Marco Da Pozzo

E gente giusta che rifiuti di esser preda
Di facili entusiasmi e ideologie alla moda
(Mogol)

[Zartonk Media @ZartonkMedia]

What Pashinyan Can & Cannot Do With 64 Seats: Govern Alone & Reshape the Courts, but Lacks the Votes for the Azerbaijan Peace Deal Referendum
➖➖➖
Civil Contract's win in Sunday's parliamentary election settles the basic question of power: Nikol Pashinyan will govern on his own, elect the prime minister, and pass his program without coalition partners.

What it does not settle is the one thing Pashinyan most wants to do: amend the constitution to clear the way for a peace treaty with Azerbaijan. That requires a level of support the voters did not give him, and one he cannot reach without help from the very opponents trying to stop him.

Preliminary final figures give Civil Contract 49.81 percent and 64 of the 105 seats, the Strong Armenia alliance 23.29 percent and 29 seats, and the Armenia alliance 9.94 percent and 12 seats. Gagik Tsarukyan's Prosperous Armenia fell just short of the 4 percent threshold for entry, taking 58,368 votes, or 3.996 percent, roughly 50 votes below the line. The party has said it will demand a recount.

Why One Recount Could Reshape Pashinyan's Power
With 64 seats, Civil Contract clears not only a simple majority but the three-fifths mark, 63 seats in the 105-member parliament, that unlocks a far wider set of powers.

If a recount lifts Prosperous Armenia above 4 percent, a fourth force enters and Civil Contract's total falls to 61, Strong Armenia to 28, and the Armenia alliance to 11. At 61 seats Civil Contract would keep a governing majority but lose the three-fifths threshold.

The Central Electoral Commission chairman has said it is not yet known whether three or four forces will enter parliament, with the final distribution of mandates to be determined later.

Recounts rarely overturn a result, but this margin is thin enough that a swing of a few dozen ballots would change what Pashinyan can do without the opposition.

What Three-Fifths Gives Him
The three-fifths majority unlocks powers a simple majority does not. With it, Civil Contract can on its own adopt or amend the country's constitutional laws, the Electoral Code, the Judicial Code, and the laws governing the Constitutional Court, referendums, political parties, and the Human Rights Defender.

The same threshold lets it appoint or dismiss judges of the Constitutional Court and Court of Cassation, members of the Supreme Judicial Council, the Prosecutor General, the Human Rights Defender, and the members of the Central Electoral Commission, the broadcast regulator, the Audit Chamber, and the Central Bank governor.

At 64 seats, all of this is within the ruling party's unilateral control; at 61, none of it is.

The Constitutional Bind with Azerbaijan
What three-fifths does not deliver is the two-thirds majority, about 70 seats, needed to initiate constitutional amendments or put fundamental articles of the constitution to a referendum. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has made amending Armenia's constitution a precondition for signing the agreed peace treaty, objecting to the preamble's reference to the Declaration of Independence, which Baku reads as an implicit territorial claim. Removing it has been a stated Civil Contract priority, but a change of that magnitude can only be made through a referendum, and calling one requires a two-thirds majority Pashinyan does not have and cannot assemble on his own.

That leaves him needing opposition votes for precisely the concession his opponents are most determined to deny him. Strong Armenia and the Armenia alliance have built their politics around resisting what they cast as capitulation to Azerbaijan, and handing Pashinyan a constitutional change demanded by Aliyev runs against everything they campaigned on. The final step of the peace process therefore depends on a parliamentary arithmetic the prime minister cannot solve without the cooperation of forces ideologically opposed to giving it.

A Contested Result
The outcome is not yet final, and every other force in the race is challenging it. Prosperous Armenia will demand a recount and pursue disclosure of alleged violations.

The Armenia alliance has said it will formally contest the results, with ARF figure Ishkhan Saghatelyan vowing to continue the fight "until victory."

Strong Armenia's spokesperson said the published figures cannot reflect the real picture, and Samvel Karapetyan, who finished second and remains under house arrest, called the election "shameful," alleging mass detentions of his campaign staff.

