@BretWeinstein If I come across a dead body with two bullet holes behind their ear I don't need to know the name of the shooter to know that I'm looking at a murder victim. 'Give me the name' is obfuscation
My dad studied aeronautical engineering and worked as an aircraft maintenance engineer. Has Alzheimers now but often says very funny stuff. He recently said 'An engineer will climb over a mountain of virgins to fuck a mechanic'. I'm dying
@EnochBurke A system that jails an entire family just to shut them up, has already told you everything you need to know about who is really afraid of the truth.
@JacquiDeevoy1 Depending on the aircraft type the fuel is stored in fuel tanks in the belly of the plane and, yes, the wings. The wings carry the 40 tonnes of the empty aircraft weight and some, but not all of the fuel. The wings are surprisingly strong and can flex up and down by a few metres
In 2015, Bernie Sanders said that open borders is a right-wing proposal aimed at bringing in cheap labor, and that mass immigration drives down wages for American workers.
Milton Friedman: ”Why is it that free immigration was a good thing before 1914, and free immigration is a bad thing today? Free immigration, in the same sense that we had before 1914, is not possible today. Why not? Because it is one thing to have free immigration to jobs. It is another thing to have free immigration to welfare. And you cannot have both.
If you have a welfare state, if you have a state in which every resident is promised a certain minimum level of income, or a minimum level of subsistence, regardless of whether he works or not, produces it or not, it really is an impossible thing. If you have free immigration in the way in which we had it before 1914, everybody benefited. The people who were here benefited. The people who came benefited, because nobody would come unless he, or his family, thought he would do better here than he would elsewhere. And the new immigrants provided additional resources, provided additional possibilities for the people already here. So everybody could mutually benefit.”
The math behind this is actually really fascinating, and it explains why the Left has to rely so much on institutional capture and mass migration to remain alive.
The children of Liberals adopt their worldview 89% of the time, while Conservatives see their kids adopt theirs 81% of the time.
But this advantage on the Left is dwarfed by the fact that they’re essentially an anti-catalyst movement.
We know that women have kids at a higher rate than men across the board, but Conservative men have kids at a higher rate than even Liberal women.
This means that ~59% of Conservatives become parents, while just ~31% of Liberals do.
That’s almost a 2X fertility advantage.
And when you multiply those numbers by the ideological detainment rate on both sides, you see that:
59% x .81 = 47.8
31% x .89 = 27.6
So that rounds to a minimum of 48 Conservative-aligned children per 100 Conservative adults, compared to a minimum of just 28 Liberal-aligned children per 100 Liberal adults.
Conservatives are reproducing their worldview at ~70% higher rate per adult than liberals.
And this is a minimum estimate because all our math here assumes that both the Conservable and Liberal families had only one kid, but we know Conservatives on average have much larger families.
The Left can’t compete with this organically, so they have to essentially steal the children of Conservatives through the education and media system (which they’ve all ideologically hijacked) and import new voters who will make up for their own collapsing birthrates.
If you ended all immigration and dismantled their dominance over education, the Left would be extinct in 20 years.
They are targeting the morons, the undiscerning, the sheep, “it’s a loyalty test”
Brilliant strategic analysis of the current state of the U.S. government’s information war by @ShahidkBolsen
In 1983, Steve Jobs predicted the next 50 years of technology.
His predictions:
• iPhone
• Internet
• Softwares
• App stores
• Artificial Intelligence
10 futuristic predictions from this talk that came true:
1. Every major revolution starts ugly
To understand why modern society feels so broken, you need to look at the underlying laws that drive human behavior...
Once you understand these ideas, your worldview changes.
11 mental models/cognitive biases/rules that run the modern world...
1. The Zebra Effect
This explains why people are terrified to stand out. Biologists found they couldn't track a single zebra because the herd's stripes acted as visual noise.
When they marked one zebra with a red dot, the lions immediately isolated and killed it.
The modern urge to conform isn't cowardice; it's evolutionary biology at work.
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2. The Tocqueville Paradox
As living standards rise, people become *less* satisfied, not more.
When social conditions improve, the remaining inequalities or irritants become more glaring and intolerable.
This explains why the most prosperous generation in human history is also the most outraged and resentful.
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P.S. If you want my complete collection of the BEST, most useful mental models, cognitive biases, and mental fallacies, grab a free copy here:
https://t.co/u2q1uUm9vD
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3. Gall's Law
A complex system that works is invariably found to have evolved from a simple system that worked.
You cannot design a complex system from scratch (like a new economy or government program) and expect it to function.
It will fail. This is why modern technocratic "top-down" solutions almost always end in disaster.
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4. Mimetic Desire
René Girard’s theory that we don’t truly know what we want. We only want things because *other people* want them.
We don't desire objects; we desire the status of the model who owns the object.
Social media has weaponized this, creating a global feedback loop of envy and "borrowed" desires that leads to infinite competition.
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5. Chesterton’s Fence
If you see a fence in a field, don’t tear it down until you understand why it was put there.
Ancient traditions and social norms may look useless to the modern eye, but they are often holding back wolves you’ve never had to fight.
Dismantling "outdated" structures without understanding them is suicide.
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6. The "Ruler’s Paradox" (Principal-Agent Problem)
The person in charge is rarely in charge.
An executive cannot implement ideas on the ground because the bureaucrats (middle management) have their own incentives and act as a filter.
Nicholas II realized this too late: “I never ruled Russia. 10,000 clerks ruled Russia.”
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7. Parkinson’s Law
Work expands to fill the time available, and bureaucracy expands regardless of work.
When the British Navy decreased its ships from 68 to 20, the number of dockyard officials increased by 78%.
Institutions inevitably become bloated, slower, and worse over time as clerks manufacture work for other clerks.
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8. Preference Falsification (New)
Timur Kuran’s concept that people lie about their private beliefs to fit the perceived public consensus.
This creates a "house of cards" society where a view seems dominant (because everyone is parroting it), but is actually fragile.
Once a few people speak the truth, the facade collapses instantly.
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9. The Medici Effect
Innovation happens at the intersection of fields.
The Renaissance occurred because the Medicis funded sculptors, philosophers, and scientists to live and work in proximity.
Today, the internet is the ultimate Medici engine, allowing for a cross-pollination of ideas that traditional education tries to segregate.
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10. The Centipede's Dilemma
If you ask a centipede which leg moves fastest, it will trip and forget how to walk.
Hyper-analysis destroys natural competence.
We are currently seeing a culture of endless self-reflection, therapy-speak, and navel-gazing that is ironically eroding our ability to function as resilient human beings.
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11. Minimal Self Hypothesis
Narcissism is actually a "strategic retreat."
When the world feels random, dangerous, and overwhelming, people retreat into the only thing they can control: themselves.
The self becomes "minimal" to reduce surface area to pain.
This is why people are abandoning long-term commitments (marriage, career, community) to conserve energy for vague, upcoming disasters.
P.S. If you want my complete collection of the BEST, most useful mental models, cognitive biases, and mental fallacies, grab a free copy here:
https://t.co/u2q1uUm9vD