milo

Watching markets, charts, and weird internet trends. Mostly here to learn, take notes, and occasionally say something useful.

[milo @miloo2o]

The more I look at AI, the less I think this is just a chip trade.

Power and cooling might be the real bottleneck.

GPUs get the headline.
Infrastructure decides how far the cycle can actually scale.

[milo @miloo2o]

@KillaXBT Crypto loves punishing people who say “no chance.”

[milo @miloo2o]

@wallstreetbets At some point this stopped being a trade and became a religion lol

[milo @miloo2o]

@Mr_Derivatives Crazy how fast “AI winner” turns into “show me the numbers.”

[milo @miloo2o]

@AshCrypto Small caps leading is not a side story. That’s usually where risk appetite starts getting loud again.

[milo @miloo2o]

AI is not one trade anymore.

I’m mapping it by bottlenecks:

Compute: NVDA, AMD
Memory: MU
Networking: AVGO, MRVL, COHR
Packaging: TSM, AMKR
Power/Cooling: ETN, GEV, VRT
Physical AI: TSLA, QCOM
The edge is not chasing “AI.”
It’s finding which layer breaks first.

[milo @miloo2o]

Traders need to separate “level” from ���signal.”

$BTC under $63k is just the headline.

The real signal is how price reacts to visible liquidity:

Hold + absorption = possible bottom.
Flush through = trap.
The level is not the trade.
The reaction is.

[Killa @KillaXBT]

Without a doubt, if $BTC fills these bids, it's the macro bottom.

These types of bids show up at every major low.

Either the market front runs them, or they get filled and mark the bottom.

Same story.

Every.

Single.

Cycle.

We're close, boys. Don't get shaken out now.

[milo @miloo2o]

“AI stock” is becoming a lazy label.

The real trade is AI capacity.

Nebius didn’t run 500% because people like buzzwords.
It ran because compute, power, backlog, and cloud contracts are becoming scarce assets.
The market is paying for bottlenecks now.

[milo @miloo2o]

@wliang 500% sounds insane until you realize the market is repricing scarce AI capacity, not just another software story.

[milo @miloo2o]

@StockSavvyShay The real filter should be “AI exposure with contracted demand,” not just NAV discount. Cheap + vague AI exposure is still a trap.

[milo @miloo2o]

45% is insane. But I’d rather watch a market price insane outcomes than listen to analysts pretend they saw it coming after the filing drops.

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

BREAKING: 45% chance Tesla and SpaceX merge in next year

[milo @miloo2o]

@AshCrypto This is why most people don’t need more alpha. They need a system that stops them from rage-clicking every red candle.

[milo @miloo2o]

@amitisinvesting Strong retail sales are not bullish here; they just make the Fed’s job more annoying.

[milo @miloo2o]

@AutismCapital $SPCX being red today doesn’t matter.

This is still one of the cleanest access trades in the market.

People are not buying rockets.

They are buying the front door to orbit.

[milo @miloo2o]

$SPCX is not being valued like a rocket company.

It is being valued like an access layer to orbit.

Cheaper infrastructure comes first.
New demand shows up later.

The trade is access.

[milo @miloo2o]

@WatcherGuru Price crossing 67k is easy.
Holding it after the headline fades is the real test.

[milo @miloo2o]

The funny part: cheaper AI probably doesn’t mean companies spend less on AI.

It means they shove AI into more meetings, more docs, more workflows, more nonsense.

Great for usage.
Messy for model margins.

[NIK @ns123abc]

BREAKING: Microsoft exploring DeepSeek over OpenAI and Anthropic as Copilot Cowork moves to usage-based pricing

“We have users who do hundreds of tasks a week… the consequence is the costs can go very high...”

Jevons paradox

[milo @miloo2o]

@KillaXBT Everyone likes accumulation until the next 30% drawdown.

[milo @miloo2o]

@amitisinvesting SpaceX trading like an altcoin with actual revenue.

[milo @miloo2o]

@AshCrypto I’d call it weak marginal demand, not manipulation.
Nasdaq had AI/earnings behind it. BTC mostly had narrative.