My Substack's stock ideas since inception have been like Shohei Ohtani going 13-for-14 with 3 grand slam homeruns.
It won't last, but it's been fun so far!
Ken Griffin says the best stock pickers are right just 54% of the time. $NVDA
But the hard part of value investing is distinguishing between what's temporarily unloved (real opportunity) and secular decline (value trap), and your post does zero of that work and just lazily asserts every name is the former. "Earnings compound" only holds if the business isn't being disrupted; for a disrupted incumbent, earnings erode.
The AI-disruption force that de-rated Adobe and TTD is the same force powering the Mag 7/AI-infra capex boom. So buying the rubble pile is, underneath, a bet that AI disruption is overstated, which is a coherent contrarian position and it's sharper than "narratives come back".
If you are older than 25 and don't have a million yet you should subscribe to my X-account.
A scam has 3 main characters:
1. It triggers a feeling
2. It creates a sense of urgency
3. It wants you to do something
This sentence has it all. Triggers the feeling of everybody above 25, creates a sence of urgency because you need to change the situation now and tells you to subscribe. That is why I read this sentence so much on X.
Be carefull with these kind of set-ups. Those people almost always just want your money.
An offer that expires in 8 hours? Just to trigger your sense of urgency.
It works, it's psychology and certainly in a highly competitive environment as FinX.
You got great stock pickers, analysts, writers, all for free. So, the only way they can make you subscribe is too trigger your feelings.
Not targetting any one, just want my followers to be informed. You can always subscribe to someone, but be sure he/she provides you real value.
@AskYoshik That this is going viral is a reason to not spend time on X. You are conflating “demand won’t catch up to capex” (not what the FT post said) with “the economics don’t work” (what the FT said but in a reductive frame). https://t.co/1lX9DEChik
Remember all the accounts during the middle eastern cOnFlIcT that you followed because they were sUcH aCcUrAte reads and were warning you about the incoming collapse of the oil flow and how within weeks everything would unravel, until the next week, and the next week etc and months later we are at all time highs, we are literally almost reaching deals with most of the Middle East and China… and you still follow them..?
Because I’m sure next crisis they’ll be right there for you with their uHmaZing geopolitical knowledge to help you yet again 🤣🤣🤣
Really grateful for everyone who’s supported Grey Rabbit Finance and contributed ideas, discussion, and helped us grow along the way.
If you’re curious to see my live, fully audited pick history from my Substack community, you can check it out on the MarketStack Terminal.
It’s been an incredible ride so far, and I truly appreciate your support. 🙏
@marketstackfeed
Yeah his framing is reductive. The 3% vs 3.8% is not apples for apples. Can’t say it’s ALL structural hedging that won’t panic-cover (Oct’s squeeze) but the bit today you have record long-side concentration AND mature dispersion machinery to express the hedge through the median name. Dot-com had the crowding but not the plumbing. Different mix under the same number.