Q: What will happen if China stops buying US Treasuries?
A: It already did--a decade ago.
China has been a net seller of US Treasuries for over a decade and now holds only 4% of all outstanding US Treasuries--down from 14% 10 years ago, per data from the US Treasury.
We were already on our way here, the virus just sped up the process >>
US shale industry braces for wave of bankruptcies
Seventeen producers have filed for Chapter 11 so far this year but many more are on the way
Sound familiar @DiMartinoBooth
I think in Dec.we covered this
How is this for a wall of worry? Absent fresh stimulus, gravity takes over in Q3 as:
1) Unemployment Insurance Expires
2) Rent/mortgage Forbearance Ends
3) $1,200 Checks Spent
3) Election Uncertainty
4) China Tensions
5) Unemployment Rate 20%
What else am I missing? $SPY
#Deflationary phase is not over! Range of #Commodities incl. #Wheat indicate another strong move down. We will not see inflationary forces dominate before this final deflationary bust! #TheZebergReport
Worried about money printing causing inflation? Don't. (Sorry, Milton). Inflation is caused by velocity, which is psychological. $5 trillion x 0 = 0. Without velocity, there is no economy. Here's where velocity is headed:
This week Buffett said he sold his airlines.
At Robinhood, retail piled into "JETS"
Held by Robinhood accounts
#5 AAL (American) 500,642 accts
#6 DAL (Delta) 463,007
#16 BA (Boeing) 252,883
#18 UAL (United) 248,559
#39 JBLU (Jet Blue) 142,272
#41 LUV (Southwest) 141,746
If corporate America expects us to bail them out every time we have a crisis, then maybe we need to start charging corporations a higher tax rate as an insurance premium…
Jim Chanos @jfc_3_
https://t.co/K6fBI00Ozt
Re-opening the economy is not the end of the story. Then we have to overcome this.
How long will it take for these activities to return to something close to normal?
https://t.co/R8e2C8pEzq
Who says liquidity doesn't work! The only question is who it works best for? At first blush it would appear to be the big boys. A case of money begets money or perhaps momentum would be a better description!
WARNING: Once storage full, oil is worthless. Can’t consume it.
Can’t store it. Negative prices force producers to leave it in the ground. Need demand ABOVE supply for inventories to draw, prices to recover. Until then NEGATIVE CARRY oil ETF creates PERMANENT LOSS of CAPITAL...
Trust me. We wont return to 2019-like globalisation and travel patterns anytime soon.
We have been bombed decades back. Isolationism is the new black.
Here, foreign arrivals in Japan 🇯🇵