๐จ Michael Burry just dropped a bomb on NVDA.
He documented a Bermuda-based scheme where US retirees unknowingly fund NVDAโs own revenue:
๐ด Retiree buys โsafeโ Athene annuity
โ
๐๏ธ Athene ships $291B to Bermuda at 16.6x leverage
โ
๐ผ Bermuda money โ Apolloโs $1T private credit
โ
๐ฐ Apollo creates $3.5B debt for VCI (SPV)
โ
๐จ NVDA invests $1.9B as LP into VCI
โ
๐ VCI buys $5.4B of GPUs from NVDA
โ
๐ NVDA books it as REVENUE
โ
๐ค 100K+ GPUs leased to xAI
The math:
NVDA is self-funding 35% of this revenue.
Retirees absorb all the real risk.
Apollo extracts 6x fees.
34.7% of the Bermuda balance sheet is โLevel 3โ (no market price).
This is Enron-style circular revenue, but at AI bubble scale.
Burryโs positioning: $1.1B notional in puts, 80% bearish.
When this structure unwinds, the AI bubble repricing will be violent.
Source: @michaeljburry , May 2026 / Scion Asset Management
You can literally watch $NVDA buy tens of billions of dollars of junk debt of Neoclouds and SPVs at issuing that they then quickly dump to investment groups that sneaks them into pension vehicles.
The only thing you canโt know, is which ones. Maybe Iโm wrong, but corporations donโt buy investor grade debt to hold 1-2 quarters before dumping.
$crwv $nbis $apld $iren $hut
@PauloMacro They are bearish because the government has kept oil price suppressed and traders have been burned and reluctant to mantin long positions open. Contect matters
On Monday, the Strait of Hormuz will reach 100 days of closure. Despite over 200 peace deals news made up by "journalists" and social media. Almost no oil is being transferred.
Since 2020, U.S. debt has been rising at one of the fastest paces in modern history (see the movie).
But bond yields refuse to go down.
Why is this important?
Because the government has to spend more just to service this debt. In FY2025, U.S. net interest outlays were $970 billion. CBO projects $1.04 trillion in FY2026 and $1.43 trillion by FY2030. By FY2036, interest costs are projected to reach $2.14 trillion.
And the higher bond yields stay, the higher the servicing cost becomes.
This is the trap:
More debt โ more Treasury issuance.
More issuance โ more pressure on yields.
Higher yields โ higher interest costs.
Higher interest costs โ even more debt.
At some point, it will become one of the biggest line items in the federal budget. CBO projects net interest costs to account for nearly one-fifth of all federal spending by 2036, more than defense spending, and almost as much as all discretionary spending combined.
That is why bond yields matter.