Had you told me in 2016 that some day you’d be able to take a screenshot of a tweet directly from the Copy Link Button, I never would have believed you. What a time to be alive.
@CalebPeffer What first principles do you have in mind? What you mention is indeed a source of my skepticism, but it runs a lot deeper than that, and I don't think it is blinding me to persuasion.
@theberschtones You can relitigate anything! I try to word these in a way to invite pushback, but don't always succeed. This is a good connection to our earlier discussion.
This is a good reminder that the mainstream media reports on events that are unusual in some dimension (green bananas), that the cumulative effect of this is to invert the average person's understanding of reality, that the median reporter is a conformity-driven normie who is not aware of this and whose main goal is to be liked by his peers, and that there is a huge institutional demand for a certain kind of "racism" that vastly exceeds the supply.
A CBS Mornings Exclusive: The University of Mississippi freshmen who captured the viral video of two white students making monkey gestures and sounds outside their apartment door speak out for the first time. The students and one of their mothers tell @Jerickaduncan how they feel now that one of the students involved has voluntarily withdrawn from the school.
writing code in an interview is now larping in the literal sense. like you are straight up live action roleplaying a historical reenactment of what it was like to be a software engineer.
Yeah you've really got to be discerning when you use this especially if you are young and learning. I also think of it analogously to video chats, where there is the temptation to engage in behavior you think is off camera, until the time it's not, which suggests cultivating the habit of behaving like you're in person at all times.
@cshbell@matthew_loftus It's my actual thinking, but also if I turn out to be wrong (in the doomer tradition of adding to the heft of an argument with numbers pulled out of the air, I put it at 10%), no one will remember :)
The argument from authority here works b/c ppl see this & go, "this guy knows a lot about AI!" But it shouldn't work, because what you should ask yourself is: "what does he know about taking over all of human society?" This is the lesson of Hinton's failed radiology prediction.
@matthew_loftus The most realistic concern is that AI amplifies the capabilities of bad actors, lowering the floor on technologies that can then be used by people against Ian Malcolm's warnings. Why the doomers focus on ridiculous scenarios like "boiling away the oceans" is beyond me.
@AndyMasley I am not sure that I am not just arguing from personal incredulity, but among other aspects, there is something about the combination of confidently-shared fantastical scenarios (boiling away the ocean) that makes me dismissive.
@austinc3301@jessesingal The linked essay reminds me of this old review of overpriced audio cables, where the conclusion comes first and the argumentation is conjured up to support it, with results that are obvious to everyone except those who want to buy the cables. https://t.co/pDN4uQrALD
Ok, I followed the link, and it is just more of the same. Vague, "low-effort", a promise to avoid specifics, just breezy dismissals designed to deflect anticipated criticism. I read a few paragraphs and am annoyed at all the nested parentheticals and qualifying footnotes and genre jargon ("cruxy"). I have already observed no fewer than five probabilities. These are signs of sloppy, disorganized thinking that strongly suggests to me what I'm going to read, and arriving at the standard set of impossible scenarios, I've lost interest. I find the best writing in these spaces to be unconvincing and this is far from the best, I'm sorry to say.