Maybe there wasn’t the ideological majority you thought there was in 2024. The majority making voters in swing states weren’t maga. Never were. They were anti-Harris nostalgists for the pre Covid economy of Trump’s first term. Trump didn’t win in a landslide. He never even got a majority of the popular vote. So when Trump wildly screwed this up — and he did — those voters either stayed home or switched sides. No huge ideological transformation in 2026 because there was no huge ideological transformation towards Trump in 2024.