One of my smartest trading buddies (long time pro) was bemoaning the fact that he exited this Bond short way too soon after a perfect entry. But that happens to all of us when it is not a mechanical system. Just one trade out of 1000s...the only way to look at it.
@aixsystematic Any pivot can have value in terms of monitoring price - is it moving further away or closer to, and at what rate? A tape reading tool. But Fib has zero statistical significance...same with Elliot Wave.
On September 25, the S&P 500 Index closed just 0.7% below its August 13 record high. Yet only 24.5% of the stocks in the Multi-Cap universe we follow—U.S. common stocks—were above their 50-day moving averages, and only 43.1% were above their 200-day moving averages. That marked the first time since the Multi-Cap dataset began in 1981 that the S&P 500 was within 1% of an all-time high while less than 25% of stocks were above their 50-day and less than 45% were above their 200-day.
The question is: Does this mark the end of a stealth correction, or is it an erosion that is more serious longer term? It could be both. If we get more of the same in the form of a year-end rally before a bear market ultimately unfolds, we could look back at this as the writing that was on the wall.
Either way, the fact remains: breadth is very poor. That is why we have such a selective market, with the major indexes being driven by a relatively small list of capitalization-weighted names.
https://t.co/FfBnR93ojq
Anthropic IPO prospectus leaked to Reuters
Anthropic reported a net loss of $42 billion in 2025, and plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming year, according to the prospectus.
The prospectus details how the company has grown sharply in the last year — while also posting wider losses. Revenue grew 12-fold in 2025 to nearly $4.6 billion, even as the company lost more than $8 billion on an operating basis, excluding writedowns of various liabilities mostly tied to previous fundraising, according to the documents, reported here for the first time.
https://t.co/DQX0juX3MR