Makrointelligenz

Volkswirt mit Leidenschaft für Makroökonomie und Finanzmarktthemen

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Mentale Inkompetenz ist nun die Norm.

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

@bryan_johnson @bluemoondance74 does it matter though? my watch even shows a too low range for my heart rate in sleep. Also 4 hours is quite long for last meal and caused me to wake up too early. is snacking ok?

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

@DrFrankLipman immediately blunted my running performance in standard dose. It seems to deny you access to the highest gear, so you have to stop at 5% less heart rate.

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

@nishikoripicks looking at his finals performance he surely does not appear to be the most mentally strong. games won were around 51.5 last season.
point be point he seems decent though:
https://t.co/phU3lCRVb7

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

@nishikoripicks I understand what you re saying, but a tiebreak is short,too. What is his game winning percentage? Surely a lot less than 60% and much closer to 50. Also a tiebreak signals a close match so I don't think he would be expected to win more than 55%.
It is a slight underperformance

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Neuer Blogpost: Die Theorie der Strategiespiele
https://t.co/vIwAk22vUu

[Nature is Amazing ☘️ @AMAZlNGNATURE]

That Eagle got mad and embarrassed for getting the bag stuck 😂😂

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Wie kann es dazu kommen? @GoogleDE

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Gerade mal nach "makrointelligenz blog" gegoogelt und es wird zwar dieses Twitter Handle ganz oben angezeigt, aber der Blog selbst kommt gar nicht vor. Unverständlich!

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Der Rest der Welt hat sich hier auseinander dividieren lassen und Trump völlig ungerechtfertigte Zugeständnisse gemacht. Es wäre viel besser gewesen, die USA sich über Zölle selbst isolieren zu lassen.

[Jorge Liboreiro @JorgeLiboreiro]

The US and South Korea reach a trade deal:

- 15% tariff for most South Korean products
- 15% tariff for South Korean cars, down from 25%
- $350 billion pledge to invest in the US
- $100 billion pledge to buy US LNG
- No changes to sensitive agricultural goods

Sounds familiar?

[Secular Talk ([email protected]) @KyleKulinski]

Trump’s economic team

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Wenn in Zukunft die Früchte der KI verteilt werden, sollten wir sicherstellen, dass Dramaqueens und Neidhammel einfach garnichts bekommen. Kein Geld für Abschaum! Sperrt die Idioten ein!

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Trump Zölle sind explizit so ausgelegt Druck, besonders auf kleine Einheiten auszuüben, um irgendwelche Konzessionen herauszuhandeln. Derartigen Bullymethoden gibt man nicht nach, man schlägt zurück insbesondere aus Solidarität mit besonders betroffenen Ländern.

[ian bremmer @ianbremmer]

this is…incredibly stupid

eu: $235.6bn surplus, $605.8bn exports, 235.6/605.8 = 39% claimed tariffs charged

indonesia: $17.9bn surplus, $28.1bn exports, 17.9/28.1 = 64% claimed tariffs charged

india: $45.7bn surplus, $87.4bn exports, 45.7/87.4 = 52% claimed tariffs charged

vietnam: $123.5bn surplus, $136.6 exports, 123.5/136.6 = 90% claimed tariffs charged

which explains why the “tariffs charged to the usa” column looked made up.

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Ich bin ja aus utilitaristischen Gesichtspunkt für eine gleiche Verteilung von Kaufkraft, allerdings komme ich bei sozial(istischen) Neidhammeln und Aufmerksamkeitshuren oft ins Grübeln, ob wir denen nicht aus Prinzip einfach weniger geben sollten.

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Es ist jedenfalls äußerst seltsam, das Selbstbestimmungsrecht auf Konstrukte zu beziehen, in welchen eine Großzahl von Individuen über Delegation kontrolliert wird, aber gleichzeitig individuelle Selbstbestimmung zu verweigern.

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Was mich immer irritiert sind Aussagen wie "die Ukraine muss selbst entscheiden", als ob es sich hierbei um einen Menschen handeln würde.Gleichzeitig sieht man aber kein Problem darin,wenn echte Menschen zum Tode durch Wehrpflicht verurteilt werden, um d "Freiheit" zu verteidigen

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Yup, delusionals "Zelensky, like many Western leaders, was influenced by a media image shaped by propaganda and public relations. He believed in his own storytelling, that of a democratic leader fighting against Russian aggression, much like Winston Churchill ...."

[Ivan Katchanovski @I_Katchanovski]

"For political scientist Ivan Katchanovski, a specialist in contemporary Ukraine, the historic meeting between Trump and Zelensky illustrates the collapse of the Western media narrative around the Ukrainian president. Originally from western Ukraine, Ivan Katchanovski is a leading specialist in contemporary Ukraine and the post-Soviet space. Having worked at the Library of Congress and Harvard, he now teaches at the University of Ottawa.

In this interview with Libre Média, he looks back on the incredible scene that took place on February 28 at the White House between Zelensky and Trump, a moment revealing the growing tensions between Washington and Kiev.

Jérôme Blanchet-Gravel: What was your first reaction to the meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump?

Ivan Katchanovski : "It's a disaster. This meeting was a clear demonstration of the failure of Zelensky's policy and his inability to anticipate the changing balance of power on the international scene. He underestimated Trump's influence and failed to adapt to a changing geopolitical context.

