Ethan Sami

MENA conflicts & global threats tracker. MA in Intl. Relations. Researching ways to improve foreign and security policy adaptation toward the Middle East.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

🧵 Thread: Surprised by the Rapid Shifts in HTS’s Outlook? How al-Jolani’s Changing Stance Could Reshape Syrian Jihadism 👇

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

Im having a hard time disagreeing with this one

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@darthweit2 You might find this thread useful:

https://t.co/0YS4xF9ikk

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

Old interview where Abu Ubeidah asked about their opinion on Salafi-Jihadism (IS & AQ), and their position on AQ. He responds to saying al-Qassam are Salafis in doctrine and Jihadists since they are fighting the Israeli Govt.

[Caleb Weiss @caleb_weiss7]

Dude isn’t in control of like 40-60% of his own country

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@kucingberkuasa @Hydir515063 @mo_nasif17 @immaculatmango I agree, men will claim they still love their wife even if they are caught cheating.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@Hydir515063 @mo_nasif17 @UmarQadmiri @immaculatmango Im not trying to twist anything or justify it. Im simply saying that statistically men are more sexually non-monogamous than women. You could make whatever you want with that. Some will say thats natural others will say its male patriarchy 🤷‍♂️

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@Hydir515063 @mo_nasif17 @UmarQadmiri @immaculatmango Modern men cheat, but sadly historically they legally had concubines, mistresses and multiple wives. Im not sure which you'd think is more evil. And of course cheating is condemnable.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@PashtunWarfare The growing instability and security vacuum in Afghanistan is exactly what both the US and Pakistan feared. So a hardline stance risks further chaos—something Pakistan can hardly afford amid its existing challenges.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

The expansionist ideology within the ranks of the Taliban/IEA was believed to be long gone, both by Pakistan and the US. Clearly it is spreading like wildfire and is more popular than people think.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@PashtunWarfare Yes exactly. It goes to show how dangerous the situation was in Afghanistan for the US to essentially allow a TB takeover. If this was perceived as the most tactical/strategic play then I can only imagine what they were worried about.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@waqaszafar2 The Northern Alliance rejects such cooperation as it would be political suicide. Anti-Pakistan sentiment runs deep among Afghans, especially Tajiks, and it was NA-aligned figures who helped spread it. Supporting Pakistan now would make them appear hypocritical.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@ManKhosrow @Harrington80457 Pashtun nationalism has long been a core issue in Pakistans troubled relationship with Afghanistan. Pakistan supported the Taliban to create a controlled opposition with shared interests, but the group's predominantly Pashtun makeup only deepened tensions rather than easing them.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@oakleaves111 Unfortunately this will breed more resentment and instability.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@Hydir515063 @mo_nasif17 @UmarQadmiri @immaculatmango You’ll rarely hear about a woman cheating with multiple men at the same time—unless she’s a sex worker. On the other hand, it’s not uncommon to hear about men cheating with multiple women simultaneously.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@Hydir515063 @mo_nasif17 @UmarQadmiri @immaculatmango Yes, there are definitely cases where their sexual needs aren't being met, but more often than not, they leave a man for someone who can offer a better, more comfortable life. Men however cheat for sexual gratification.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

This is because Afghans, especially Pashtuns, have deep resentment for the Pakistani govt. The tensions between the two countries is serious. I personally do not think this could be contained. It is the inevitable.

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@MaulanaSikander This is actually based on a poem/nasheed called Ya Fawzaman by IS

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@mo_nasif17 @UmarQadmiri @immaculatmango Wait until you turn 35 😂

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

The TB cant move on from making corny jihadi videos 😂

But there’s probably a deeper reason for it. I believe its to maintain the Jihadi outlook amongst their ranks.

[د استخباراتو لوی ریاست-GDI @GDI1415]

بزودی...

[Ethan Sami @MENAobsrv]

@observer1442 @caleb_weiss7 @Minalami @EFittonBrown @MohamedBinFisal @JasonMBrodsky @Charles_Lister @ColinPClarke @MoustafaAyad @G88Daniele @HamamIssa7 @NihadJariri Oh wow, this is news to me. If this is true, then I would definitely also be inclined towards Mumin being the Caliph.