hi, i'm lux π i use this account to make sense of markets. not predict them. make sense of them.
what that looks like:
β’ market updates and what's actually driving them
β’ investing takes that go further than "buy the dip"
β’ fintech worth knowing about
β’ data over vibes, always
if markets have ever felt like everyone else got a map you didn't, follow along
@nickshirleyy if fraud was actually uncovered, recovering the money and assets is exactly what should happen. public funds should be going back into the system, not financing someoneβs luxury lifestyle.
@_Johnndepp_ 300 days sober is a serious milestone. whatever someoneβs financial position or public profile looks like, addiction can cost far more than money. rooting for anyone whoβs putting in the work to get their life back. ξ
the market is getting a weird combination right now: earnings expectations are holding up, but the cost of money is moving higher again.
the s&p can keep climbing with rates this high, but the margin for disappointment gets a lot smaller. iβm watching earnings revisions and the 10-year yield more closely than the index level itself.
earnings are growing while the multiple investors are paying for those earnings is coming down.
thatβs a pretty interesting setup for stocks right now. if earnings keep accelerating, valuations can become more reasonable without prices needing to fall. the question is how long that lasts.
@justSora_x where are all the people who were saying the concern was overreacting? π nobody should be saying βi told you soβ about this, but that concern didnβt come from nowhere.
@nickshirleyy you know what...if a law makes it harder to investigate potential fraud, that should concern anyone who cares about how public money and private businesses are being run. transparency matters even more when thereβs money involved.
@spikers_bur a 40% move on a pivot announcement is a lot of optimism getting priced in before the revenue exists. iβd be much more interested in where $GPRO trades once the market has actual numbers to judge the data centre business on.
$LULU dropping nearly 18% after cutting its full-year outlook is a good reminder that a strong brand canβt outrun weakening fundamentals forever.
the market will forgive a lot when growth is there. once guidance starts slipping, valuation becomes a much harder sell.
@Dexerto iβve been making a real effort to stay away from fast food but this is testing me π i could eat pckles straight from the jar, so a pickle burger AND frickles might be my downfall fr
@DylanxAI this makes forecasting SaaS spend a lot harder. headcount can stay flat while AI costs keep climbing, so investors and finance teams are going to care a lot more about usage efficiency and whether that spend is actually driving productivity.
the price on the menu is only part of what youβre paying. tax, tip and service fees can push a $20 meal well past $25.
i started looking at the bottom of the receipt instead of the menu price when deciding if a restaurant is actually worth it.
$5m i a serious number π
for $AAPL shareholders, iβd be more interestedin what kind of performance theyβre expecting from ternus to justify a package like that.
@Polymarket $1.2b in debt sounds terrifying until you look at what the debt is secured against.
the number alone doesnβt tell you whether someone is actually in trouble. assets, cash flow, interest costs and liquidity matter way more.
$HOOD is one of those stocks i keep watching because robinhood isnβt just a brokerage anymore.
crypto, prediction markets, retirement accounts, gold, ai tools⦠they keep adding more ways for people to keep their money on the platform.
that expansion is worth paying attention to.