Wings of Unity, led by Arman Tatoyan, which fell below the threshold, rejected the results as illegal, announced its own recount, and is weighing a formal challenge, alleging voter coercion and falsification.

Armenia's Investigative Committee said it had opened 59 criminal cases over alleged violations.

International observers from the OSCE/ODIHR described the election as professionally administered and offering voters a genuine choice, while raising significant concerns about the campaign environment.

The mission's preliminary findings called the campaign highly confrontational and marked by divisive rhetoric, allegations of vote-buying, and other violations that led to numerous criminal proceedings against opposition candidates and activists. The observers noted that many opposition supporters refrained from active campaigning, and expressed concern that pressure on public-sector employees to attend ruling-party events, combined with recently introduced social and economic measures, raised questions about equality of opportunity among contestants.

“Armenia's voters were given, and took, the opportunity to make a genuine choice in a professionally managed election process and a vibrant and pluralistic, if often highly polarized campaign,” said Janez Lenarčič, head of the OSCE/ODIHR election observation mission. “Unfortunately, they had to make that choice against the backdrop of unprecedented foreign interference and pressure, in the form of punitive trade measures and day-by-day threats of further negative consequences contingent on which choice they made.”

The mission also noted the vote took place amid significant foreign involvement, with the head of its delegation suggesting that high-profile visits by EU and US officials shortly before the vote could have influenced the electoral environment.

The final composition of parliament will not be settled until the deadline for recount requests passes and any appeals are resolved.

[301🇦🇲 @301arm]

Just 50 votes could have major implications for Armenia’s next parliament.

Prosperous Armenia is currently just 0.004% short of the 4% threshold needed to enter the National Assembly and has requested a recount. If the party fails to enter parliament, its votes would be redistributed among the parties that did, potentially increasing Civil Contract’s seat count from 61 to 64.

That difference is significant. While 61 seats would allow Civil Contract to form a government, 64 seats would give it the 3/5 majority required to pass constitutional laws and make a range of key institutional appointments. However, even with 64 seats, the ruling party would still fall short of the 2/3 majority needed to initiate constitutional amendments.

Read our breakdown of what is at stake and what powers depend on these parliamentary thresholds at https://t.co/hdr488LY1m.

https://t.co/7q6vnGVq6l

[301🇦🇲 @301arm]

FINAL RESULTS OF ARMENIA'S PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS

With 1,476,916 votes counted, the Central Election Commission has published the final results of the parliamentary elections.

▫️"Civil Contract" Party: 727,160 votes (49.81%)
▫️"Strong Armenia" Alliance: 340,062 votes (23.29%)
▫️"Armenia" Alliance: 145,097 votes (9.94%)
▫️"Prosperous Armenia" Party: 58,368 votes (4.00%)

Parties and alliances that failed to meet the electoral threshold will not receive seats in parliament. Their votes will be redistributed in the seat allocation process among the political forces that passed the threshold.

Based on the final results, the projected seat distribution in the National Assembly is:

▫️"Civil Contract" Party: 61 seats
▫️"Strong Armenia" Alliance: 28 seats
▫️"Armenia" Alliance: 11 seats
▫️"Prosperous Armenia" Party: 5 seats

While the ruling "Civil Contract" Party is projected to retain a parliamentary majority, it falls short of the 70 seats required for a constitutional majority.

A total of 1,476,916 ballots were counted nationwide.

#ArmVote26

[Hov Nazaretyan @HovhanNaz]

these figures translate roughly to the following parliamentary composition:

Pashinyan: 57%

Karapetyan: 27%
Kocharyan: 11%
Tsarukyan: 5%

[Public Radio of Armenia @armradio]

Nikol Pashinyan declares Civil Contract victory, says party will form government alone https://t.co/QcpLWNOEJ3 via @armradio #Armenia

[OC Media @OCMediaorg]

🔴 Live updates:

According to the initial results posted by Tavush Governor Hayk Ghalumyan, Civil Contract won at Kirants village with 55%. Strong Armenia followed with 15%, Armenia Alliance 10%, and Prosperous Armenia 2%.

