The Cabeller

*does the shifty eyes thing*

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

I like my coffee like I like my takes. Hot!

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

This will be my last post here*

*probably

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@JJWiafe I mean Harris wasn’t a particularly strong candidate but her high level platform was reasonably left for this country. Turnout was fine in urban areas.

This can be boiled down to: cost of living, misogyny, and many voters vote on vibes rather than any understanding of policy

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

Democrats losing Hispanic voters as bad as they have the last 10 years should be fucking studied by future historians. Hopefully Hari Seldon will see to that.

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@JJWiafe As an American far left of Kamala and wanting more support from Palestine, that’s not going to be the takeaway from this shitshow.

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@NekiasNBA This is beyond close. We’re down 10 with 5 minutes to go.

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Phone Went West is such a banger song

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@GraceOnFootball Xhaka isn’t as good but a similar profile. Think guys like Kroos are so unique. There was Xabi too but a good bit before. Think guys with this skillset will find a way. A one player ball progression machine will always have value.

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@Jon_Mackenzie @NathanAClark I don’t know what to say other than I don’t think any statistician would approve of just removing parts of the sample for no good reason. Are you removing the best match of Pool, City, Chelsea, etc in these adjusted calculations you’re doing?

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@Jon_Mackenzie @NathanAClark Taken with the other matches, that Tottenham is pretty good and United are pretty mediocre again.

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@Jon_Mackenzie @NathanAClark Fair enough. I’m perhaps incorrectly interpreting your post but I took your post to mean that romp should be discarded or regressed in some way, which I disagree with. United aren’t good but beating them by 4-5 xG actually tells us quite a bit

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@Jon_Mackenzie @NathanAClark Pretty much all studies on xG predictiveness I’ve seen show “game state” is incredibly overrated and trying to account for it can decrease predictability because you lose a lot of your sample. Also, good teams blow teams out, bad teams get blown out

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@NathanAClark xGD is definitely better than xPoints in terms of predictiveness, game state mostly doesn’t matter. Also worth noting imo it stabilizes quickly. Get an r2 of >0.4 at like 5 matches. About .5 at 10 and maxes out below .6. Anyways, we’re good. Some receipts: https://t.co/jdOba5Lhk7

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@ChrisChavez @nyrr Do you know if Matt Choi’s pacing bike is included in these stats?

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@Ian_BeenIt @SethPartnow I normally think Biff is one of the top PL refs. That one is very orange, probably red for me

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Mudryk is just talented enough with the ball at his feet to eat up lower leagues, but holds onto it too long for defenses in top leagues.

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Jon Horst has absolutely no idea what he’s doing

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

Just had a trick or treater say to me "don't let the spirits get you". Young lady, that activates Stand Your Ground laws in 18 states

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Naomi Girma is so good

[The Cabeller @MoreCabell]

@HotspurZac @NathanAClark They 100% analyzed our passing tendencies, I don’t think I’ve seen a team have that many blocks against us, well, ever