I 💔polls

Banana Slug for life. Survey research/Public Opinion; Issue framing & Misinfo. Prediction markets & Sports betting; I was considered "sharp," but incorrectly.

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

@Whatapityonyou Interestingly, immigrants love America, which is why for Musk it’s an insufficient condition for granting citizenship and yet a missing condition to justify exclusion from a country he immigrated into by falsely projecting his views onto political enemies, especially non-whites.

[Gaeten Dugas @GaetenD]

I wrote an article on the Spotify streaming fraud including:
1. What happened
2. How I could tell it was happening
3. What it means for Spotify markets
4. Broader Implications
5. Recommendations for Kalshi and regulators.

Link in the comments.

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

@SeanTrende Is there possibly evidence that a large % of the top 1% decline SS benefits? Why accept those payments? Maybe get them all to pledge to return payments to the fund. Or get creative and agree to pool their SS payments to make investments that fund the pool!

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

@jeffreytucker @MaryanneDemasi Are you evil or mentally challenged?

[Jamie Bonkiewicz @JamieBonkiewicz]

They’ve arrested more people for touching the peeling paint at the Reflecting Pool than they’ve arrested from the Epstein files.

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

Geopolitical yacht rock for the sanctions era #IranWar‌

[PBS News @NewsHour]

New concerns are emerging about President Trump’s sweeping pardon of Jan. 6 defendants after a report found that nearly 100 of them have been arrested, charged or convicted of additional crimes since the attack in 2021.

It comes as continuing efforts by Trump and his allies to recast the events of that day have reignited debate over accountability and the rule of law.

@ElizLanders has more.

[Cameron 🇺🇸 🗽🦅 @CameronCorduroy]

Trump lost so hard he's got GOP Senators out here saying "Iran has a right to defend itself"

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

@GaetenD So much untapped equity

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

Well that’s good, cuz he’s had trouble dodging tacklers for a while.

[Barry Svrluga @barrysvrluga]

Yeah, the Knicks won their first title since 1973. The Canes won the Cup for the first time since 2006.

But last night, I was at the weirdest sporting event -- ever?

From the White House, where the blood sprayed in red, white and blue. Free!
https://t.co/ot4HMbgPAE via @NYTimes

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

It’s called a free roll. Cup goes off without a major problem, then they take the credit. Security failures? Democrats are to blame.

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

Kasie Hunt points out to Markwayne Mullin that he seems to be laying the groundwork to blame Democrats if there is a security incident at the World Cup

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

Good morning to everyone except Joanne Empie.

Only one speaker, Joanne Empie, of the Wake County GOP, spoke in favor of replacing Talley. She argued that the Business Services center was more accessible because it has more parking and a flatter landscape.
https://t.co/HDymFv573R

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

Like, this is so good @nytimes - get your Epstein coverage calibrated & no more false equivalence, please!

https://t.co/macnOuNIR6

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

@nytimes oddly giving Trump political cover here. Only Trump was a close friend & currently in power. Why these names?

"[Epstein] counted Mr. Trump, Bill Clinton, Bill Gates, the former Obama [WH] counsel Kathy Ruemmler, and others among his contacts."

https://t.co/t9XR5n0zUy

[Frank Luntz @FrankLuntz]

Last month, solar power generated 12.8% of electricity in the U.S. while coal was responsible for 12.2%.

It’s the first time in history that solar accounted for more energy than coal. 🔋 https://t.co/yMxwOduobq

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

When you lack popular policies, change the denominators.

[Carolina Forward @ForwardCarolina]

On Friday evening, the Republican leaders of North Carolina's state legislature dropped a big, unannounced, 36-page omnibus bill stuffed to the brim with new voting restrictions and elections changes.

This thing is a voter suppression wishlist. Just some of its major provisions:
👉 Total ban on encouraging voter turnout: State and county board members are prohibited from any public statement "encouraging or promoting voter turnout in any election"
👉 Grants the Republican State Auditor total discretion to audit all machines, county offices and personnel involved in any election
👉 Reduces campaign finance transparency: the bill significantly raises the dollar thresholds for required reporting of dark money contributions or media expenditures, waiving reporting for the rest
👉 Requires voters to register with a political party a full year before voting in that party's primary election (up from 90 days)
👉 Total ban on any ranked-choice voting in any primary or general election statewide
👉 Strips some overseas voters of their eligibility to vote in any state elections
👉 Partisan staffing: changes up to 25 professional staff at the State Board of Elections from career civil staff to partisan political appointees
👉 Bans paid petition gathering

This bill just dropped last night and may not be online yet (they like to take their time). We got a full draft of the bill here: https://t.co/CMBAsV4Mtw

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

1929-1932 - some estimates pushing as high as 15 million died, many if not most of them around/in Ukraine, intentionally caused by Soviets through “collectivization.”

[Classical Liberal Caucus @LP_CLC]

Communists will look you straight in the eye and tell you colonialist empires confiscating food from occupied territories during famines is good when Russia does it.

Here's your periodic reminder that Holodomor deniers are morally equivalent to Holocaust deniers.

[The Wall Street Journal @WSJ]

Exclusive: President Trump and his allies have discussed pushing lawmakers to pass a resolution aimed at voiding his first-term impeachments, according to people familiar with the matter https://t.co/hpVMNRR2Bo

[I 💔polls @Michael_Cobb68]

@cpepres Looks good, but future college enrollment is largely endogenous to the subset who choose dual enrollment course in HS. Did expanding dual credit availability in KY increase overall KY college enrollment rates, credentials earned, etc., for all students or only some subgroups?