🔗 Read more: https://t.co/kWYtqE9BdR

[301🇦🇲 @301arm]

CEC Processes 66,239 Votes

The Central Election Commission has processed results representing 66,239 votes, or approximately 4.49% of the 1,476,597 ballots cast nationwide.

Current results:

▫️"Civil Contract" Party: 35,998 votes (55.17%)
▫️"Strong Armenia" Alliance: 14,315 votes (22.09%)
▫️"Armenia" Alliance: 5,350 votes (8.31%)
▫️"Prosperous Armenia" Party: 3,688 votes (5.67%)

More than 95% of ballots remain uncounted.

#ArmVote26

[OC Media @OCMediaorg]

Ahead of elections, incumbent Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has found an unlikely cheerleader — Azerbaijani pro-government media.

https://t.co/uG2tf3Fnjw

[David Galstyan @Aeternum7]

#Israel secretly deployed elite military and intelligence units to #Azerbaijan during the war with #Iran - CNN

The forces operated out of several locations in southern Azerbaijan adjacent to Iran’s northern border and, at its closest point, only 60 miles from Tabriz

#Armenia

[Ultimora.net @ultimoranet]

Zelensky scrive una lettera aperta a Putin:

"Qualunque cosa tu dica sulla NATO, la geopolitica e la lingua russa, questa guerra è una tua scelta personale. Una guerra senza una vera ragione. È così che la storia la ricorderà. Non ti aspettavi una resistenza su larga scala dall'Ucraina e non avevi previsto che le cose sarebbero andate così. L'Ucraina preserva la sua indipendenza. E la preserverà. Non abbiate paura di uscire dalla guerra. Questa è la cosa principale che vi chiediamo ora. Noi in Ucraina non vogliamo una guerra permanente. Sappiamo molto bene che senza guerra è incommensurabilmente meglio. L'Ucraina propone di porre fine a questa guerra attraverso un dialogo diretto tra noi e voi. Propongo un incontro"

👉 Lettera completa: https://t.co/IYwwcl3Srr

[The Caspian Post @thecaspianpost]

🇹🇷🇦🇲A First After 33 Years: Armenian Delegation Crosses into Kars from the Land Border

A notable step in the Turkey-Armenia normalization process.. The Armenian delegation crossed into Kars by bus from the land border after a 33-year gap.

Businesspeople gathered to discuss economic cooperation opportunities between the two countries.

[OC Media @OCMediaorg]

Who’s who in Armenia’s 2026 parliamentary elections?

https://t.co/cd7hueXJEw

[InsideOver @insideoverita]

L’invasione del Libano da parte di Israele prosegue durante il cosiddetto “cessate il fuoco”: l’esercito israeliano ha conquistato il castello di Beaufort, risalente a 900 anni fa, oltre il fiume Litani.

Arroccata su una collina dominante, la fortezza medievale domina gran parte del Libano meridionale, rivestendo un'importanza strategica significativa.

Si tratta della più profonda invasione del Libano da parte di Israele in oltre 26 anni.

L’IDF si sta avvicinando alla città di Nabatiyeh, centro economico e fulcro culturale per il Libano meridionale e considerata simbolo di resistenza.

Il controllo delle colline circostanti garantirebbe una posizione dominante su ampie zone del Libano meridionale e sulla parte occidentale della valle della Bekaa.

La tregua entrata ufficialmente in vigore il 17 aprile non è mai stata rispettata.

Dalla “tregua” l’IDf ha ucciso oltre 700 persone. Dal 2 marzo Israele ha ucciso 3.370 persone tra cui oltre 200 bambini.

Dal 2 marzo Israele ha ucciso 133 paramedici: l’ultimo sabato 30 maggio. Si tratta del giovanissimo Hussein Wehbi.

Israele continua ad attaccare i villaggi libanesi con fosforo bianco. L’uso del fosforo bianco contro aree civili è vietato dal diritto internazionale in quanto il fosforo bianco brucia fino alle ossa scioglieno vestiti, pelle, muscoli.

