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Microsoft alum, Tepper MBA, and tech-savvy mom 👩👧👦
Sharing insights on on-chain data daily
DXY is at a key breakout level. If the U.S. Dollar Index breaks above this zone and strengthens, it could increase downside risk and volatility for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Still, decisions should be based on on-chain data, liquidity, and sentiment, not DXY alone.#NFA
Prediction markets are built on Trust.
But if driving traffic with fake, that’s not marketing—it’s using the product’s credibility as fuel and burning it for short-term numbers. In the long run, it doesn’t just damage the brand; it undermines the entire market.🙁
A WSJ investigation found Polymarket secretly paid creators (via a firm called Virality) to flood TikTok/Instagram/YouTube with staged "winning bet" videos pushing US users toward its offshore platform.
Creators used fake mirror sites to simulate wins that never happened on real accounts.
Of 1,105 videos analyzed from 10 endorsed creators, ~70% showed fake bets (~$1.9M depicted), while real linked accounts actually lost about $166K.
Streamer Adin Ross had a multi-million dollar deal to promote the platform.
Campaigns generated ~140M views and targeted audiences 60%+ US-based, with creators often told not to disclose they were paid.
The moment President Trump signs the Iran deal at the Palace of Versailles.
The agreement was finalized during a dinner hosted by French President Emmanuel Macron inside the historic palace.
The signing marked a major diplomatic milestone after months of negotiations aimed at ending the conflict between the U.S. and Iran.
Every bear market, one on-chain signal has quietly confirmed the bottom. It's not price. It's not sentiment. It's the SOPR Ratio. And right now, it's telling us we're not there yet. The On-Chain Signal That Confirms Every Bitcoin Bear Market. Read More:
https://t.co/HmYGnHtbSp
I love the cadence of this chart
Bitcoin % of Supply in Profit/Loss
As I said previously, you start looking for major market cycle bottoms *after* they cross, not before.
They just crossed.
Such a great chart for keeping people on the right side of the market in midterm years
@KobeissiLetter While the institutional floor looks solid (IBIT), the Coinbase Premium has turned negative—whales are offloading. Combined with tepid funding and bearish post-conference seasonality, the macro downtrend remains intact. Full analysis here:
https://t.co/DYwNqwRMNR
Bitcoin conference kicks off today. Historically, BTC's performance during the conference was mediocre. If you really want to find a correlation, it's slightly negative. A post-conference sell-off is more common due to the "sell the news" effect. Will it be different this time?
@CryptoManhatt@cryptoquant_com ETFs just hold it in custody (mostly with custodians like Coinbase Custody). The on-chain data CryptoQuant tracks shows coins actually leaving exchange hot wallets and moving to cold storage/illiquid addresses.
@KiiChainio@cryptoquant_com True. Outflows show stronger conviction from holders, but without real bid liquidity stepping in, price can stay range-bound — or even drift lower if sentiment shifts.
2023–2024 marks the watershed moment for the rapid depletion of Bitcoin reserves on exchanges.
The data is clear: exchange inventory—whether measured by year or by month—is heading one direction -- down mostly. You can view real-time chart here:
https://t.co/sWkba0glgA