Migofeyse

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@SirTD_Comments @MisfitPatriot FWIW Claude claimed the same thing, but after prodding admitted that while Zelensky ignored them in the spring, closer to the election he complied. YMMV on how much to trust LLMs, though it did give me this link - paywalled but headline looks right…

https://t.co/fTiHkhvy5i

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@bendreyfuss

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@jasonkaiser @DarioAmodei “It's not bad to try, but in the end it will lead to a Chinese model gaining superiority over a Western model.”

Wait what?

That sounds like a pretty good argument that it is indeed, very much, “bad to try”.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@fairvote @MeredithSumpter @dsallentess Arrow’s theorem should have killed this ranking business in its crib in 1950.

RCV in particular is non-monotone, spoilery garbage.

If you want to do more than 2 candidates, you should grade on an absolute scale by highest median. Majority Judgment does this pretty well.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@Legal_Fil @JackieViggJr @awstar11 Is it even sensible to characterize this as a lie? It seems plausible enough, as he only asserts he was briefly grabbed under the shoulders. Occam’s razor would say it’s correct, or mild memory drift of being ushered firmly in a direction.

A lie has to have some intent.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@awstar11 @ProfPupper243 @Legal_Fil @damintoell I’m not sure why this would be a lie? He’s only claiming a slight lift by shoulders briefly. It’s a very easy thing to have happened - someone perceives a momentary danger and acts decisively to move him out of the way.

He’s not even claiming he himself did anything brave.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@marcorandazza

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@ericbuhler @tylermcscifi FWIW, top 2 isn’t bad, though I like top 4 to blunt partisan mischief (majority judgment can still give majoritarian legitimacy).

But settling “do we go left or right” in a primary is a problem. Without proportionality, that will happen eventually, and people will be furious.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@ericbuhler @tylermcscifi Agree, but that is neither here nor there. The Republicans were not a significant party in St Louis.

No proportional primary would put someone with 1.8% on the ballot either.

But approval/top-2 easily leads to D-vs-D or R-vs-R in evenly split districts. That will never fly.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@westbrook348 @cd_hooks Pure approval is nice - the simplest way to respect yes/no preferences.

But to legitimize the winner, you should foster majority affirmation if possible.

3-4 graded Majority Judgment is a not-too-spoilery way to do this.

(Runoffs are sus, leading to strategic straw-man bs)

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@ericbuhler @tylermcscifi Agree Alaska failed spectacularly with RCV, but something like graduated Majority Judgment with three or four grades would likely fare better: monotone, respects dichotomous preferences, and not too spoilery - a majority can exclude some candidate(s) while disagreeing on others.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@ericbuhler @tylermcscifi 4/4

FWIW, despite Alaska’s flaws, I think they are onto something with an open primary and top 4 general. There’s a bit less room for partisan mischief in an open top 4 than top 2.

But the primary should be proportional, and general should use Approval or Majority judgment.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@ericbuhler @tylermcscifi 3/?

Open Approval/top 2 satisfies 1 but fails 2.

Open choose-one/top 2 fails 1 but satisfies 2.

Approval ballots, with a proportional method like equal shares or PAV, is probably the way to go.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@rationallypod I’m sorry but this is a complete non-starter.

You cannot have this in any system that allows congress to facilitate income transfers for welfare, full stop.

This is already a concern today, but it will absolutely explode if you let a single mom with 5 children cast 6 votes.

[Migofeyse @migofeyse]

@rSanti97 @asymmetricinfo I’m pretty risk-averse, but I like to think I’d at least take the coin-flip and try to flip it for a profit. Surely some wealthy gambler could take it off my hands for like 350k or so.

(I’m assuming this magic coin is tax exempt, otherwise that prospect is a bit more dicey).