Come riporta la giornalista @cbonneauimages dal Libano, l’IDF continua a emettere ordini di evacuazione forzata sotto minaccia di morte mentre continua i bombardamenti contro i civili.

Dal 2 marzo Israele ha costretto oltre 1 milione di persone a sfollare.



#lebanonunderattack #lebanongenocide

[Marco Da Pozzo @marcodpIII]

@IMPERATORAUS Uniate.

[301🇦🇲 @301arm]

BREAKING: Armenia’s Administrative Court has revoked the Republic of Artsakh’s ownership rights over its representation building in Yerevan, deepening accusations that Nikol Pashinyan’s government is dismantling the last institutional remnants of Artsakh.

The case was brought by Armenia’s Prosecutor General’s Office, which sought to invalidate the state registration recognizing the property as belonging to the Republic of Artsakh. The court ruled in favor of the government.

Lawyer Roman Yeritsyan condemned the decision as a “historic disgrace,” arguing that Armenian authorities are now legally erasing Artsakh’s presence after surrendering it politically and militarily.

The representation office had long served as Artsakh’s official presence in Armenia and remained one of the few surviving state symbols after the 2023 exodus of the Armenian population from Artsakh following Azerbaijan’s military operation.

Opposition figures and critics of Nikol Pashinyan say the ruling reflects a broader effort to liquidate Artsakh’s legal status, silence its institutions, and close the chapter on Armenian claims tied to Artsakh.

The ruling is expected to be appealed at the Administrative Court of Appeals.

[Diane Montagna @dianemontagna]

JUST IN: SSPX Announces Four Priests to Be Consecrated as Bishops on July 1: https://t.co/RF6VGeBWdB

In a statement released today at 2:32pm (Rome), the SSPX said the four priests are:

Father Pascal Schreiber, of Swiss nationality;
Father Michael Goldade, of American nationality;
Father Michel Poinsinet de Sivry, of French nationality;
Father Marc Hanappier, of French nationality.

“In a spirit of respect toward the supreme authority of the universal Church, the dossiers of these priests were presented to the Holy Father, together with certain explanations necessary for a proper understanding of this step, within the very particular and exceptional context of these episcopal consecrations,” the statement added.

Article here: https://t.co/RF6VGeBWdB

[Marco Da Pozzo @marcodpIII]

Lettera Enciclica "Magnifica Humanitas" di Papa Leone XIV sulla custodia della persona umana nel tempo dell’intelligenza artificiale https://t.co/yRAwYP6x6Q

[Ver Media @vermedianetwork]

Armenias PM Pashinyan announced that the railway route going from Armenia to Turkey via Georgia is now open for cargo trade to and from Armenia.

The railway going from Akhalkalaki to Kars and to other parts of Turkey and Syria can be used by businesses to import and export goods, helping further develop Armenias economy.

“I am pleased to announce that the Akhalkalak-Kars railway, like the Azerbaijani railway, is now open for exports from Armenia and imports to Armenia. This is a major event in our country’s economic life,” Pashinyan wrote.

Armenia and Turkey are also discussing restoring the Gyumri-Kars railway which will allow direct imports and export of goods to and from each country without having to go through Georgia.

Pashinyan also said railway links between Armenia and Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan, and the Armenia-Iran connection through Nakhijevan are also expected to open in the near future.
According to Pashinyan, these developments are expected to materialize through the implementation of the TRIPP project, which he said will further expand regional transport connectivity and integration.

[Fuori dal coro @fuoridalcorotv]

"Guarda che l'Italia fra un po' diventa musulmana veramente! Questa è casa nostra adesso!"

Il servizio completo di @_FrancescoLeone a #Fuoridalcoro è su Mediaset Infinity

[Angelo Gambella @agambella]

#Modena Il "Giornale" ricostruisce la testimonianza di una persona che ha messo tutto a verbale in Questura.
"Ho riconosciuto la foto di Salim El Koudri non appena è stata pubblicata sui giornali. Non ho avuto il minimo dubbio: era lui l'uomo sotto i portici che parlava dei 40.000 euro"
https://t.co/hRAxRPXFhW