$CAPR @Mike_Taylor1972 always talks about risk reversals and it saved me today… had (10) Dec ‘19 $5 puts for ~5k and (10) Dec ‘19 $25 calls for ~$300. Puts are up massively, somehow making my pos profitable. Structure sometimes > idea. Tiny size as I am still new to biotech.
@zacktanzx@joecarlsonshow I think the financials are backing up $VFC to a pretty strong extent trading ~7x our ‘28 eps target. 5 consecutive quarters of positive rate of change (going from shit to ok). New VANS platforms growing double digits. Margin structure is improving and B/S is derisking.
Why 40x Earnings May Not Hold
FAST trades at ~40x NTM P/E vs. a 10yr avg of 27x.
EPS revisions are flat. Vending growth is slowing.
Great business, but valuation looks stretched.
Mean reversion risk is real.
🎥 Full breakdown: https://t.co/bRU2fXt5ep
#PitchThePM
Like $VFC here: 1) Vans women’s mix is inflecting; 2) Avg shoe ASP has ticked higher for first time since ‘22 (~60% of Vans rev); 3) Weak Vans comps from inventory right sizing. 4) Dickies sale provides 2.5 yrs of runway removing solvency risk.
@dirtcheapstocks That was a wicked read… sometimes I forget some of the best trades are found digging through 1000s of pages not knowing what you’re looking for.