Şinasi TIKIR

[Ulvi | Kripto Analiz @KriptoAnaliz4]

Hyperliquid'de en yüksek PNL'e sahip olan büyük cüzdanların Long oranı 27% - Short oranı 73%.
En büyük bireysel pozisyon 94.5 milyon $'lık hyperliquid:native
Traderların en fazla Short taşıdığı coin'ler: $XMR $LINK $ETH $AAVE bitcoin:native
Traderların en fazla Long taşıdığı coin'ler: hyperliquid:native $WLD $LIT

İyi Pazarlar diliyorum herkese dostlar.

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@KriptoAnaliz4 Kasım-Aralık ayı altcoin ve Eth alımı için uygun mu sizce

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@joao_wedson Thanks

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@KriptoAnaliz4 Others m.cap aylardır 160-190 bandında buralar dip olabilir mi üstad

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@KriptoAnaliz4 Her insan hata yapabilir, önemli olan art niyetli olmamak. Art niyetli fenomenler de kabak gibi sırıtıyor, ama onlarında takipçi sayısı çok yüksek olmasına şaşırıyorum.

[Joao Wedson @joao_wedson]

⚠️Ethereum: On-Chain Price Dynamics

Here are the most important on-chain levels for Ethereum right now:

Realized Price = $2,191
Currently the main resistance level.

Investor Price = $1,700
This level defined the latest bottom in January 2026, and also played a key role in 2025.

Average Price = $1,278
Whenever ETH traded below this level, the market was in extreme fear.

Delta Price = $917
This is the real alpha. It has marked the price bottom of every cycle so far, although this level can continue to rise depending on on-chain behavior.

I’ve written these levels down because they are likely to become key reference points for Ethereum’s future price action.

But remember: these levels change every day. That’s why the best approach is to set an alert when price reaches them, so you can be notified instantly by Email and Telegram.

@Alphractal

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@joao_wedson What is the current look?

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@laplace2011 Kesin batacak mı?

[Ulvi | Kripto Analiz @KriptoAnaliz4]

Bitcoin Mayıs ayını kırmızı kapatmak üzere. Bu senenin en çok benzediği 2 sene olan 2014 ve 2018 gibi.
2014 ve 2018'de kırmızı geçen Mayıs sonrası Haziran ayı da kırmızı kapandı. 4 yıllık döngünün son senesi Haziran ayını kötü geçirme eğilimde. Sadece 2014 istisna, orada da Nisan kırmızı idi. Biz hem bu sene hem 2014 hem de 2018'de Nisan ayını yeşil kapattık.
Bu sene de aynısını yaşayacağımızı düşünüyorum. Yani kırmızı bir Haziran.
Alıntılı postta Mayıs başında bu ay ile ilgili fikirlerimi okuyabilirsiniz.

[Joao Wedson @joao_wedson]

Bitcoin needs much more capital inflow to truly start a bull market.

It is still too early to confirm it, since the Realized Cap Impulse is moving just below 0, which is currently acting as a temporary resistance zone.

If the metric does not have enough strength to move back above 0, we can say with high probability that price may test new lows at some point over the next few months.

But if it quickly returns above 0, that would be a sign that new money is circulating on the network again, and that a shorter bear market cycle may be taking place.

Since this has not happened yet, I believe it is still too early to say that this time is different and that everything will go up very quickly.

The best thing to do is to set an alert for:
Realized Cap Impulse >= 0

That way, you will be notified when a potential real bull market signal appears.

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@Vatoshi @joao_wedson @Alphractal It can rise even when prices fall.

[Alphractal @Alphractal]

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[Joao Wedson @joao_wedson]

Across every Bitcoin bear market, the bottom has historically formed under conditions of extremely low intraday volatility.

Is this time different?

Why is it so hard to accept that possibility?

Or are people simply eager for the cycle to end?

I’d be glad to come back in a few weeks and say I was wrong, that the bear market is over, and that many analysts missed it.

But for now, the view hasn’t changed. If you examine past cycles, several rallies approached or even neared prior highs, yet that didn’t prevent the broader downtrend from continuing.

Frankly, I’d prefer to be wrong. Bear markets are tedious, but they are also the phase where real accumulation and structural buildup occur.

We likely need to see Bitcoin reclaim levels above $88K before reassessing that stance.

Until then, it’s about observation, discipline, and avoiding premature conclusions.

[Rei Researcher @Satoureireal]

#Bitcoin STH/LTH Realized Price

According to @Alphractal , the most favorable buying point for #Bitcoin is when the STH Realized Price crosses above the LTH Realized Price.

Currently:
- $BTC price is trading above both STH Realized Price (blue) and LTH Realized Price (yellow).
- If price breaks higher above the blue line, the uptrend may continue.

- However, the gap with LTH RP is narrowing → indicating potential increased profit-taking from long-term holders. If price loses support at the STH Realized Price, Short-term holders will move into loss and may trigger broader selling pressure.
- Momentum remains positive but is gradually weakening. This is a key period to closely monitor LTH behavior and Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the STH Realized Price.

On-chain data still shows underlying strength, but correction risk is present.
#Bitcoin #BTC #OnChain

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@joao_wedson Forever?

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@nakipektas 60k dan 80k ya olan yükselişte dönüşün net olduğu anlaşılmıyor ancak 80.5k üstü kapanışlarda dönüş netleşiyor. Çok ilginç.😁

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@TabiplerTarim @mehmettuluce51 Bize tapu lazım değil söylediği ile yaptıkları aynı olan dürüst üretici gerekiyor.

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@joao_wedson @ScottMeeuwsen Should we miss out on these rallies just because we think the bottom is coming?

[Şinasi TIKIR @mpd4215]

@KriptoAnaliz4 Peki üstad sp500/m2 grafiği paylaşılıp 98-2003 çöküş senaryosu hakkında ne düşünüyorsun