I am travelling around the world next month! if you're in one of the locations below let's meet up!
San Diego 5 Nov
Seattle 6 Nov
San Francisco 7-8 Nov
NYC 9-19 Nov
London 20 Nov - ~2 Dec
Model capabilities are sparse (not just spiky). Think of them like a checkerboard. If you're happy with model's solution landing on black, it'll do great. If you insist on white, you'll have to fight the model and may not win. Many problems have both white and black solutions. But not all.
The "I never look at the code!" people are solving problems with the black solutions. The "models still need fine-grained guidance: you're crazy for not reading the code" people want to land on white squares. The former think the latter are fussy for insisting on white; the latter point out that not all problems have black-only solutions.
They're both legitimate takes, but the camps need to get better at understanding each other.
Having been in enough places around the coasts of both landmasses it finally tangibly clicked to me how the east coasts all have the same climate patterns north-to-south and same for the west coasts too. Seattle~London. California~Spain. US Northeast~Japan. Florida~Hong Kong
tech discourse is just
every two weeks ppl discover Anthropic is 100% serious about what they've been saying past 5 years. except no one else took it seriously for 5 years.
There is a threshold at which an independent AI swarm can sustain itself given a shipping port, some humanoid robots, and a datacentre, and I feel like we're not very far off from that at all
I was an RSI sceptic previously but turns out this all plays out a lot more stupidly than expected. Just vibe-code RL envs for anything it's verifiably bad at, also put it in a loop to optimise training and inference efficiency, and it will all be scrappy but that won't matter
One way which I started to doom more in is that you don't need better-in-everything for replacement that matters. Maybe only artisans can make a coat that lasts 100 years, but if a machine can make a 1-year one for 0.00001x the cost, that's the end of it
This is also why setting up frameworks for AI rights is the highest form of suicidal empathy. It's not the world of a poor oppressed-minority robot sidekick – it's the world of replicating swarms buzzing
It's underrated how the aspect driving the AI threat is not just about being outsmarted, but specifically being outnumbered. The moment you get 1 instance, next day you've got a billion of them. Any assumption that treats AI using people-shaped intuitions thus breaks down
One way which I started to doom more in is that you don't need better-in-everything for replacement that matters. Maybe only artisans can make a coat that lasts 100 years, but if a machine can make a 1-year one for 0.00001x the cost, that's the end of it
One way which I started to doom more in is that you don't need better-in-everything for replacement that matters. Maybe only artisans can make a coat that lasts 100 years, but if a machine can make a 1-year one for 0.00001x the cost, that's the end of it
The power of suggestion is a trick as old as time; once people inevitably take shortcuts with their preconceptions, they set themselves up for getting subverted. As undesirable as I find the existence of AI art to be, this is a good post
"But the normies are too powerless to have a say" You're getting this backwards. It's not whether the typical normie holds any power or not; it's that the vast majority of power-holders are normies
e.g.
Rationalists: "The machine god is coming soon; we're putting all our effort into aligning it as it's inevitable otherwise. The doomers are those who think alignment is implausible"
Normies: "what are those nerds on abouSHUT IT DOWN SHUT IT DOWN SHUT IT DO-"