ultimate aim of buying back more bitcoin having outperformed it with ETH during the final months of this cycle?
This ATH breakout will surely take ethereum to $8,000+
Next few weeks are gonna be really wild.
I’ve put together all key lessons from this week to guide you through what's coming next & how to stop missing out.
Your alpha pack has landed.
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The big picture (An Update)
IMO: Understand #Bitcoin is a "liquidity sponge". It is the new store of fiat liquidity and together with select L1 blockchains holding Stable Coins makes up the new monetary system 80 years after Bretton Woods established the previous "fiat" system 1 July 1944.
Where we are: A debt to hard money convertion is taking place which will progress until roughly 2050. The new monetary reserve is being established 80 years after the previous "fiat" system was established 1 July 1944 at Bretton Woods in the typical 80 year monetary system cycle.
Do the math. July 1 1944 + 80 years? = 2024.
The transmission of the liquidity (payments) will be through regulated "Digital Dollars" aka Stable Coin - not on the Bitcoin network itself. $BTC is the reserve asset of the new monetary system. It will be used for large transactions (est. $1m+). For the movement of liquidity in the economy Stable Coin will be the pegged unit of transfer (high volume commercial and retail payments) replacing most banking services and "money" as we know it. High speed L1 network tokens will be used for large commercial and institutional payments and to secure the Stable Coin networks via proof of stake concensus. (est. $100k-$1m tx sizes) due to their speed of settlement and deep liquidity replacing most cross border and institutional payment intermedieries and banks.
What to expect on the Bitcoin chart:
Expect a move to $125k, a small consolidation, a move to $140k, a reaccumulation Wyckoff and a top at $155-160k (+- 20%).
The trade is to hold till then and buy the dip following blow off around Q2 2026 at the top of Quantative Easing in the #Wyckoff Distribution which I will commentate here on my profile so you are very aware.
The dip on distribution will be roughly back to $125k (+-20%). Thats your re-entry following institutions and smart money. From there a new #Wyckoff Accumulation will begin to the next business cycle top roughly Bitcoin $250k. At that point the pullback spread will diminish until 2032 where the volatility in Bitcoin will be almost totally gone (will trade like Gold or the SPY) and Bitcoin will be roughly $1m per token in adjusted dollar purchasing power. (Ive posted my Super Cycle chart you have seen this)
Until then buy and hold best in class digital assets. Dont trade in and out and try and time the market you will buy higher and lose tokens. If you want to trade take small leverage trades at low leverage to accumulate more tokens.
Note: If you dont like the stress of trading, just buy and hold - use your assets as collatoral and borrow Stable Coin to live on. You never need to sell Bitcoin, Solana, SUI or Ethereum (these are the Stable Coin, RWA, Capital Market venues), they are embedded into the new monetary system. Just understand the big picture.
Dont fuck this up.
Two ways to store value.
One is scarce, self-sovereign, and keeps going up only.
The other prints endlessly and loses value every year.
And yet, some people think Bitcoin is the risky choice.
Congratulations to all the bitcoin holders.
It has been a long road to get to the current level of adoption and price.
Tons of volatility and even more naysayers.
But each of you ignored the noise, held through it all, and now will reap the benefits of your conviction.
Enjoy it. But realize there is still a ton of work left to do. Quite literally, we are just beginning this multi-decade journey together.
Find good things to do in the world. Spend time with your families. And remember that bitcoin has no top because they will never stop printing money.
The lure of outperforming $SPX w/mkt timing often sign of ignorance or "non-investor" altogether, putting on shows of analyzing mkt conditions, while maintaining a perma-cash pile.
Even the best mkt timer has minimally better performance than Buy Any Time/DCA/Bad Timer
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $ES_F $NDX $RUT $VOO $COMPQ
#Bitcoin
MVRV Z-Score - in my opinion the most important on-chain metric - tells us the true story of where we are in the BTC cycle.
MVRV shows the difference between Bitcoin's market cap and what people actually paid for their coins (realized cap). The Z-Score normalizes this data.
Simple version: When it's high (red zone), people are sitting on massive profits and usually sell. When it's low (green zone), people are underwater and smart money buys.
Look at the pattern: Every major top coincided with MVRV Z-Score above 7-9 (red area) 2017: Hit 9+ before the crash 2021: Hit 7+ before the crash 2025: We're sitting at around 2
We're not even close to the danger zone yet. People aren't massively overextended on profits like they were at previous tops. This tells me we've got room to run.