Something I cannot quite understand
Why people take losing trades personally
The markets don't know you. They have no idea who you are. They could care less what your hopes, fears and aspirations are. The markets are totally cold. Unfeeling
So why take a losing trade personally
Probably because you have misplaced assumptions and expectations. You assume the market cares about you enough to offer a profit. Your expectations are falsely placed
When I enter a trade I expect it to be a loser. I assume it will be a loser. This way I take risk management seriously
I know my trading stats. Over 200 trades I can come within a 10% on my estimate of ROR, win rate, PF, etc
But on any given trade or series of trades I do not have a clue. I may think I know where a market is going, but in reality I have no idea
So why would I take a loss personally. A trade is nothing more than a datum point in a series of data points subject to random probability theory. A loss is not a personal indictment
Dear readers
I've survived trading futures markets for 51 years
Is there anyone out there interested in how I was able to support my family and build a net worth as a trader?
Reply with a like if you are interested ❤️
Otherwise we will assume you a trader who has all the answers
The Factor Report™️ does NOT make predictions
We present possibilities
The weekly chart of $SOL now presents a 14-week rectangle
If it is a continuation rectangle with downside BO, then the 43.70 target from the massive H&S top will be confirmed
In trading...
Do you have?
-Fear?
-Greed?
-False hope?
-Ego needs?
-Gun shyness?
-Feelings of inadequacy?
-Jealousy?
Might I suggest a career as a school teacher, librarian of assembly line worker?
Or a paid protester for George Soros?
Today, this is how the ceiling of Soekarno-Hatta International Airport collapsed right after heavy rain in Tangerang, Banten, Indonesia.
(April 6, 2026, around 12:30 PM )
No one is really talking about this.
Everyone is obsessed with the May 2022 fractal or the recent bear flag from $98k In January.
But the current price action looks very similar to the 2022 bottom.
At that time everyone was calling for another leg down to $12k, especially after the price pushed higher and rejected, just like it has now.
I remember it well.
At that stage, sentiment was very similar to now with almost everyone collectively agreeing on lower and another leg down.
Whilst all of the metrics behind the curtain like funding and premium, are looking much stronger.
The volume cluster at $60k and $15k are also very similar.
I think it goes without saying this would be the most unexpected outcome here.
The overall point is that it is not a one size fits all assumption.
We have the bear flag from $98k and the bottom of 2022, both looking very similar, both playing out totally differently.
Much more goes into understanding a market bottom than just the fractal.
Did not expect a question that starts out 'Do you think before you speak?' to go so well. A+ question from Charlotte Harpur A++ response from Eileen Gu.
12 YR TREND BROKEN.
BTC should be a valued a LOT HIGHER relative to gold.
Should be. IT'S NOT.
The valuation trend broke down once QUANTUM came into awareness.
Don't read this post if you want to stay high on hopium instead of seeing things as they are.
FUD vs Reality: Binance shows no signs of stress.
Reserves hold near 659K BTC, netflows remain normal, and reserve movement sits at just 0.6%, nowhere close to the -12% panic withdrawals seen post-FTX.
Bitcoin on-chain indicators are still useful.
They can miss 30% moves but tend to be right on 600% moves.
On-chain data works best for long-term trends, while short-term price action is better analyzed using technical analysis on market data.