@WarintheFuture@NMAsiaPac Neither side has the will or the skill to decide the conflict. Everything else is downstream of that reality. The most brilliant tactical advantages are only decisive when paired with the will and skill to leverage them for total victory.
Gen. PETRAEUS: The future of warfare—not yet seen in the Gulf—is Ukraine producing 7 million drones per year. Last year they made 3.5 million, enabling 9–10 thousand drones per day.
These are still remotely piloted. But autonomous systems are coming, and that means drone swarms. They're already being introduced at mission end. Defending against swarms is really hard—you'll need high-powered microwaves or similar.
We're not where we should be, despite what we should have learned from Ukraine for a very long time. They're making software changes every week or two, hardware changes every 2–3 weeks.
@WarOnTheRocks Direct opportunity cost is high, but the most significant thing they give up is tool flexibility. A commitment to build a few exquisite platforms is a commitment to use them even when a better, less sophisticated solution might have been more appropriate. 1/2