Mike Auld

Nothing much going on here - just trying to make sense of everything and stay reasonably sane in the process :-)

Blocked by @georgegalloway among others

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@mikegalsworthy @visegrad24 Guessing Iceland and Montenegro could end up joining at the same time?

[Chłoddy @OfSymbols]

What’s interesting to me about British media culture, specifically news media, and I’ve said it before. I don’t feel like the 70% of people who despise the establishment get much of a showing, unless they also happen to ardently anti-immigrant, but otherwise pro-capital.

[Luke Tryl @LukeTryl]

A good way of thinking about British politics today: A status quo where so many people have felt so unhappy with so many different parts of the state for such a long time isn't ultimately sustainable.

[📢 OfFiciAL MoNsTEr RaVinG LoONy PArTy 🎩 @Official_MRLP]

Anyone using a self-service till in a supermarket will be given a 10% discount off their shopping.

#Manicfesto

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@indy_swim Serious question - why would it matter even if she was gay? I thought the culture warriors were all for "LGB without the T", or was that just an excuse to justify all the anti-trans crap?

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@UK_Lad1275 @IrnBruXtra555 Don't think I'd call the English "Celtic", certainly not in a linguistic or cultural way.

Agreed re "no single Celtic culture, language or identity" as each Celtic nation has its own. I guess it's like treating say the Anglosphere as one unit.

[Craig. @bambibristol]

Brexit means Brexit and the mere suggestion of a second referendum has people foaming at the mouth

But yet our democratically elected PM should step down after 6 months because some bigots signed a petition & a megalomaniac billionaire in the US doesn’t like him?

Strange world

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@YesCornwall @JTKernowek It would need to expand significantly to hit the government's 500k minimum population. Absorbing South Hams and West Devon would still leave it about 80k short.

[Ian Lavery @IanLaveryMP]

Since becoming a Member of Parliament, two of my Parliamentary colleagues have been murdered. The current atmosphere being stoked up by malicious actors risks more lives being lost.

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@weegeedutchie Possible.

Normally second elections don't produce massively different results. But in a FPTP election with a lot of three- and four-way contests it wouldn't take much.

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@weegeedutchie It would collapse within months

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@weegeedutchie Electoral Calculus has slightly different numbers (used numbers from this poll + their Scotland-only one from last month). But either way looks ungovernable.

[Miss Chief 🤨 @Midge1415]

Do not share 🤨🤣

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@KEdge23 @LeftieStats @BeaufortLtd Ungovernable on those numbers

Ref + Con: 48 seats
Lab + Plaid + LD: 48 seats

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@indy_swim @FindoutnowUK Usual health warnings re subsamples but those numbers not massively different to last month's full poll

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@mattparlmer No State of Jefferson?

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@colegate_steven @LeftieStats @FindoutnowUK Tories must be pretty close to their core vote by now surely?

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@UpTheGun86 @LeftieStats @FindoutnowUK Probably. Plus Greens likely to put serious effort into 10-12 seats at most. But then consensus was good polling numbers wouldn't hold last year...

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@_Gboom @LeftieStats @FindoutnowUK Less than one

[Mike Auld @mikeinsdevon]

@DontForgetJeff @LeftieStats @FindoutnowUK On anything like those numbers that might be the most likely outcome