@RenaudFoucart When I tell my relatives at Christmas that my job is to predict the next token, and they proceed to ask me to predict the stock market...
9/9 The takeaway: debt reduction is a package.
The debt path, financing instrument and use of fiscal headroom jointly determine the macroeconomic transition and the coalition of winners and losers.
Explore the results: https://t.co/3Ss7djt8pQ
1/9 New working paper with Spyridon Lazarakis (@lazarakis_s) : Public Debt Consolidation under Risky Human Capital.
Many economies want to rebuild fiscal space. But how governments deleverage matters for who gains and who loses.
Paper: https://t.co/mtXHwf7Vgi
8/9 Future generations can reverse the ranking.
At our central social discount factor, the welfare-maximising package is front-loaded for 3 of 4 uses of headroom. Front-loaded public investment financed by returns taxation gives an all-cohort welfare gain of 0.661%.
Buyers often make choices between differentiated products and negotiate prices specific to the choice. This paper specifies a model for this setting and estimates it on transactions data for the UK brick market.
New paper by @howardwsmith, Beckert, and Takahashi
#REStud#EconX
@jbsteinberg I have long thought that the bundling of tasks into occupation should be analysed as an economic problem. Managers trade off lower transaction costs within that bundle with less ability to price skills effectively due to labour market availability of skill bundles.