Mahmut KINIŞ

Rts and likes are just bookmarks.

[Selcuk Melekoglu @SelcukMelekogl1]

Kocasinan Belediye Başkanımız Sn. Ahmet Çolakbayrakdar’ın katılımlarıyla, Daraltılmış İlçe Danışma Meclisi Toplantımızı gerçekleştirdik.

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

Çevre, Şehircilik ve İklim Değişikliği Bakanımız Sayın Murat Kurum ile Tarım ve Orman Bakanımız Sayın İbrahim Yumaklı’yı İl Başkanlığımızda ağırlamaktan büyük memnuniyet duyduk.

Nazik teşrifleri ve Kayseri’mize verdikleri değer için kıymetli Bakanlarımıza teşekkür ediyorum.

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

Bugün Sarıoğlan’da üyelik çalışmalarımız için sahadaydık. Hemşehrilerimize İl Başkanımız Sayın Hüseyin Okandan’ın selamlarını ilettik.Gönüllere dokunduğumuzda çalışmalarımızın güçlenerek karşılık bulacağına inanıyoruz
@abuyukgumus @huseyinokandan @avyurdunuseven @ahmetcolakoglu0

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

@caretta01 @temmuz1919 Bu haritada sismik arama yapıldı bahsedilen şirketler tarafından doğru,
Bu bölge bir “frontier basin” (yani yeterince test edilmemiş saha)
Bu işlerde;
Yüksek risk – yüksek ödül
TPAO sondajlyacak ve kuyu ile test edecek, çıkma olasılığı %30, çıkarsa günlük 100k varil üretebiliriz

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

@ConflictTR Bir bilgi daha,

Fransız TotalEnergies, 2025’te günlük 2.5 milyon varil üretimi var. Bu üretimin ana kaynakları Brezilya, ABD, Arjantin, Danimarka ve Malezya gibi Fransa dışındaki sahalar. Yani enerji devleri uzun süredir kendi sınırlarının çok ötesinde üretim yaparak büyüyor.

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

@ConflictTR 2016 yılında Exxon Mobile Amerikalı şirketin Guyana ülkesi ile olan anlaşmasını biliyormusunuz ?

100 Varil üzerinden

14 Varil Guyana
86 Varil Amerikalı şirkete gidiyor

Bunları neden kimse konuşmuyor.

Maliyetler azaldıkça, ülkenin elde ettiği pay zamanla artar.

[Logan Weaver @LogWeaver]

Ray Dalio just released 500 years of data showing exactly how empires collapse.

His conclusion? America is in Stage 6 of 9.

The dangerous stage.

Here's what his math actually says about where we're headed:

Dalio studied every major empire collapse since 1500.

Dutch. British. American.

The pattern repeats with machine-like precision every 50-100 years.

Not because of politics or ideology.

Because of math.

The "Big Debt Cycle" has nine stages.

We're currently in Stage 6.

The dangerous one.

Here's how it works:

Stages 1-4: The Rise

Countries borrow to build infrastructure.

Debt is productive. GDP grows faster than debt service costs.

Everything feels sustainable.

This was the U.S. from 1945-2000.

Low debt-to-GDP. Strong productivity growth.

Borrowing made sense.

Stage 5: The Top

Debt service hits 15-20% of GDP.

Interest costs start crowding out productive spending.

But everyone's too comfortable to notice.

Markets boom. Wealth gaps explode.

The U.S. crossed this threshold around 2008.

Stage 6: The Crisis

This is where we are now.

Federal debt exceeds 120% of GDP.

Two choices: Let interest rates rise and crash the economy.

Or print money and create inflation.

Both destroy wealth.

Just differently.

In the 1930s, we chose deflation.

In 2008, we chose money printing.

In 2026, we're doing both at the same time.

Stages 7-9: The Reset

Either massive restructuring through negotiation.

Or war.

History shows wars resolve 90% of these cycles.

Not because humans are violent.

Because debts become mathematically impossible to service.

Dalio's data is clear:

When internal inequality peaks AND external rivals emerge, conflicts become inevitable.

The U.S. has both right now.

Wealth inequality hasn't been this high since 1929.

China's GDP grew 6-8% annually while we borrowed to maintain consumption.

Dalio's advice for Stage 6 is simple:

Sell debt. Buy gold.

Not because gold produces anything.

Because governments print money to escape debt traps.

Gold has risen 3x since 2020.

Exactly as the model predicted.

But here's what actually matters for regular investors:

You can't stop the Big Cycle.

But you can position for it.

Dalio's framework identifies five big forces that drive every transition:

1. Productivity growth
2. Debt cycles
3. Money supply
4. Wealth gaps
5. Geopolitical power shifts

When all five align in the same direction, the cycle turns.

Right now, all five are pointing toward Stage 7.

Productivity growth is slowing.

Debt service costs are rising faster than GDP.

Money supply expanded 40% since 2020.

Wealth concentration is at century highs.

China is building parallel financial infrastructure.

The math doesn't lie.

So what does positioning actually look like?

Dalio's research across 500 years shows three consistent patterns:

Pattern 1: Fiat currencies lose value during Stage 6-7 transitions

Every time. No exceptions.

Governments print to escape debt traps.

The dollar, pound, and euro all follow the same path.

This is why gold and hard assets outperform during these periods.

Pattern 2: Geographic diversification matters more than asset class diversification

When one empire declines, another rises.

Dutch to British. British to American.

The cycle doesn't end. It relocates.

Portfolios concentrated in declining empires get crushed.

Pattern 3: Volatility spikes 3-5x during Stage 6

The 1930s saw 50%+ market swings.

