Max Marty

Entrepreneur / Hayekian / Practical Radical / Up-Winger / Building with AI. Plan to stick around for a very long time.🧊🔰

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@JeremiahDJohns Really depends on what you want to do with it. If you’re not coding, Claude is best. If you also want image gen, ChatGPT. If you want to do some serious dev work or research, don’t get just one - get both and compare results / have one check the other one’s work.

[Archie Hall @ArchieHall]

AIs cracking short-term superforecasting is such an important (and, still, under-discussed) trend.

Via a new piece from @nikostro https://t.co/EuVP7FyfbD

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@diviacaroline Or say they will, and continue doing whatever they want to do anyway. But lots of people on X will certainly sleep better for awhile.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@KatjaGrace It is real. And people who insist this administration (or any) is going to negotiate productively with the CCP to get them to effectively and fully police their numerous AI labs to stay behind the US on AI development are, IMO, very naive on this matter.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@bryan_johnson “an anti-entropic system can only sustain its own order by consuming other anti-entropic systems”

Incorrect. Anti entropic systems need energy, but it doesn’t have to come from other anti entropic systems. Stars produce light that nourishes plants, stars are not anti-entropic.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@ATabarrok Reg capture locks in the current positions on the board. You don’t lock your position in when you’re losing, you lock it in when you’re winning.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@parsecranberry @dschwarz26 Ahem - what's the first rule of fight club?

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@RichardHanania This is not a graph of children getting dumber. It's a graph of fewer *children being born* holding country-IQs fixed.
And it's not even in the original paper, it's other peoples' data layered into it. Don't be fooled by the quick read.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@bryan_caplan @bryan_caplan, use a model meant for doing forecasting work: https://t.co/t3VmzOm5hZ

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

My AI work today, beautifully illustrated within itself.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@dschwarz26 If the 22 year old was only bringing cognitive abilities that could be replaced by Fable, then sure. But maybe new hire was bringing more than that. Maybe bringing their network, their discernment, their morale-boosting, and a bunch of other things Fable can't easily reproduce.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

I asked Futuresearch (top AI prediction engine) when we'd be able to fully reverse the cryopreservation of a whole mammal. The median forecast was ~40 years. https://t.co/qasfYjcm5D

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@dschwarz26 And man, do they hallucinate!

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@dschwarz26 I keep hearing they’re on their way to “general” intelligence, but every model I meet is frontier on just one or two narrow tasks and slow Haiku on everything else.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

Put it in the interface.

1. Figure out when each question the user asked is expected to resolve by.
2. On that date, a notification appears on top of that specific question X in the side panel / history.
3. Clicking that old question brings up a quick pop: "what did you finally do regarding X?"

You can even add 50c incentive or something to the account if you want, per resolution answered.

[(Stephanie) Slade @sladesr]

Love love love this. https://t.co/6yj66H4vyl

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@moreisdifferent Does it seem to provide usefully *different* answers to the same problems as Fable or Sol? Trying to decide if Grok Build would make a good secondary model, to function as a reviewer.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

When the AI-generated docs/comments loaded on every session looks like this, it's time for an aduit.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@Liv_Boeree @paulg “Pro or anti” relative to the status quo. That’s a pretty easy “pro”.

[Max Marty @MakesMarty]

@RichardHanania Just hold the umbrella, who cares what anyone else thinks?