Buffett: "Life today is better in almost every way. You’ve got to figure that you started at a pretty lucky spot just by being born when you were. Imagine staying in some cosmic waiting room for hundreds of thousands of years and then getting dropped into the present — not bad timing. So I would focus on what’s been good in your life, rather than what’s gone wrong. Yes, bad things happen — sometimes very bad things. But life can still be wonderful."
Buffett on DOGE & the US deficit:
"We’re running roughly a 7% fiscal gap & probably a 3% gap is what’s sustainable. The further you drift from that, the closer you get to the point where it becomes uncontrollable. It’s a job I don’t want — but it’s a job that needs to be done."
Buffett after the long standing ovation he received after announcing his exit as CEO:
" The enthusiasm shown by that response can be interpreted in two ways, but I'll take it"
The end of an era at Berkshire Hathaway:
"At year-end, Greg would be the CEO of Berkshire. I would still hang around and could conceivably be useful in a few cases. But the final word would be Greg’s...Greg doesn’t know anything about this until what he’s hearing right now."
Selling is the the tale of the tape and yesterday the selling increased as the Nasdaq closed lower -4.00% and the S&P 500 was down -2.70%. Volume was well above average while this market has still not been able to bounce for any longer than one single session with distribution dominating the action.
A proliferation of pivot failures and clear distribution in the indexes forced us to high levels of cash, and we also shorted the $SPY just 3 days off the all-time high. As the selling intensified, our long term SPY model started raising some cash as well.
This morning I covered half my $SPY short initiated on 2/24 at a 7R profit.
I think there's a chance that we melt down further from here, but our work suggest this is a cyclical correction within an on-going secular bull market. With that said, it is likely to take some time for stocks to build bases and reliable low risk setups to develop.
The market indexes are deeply oversold which could certainly produce a strong snap back rally as some of the biggest up days occur during bear market and large corrections. But keep in mind, a market that fails to rally from an oversold condition is a weak market prone to volatility. Risk is high, which means cash is king!
Cycle work points to the start of a rally in April. I will be waiting for stabilization and stock setups before moving back into the market aggressively on the long side.
This is where patience and "sit out power" are key, and it's what separates the pros from the amateurs.
https://t.co/JXzFFTmMtn