The 1970s stagflation created wild inflation volatility.

2008-2009 saw daily 5% moves.

Stage 6 isn't calm. It's chaos punctuated by brief stability.

Here's the data that should terrify you:

U.S. debt-to-GDP: 120% (highest since WWII)

Annual interest costs: approaching $1 trillion

China's GDP growth: 6-8% while U.S. averages 2-3%

Time between 1929 inequality peak and crash: 8 months

Time since current inequality peak: We're in it now

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪 HOW THE U.S. TOOK DOWN MADURO IN A 3-HOUR NIGHT RAID

The lights in Caracas went out at 2 a.m.
By sunrise, the Venezuelan president had vanished without a trace.

While the world watched aircraft carriers off the coast, Delta Force was already breaching a compound in the capital.

The plan? Wait until Maduro stayed put. Then strike fast, strike hard.

They called it Operation Southern Spear.

The CIA had a mole feeding them real-time updates. Delta trained in a replica of his safe house until they could raid it in their sleep.

Venezuela’s defenses? Dozens of Russian S-300 missiles, Chinese radar, and Iranian drones.

The U.S. sent F-35s instead of old-school jets because the older ones would’ve been barbecue before touchdown.

Stealth fighters cleared the skies so the boots on the ground could grab the prize and vanish. No warning. No broadcast. Just gone.

Source: AiTelly

[Jim Ferguson @JimFergusonUK]

🚨 EDWARD SNOWDEN’S CHILLING WARNING IS NOW UNFOLDING IN REAL TIME

What China built… is exactly what Western governments are quietly preparing for.

Snowden is crystal clear:

Every photo, every purchase, every message, every movement — all of it is being fed into algorithms that decide your future.

In China, AI “city brains” now track:

Where you live
Who you visit
How you dispose of your rubbish
Every step you take in public
Whether you “follow rules” or not

Break a rule?

A camera catches you from three angles.

Your score drops.

Your life collapses.

Snowden’s warning:

“If any of your activities differ from what the government wants, you won’t get on a train.

You won’t board a plane.
You won’t get a job.

An algorithm will decide your fate.
And what they are selling… is us.”

This is not a future threat.

It is happening now — in Shanghai, in Beijing… and creeping into the West through digital ID, AI policing, and “misinformation scoring.”

China built the prototype.

Our governments are importing the blueprint.

Stay informed.
Stay alert.
Do not let this system take root.

[End Wokeness @EndWokeness]

JD Vance and Trump just put Zelensky in his place. Wow. Watch this.

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

A mafia-like struggle for global power has begun, with rules that do not suit America. Other countries are already planning for a lawless era https://t.co/DOIFBsgW0A

[OpenAI @OpenAI]

Realtime translation with GPT-4o

[Bedirhan Logistics @bedirhanlogist]

Yılbaşı yoğunluğu başlamadan, tüm depolama ihtiyaçlarınız için Bedirhan Lojistik’in antrepo hizmetlerini keşfedin.

Hızlı, güvenli ve verimli depolama çözümlerimizle yılbaşı hazırlıklarınızı sorunsuz tamamlayın!

[Bedirhan Logistics @bedirhanlogist]

Looking for global warehouse solutions?

Find your solution at Bedirhan Logistics!

[Bedirhan Logistics @bedirhanlogist]

With our team specialized in the Customs Warehouse Regime, we carry out costless and fast cargo transfers throughout the process, from our warehouse in Kayseri to our duty-free storage areas.

In logistics, trust is with Bedirhan Logistics!

[T.C. Ticaret Bakanlığı @ticaret]

Bakanlığımız yurt dışı teşkilatında görevli Ticaret Müşavirlerimiz ve Ataşelerimiz;

Halihazırda 109 ülkede görev yapmakta,

İthalatçı firma bilgileri dahil hedef pazarlara ilişkin pek çok konuda danışmanlık hizmeti vermekte,

2022 yılında iş dünyamızdan gelen 380.000'den fazla talebe yanıt vererek firmalarımıza destek olmakta,

"Ticaret Müşavirlerimiz ile Elektronik Sohbet Toplantıları" etkinlikleri ile görev yaptıkları ülkelere ilişkin bilgileri çevrimiçi olarak iş dünyamıza aktarmakta (https://t.co/gGsITOm1YQ),

Kendilerine ulaşan alım taleplerini ve ihale bilgilerini "Dış Talepler Bülteni" (https://t.co/jglTCcOZgc) vasıtasıyla iş dünyamız ile paylaşmakta,

Görev yaptıkları ülkelere ilişkin güncel bilgileri (https://t.co/EekfumcjDJ) sayfasından yayımlamaktadır.

Ticaret Müşavirliklerimize ve Ataşeliklerimize Bakanlığımızın Müşavire Danışın uygulaması (https://t.co/AgiGxE1zJr) üzerinden 7/24 erişim sağlanabilmektedir.

İş dünyamızı yurt dışı teşkilatımız ile iletişime geçmeye davet ediyoruz.

[SpaceX @SpaceX]

Back-to-back Falcon 9 launches of Starlink within 24 hours, completing SpaceX's 19th and 20th launches of the year

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

Bazi Konteyner firmalarinin 2021 Kar oranları

Hapag-Lloyd: %906

Maersk: %192

COSCO Shipping: %799

Evergreen Marine: %881

Orient Overseas Container Line: %689

Kaynak : https://t.co/FounPtYdoZ

[Mahmut KINIŞ @mkinis]

@cryptoeeee @CMYLMZ That's one small step for @CMYLMZ one giant leap for enes.eth @cryptoeeee 😀😀