Zelensky, like many Western leaders, was influenced by a media image shaped by propaganda and public relations. He believed in his own storytelling, that of a democratic leader fighting against Russian aggression, much like Winston Churchill was presented during World War II.

But today, the climate has changed. The Biden administration continues to support Ukraine, but Trump seeks to assert a posture of rupture. He does not want to be perceived as an unconditional supporter of Kyiv and questions the logic of massive military support for Ukraine without the prospect of negotiation.

This face-to-face between Trump and Zelensky therefore illustrates two opposing visions: that of maintaining the conflict under the aegis of Biden and that of a more pragmatic approach advocated by Trump, which could lead to a reassessment of alliances."

Do you think the break between Washington and kyiv is final?

Ivan Katchanovski : "Not necessarily, but the situation is tense. Ukraine is, first of all, a client state of the United States.

📷

Political scientist Ivan Katchanovski. Editing by LM.

Washington, whether Democrats or Republicans, cannot afford to completely lose its influence over kyiv. One thing is certain: Trump is not a die-hard supporter of Zelensky.

One of the goals of the meeting was to discuss an agreement between Trump and Zelensky on the exploitation of Ukraine's natural resources, including oil, gas and some strategic minerals.

Although the deal has not been signed, Trump has suggested it remains a possibility, emphasizing that U.S.-Ukrainian relations could evolve based on U.S. economic interests.

Also read: The fall of the empire of good

Another sticking point is the question of leadership in Ukraine. Even among Ukraine’s most ardent supporters in the United States, some are beginning to question Zelensky’s continued power. There are voices, particularly within the Republican Party, that are openly advocating for his departure.

Trump may be seeking to completely redefine the relationship between Washington and kyiv. This could involve increasing pressure on Zelensky to negotiate with Moscow, or even a restructuring of power in Ukraine.

Trump recently called Zelensky a “dictator without elections.” Is there any truth in this umpteenth provocative statement?

Ivan Katchanovski : "From a strictly factual point of view, there is some truth in this statement. According to the Ukrainian Constitution, elections should have been held after the expiration of Zelensky's term. However, he refuses to hold them, citing the state of war.

This refusal poses a problem of democratic legitimacy. Zelensky still controls the country's key institutions, including parliament and the security forces. He has also restricted some freedoms, notably by censoring media outlets and repressing some political opponents.

In this context, Trump and other critics have every right to denounce an authoritarian drift.

Of course, Zelensky is facing exceptional circumstances, but his continued power without elections fuels accusations of authoritarian rule.

It is also interesting to note that Trump's criticism partly coincides with that of Russia. Moscow has long presented Zelensky as an illegitimate president, installed and supported by the West to serve its interests.

The fact that Trump is adopting a similar tone could have consequences for the perception of the conflict in the West."

How can this anthology scene be perceived in Moscow?

Ivan Katchanovski : "For Russia, this situation validates their view of Zelensky as a pawn of the West who seeks above all to prolong the war in order to preserve his own power.

This is not the first time that Zelensky has adopted such a posture. In 2019, during the Paris negotiations, he was supposed to sign an agreement to implement the Minsk agreements. But at the last minute, he refused, playing the ambiguity card and adopting an attitude that suggested that he was not really interested in a peaceful settlement of the conflict.

Putin and the Kremlin view Zelensky as an opportunistic actor who seeks above all to preserve his personal power.

For Moscow, this new confrontation between Trump and Zelensky could be seen as a weakening of Ukraine and a strategic opportunity."

What role does the European Union play in this dynamic?

Ivan Katchanovski : "The European Union has historically been perceived as an economic rather than a military power. Its initial role was to avoid new conflicts in Europe, notably between France and Germany.

But today the EU has engaged in active military support for Ukraine. Countries like France and the UK openly support the continuation of the conflict, rejecting any prospect of negotiation.

Also read: Ukraine: "We are witnessing a fracture within the Western camp"

One of the paradoxes is that this posture goes against the EU's original objective, which was to be a force for peace. Today, it plays a role that is more akin to that of a military bloc supporting one side against another.

Europe risks finding itself in a difficult position if the US changes course under a Trump administration. If Washington reduces its support for Ukraine, the EU will have to choose between continuing alone or adjusting its policy accordingly.

What could be the next developments?

Ivan Katchanovski : "Zelensky is trying to get increased support from the Europeans to compensate for a possible loss of American support.

He is seeking to influence French, British and German leaders to keep the conflict alive. But this strategy carries risks: a definitive break with Trump could isolate Kyiv and create internal political instability in Ukraine."" https://t.co/eFZI2e4CxU

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

Europas Neocon F��hrerin möchte weiter für die amerikanische Weltvormacht und gegen China kämpfen, obwohl diese Richtung sogar dort abgewählt wurde. Bizarr!

[Clash Report @clashreport]

EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaja Kallas:

"If together we are not able to put enough pressure on Moscow, then how can we claim that we can defeat China?"

[Makrointelligenz @Makroint]

@MSchularick "Verteidigungsinvestitionen" ist schon irreführend, für totes Kapital was verrotten wird und leider keine Erträge abwirft. Aber kein Wunder, dass dann auch offensichtlich illegitime Trickserei ok sein soll.