Mark Straton

#Trump2024
#Trump
#TeamTrump
#TrumpVance2024
#PatriotsUnite

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

Do the Math: Five Mathematical Reasons Trump Beats Harris in 2024

The math doesn’t lie. Trump will win the national popular vote, all swing states and 312 electoral votes becoming the 47th President of the United States. See the five data points and historical analysis that suggests a Trump victory.

1) The current RealClear Politics direction of the country right track / wrong track average of polls at 63.1% wrong track and 26.7% right directions suggests the incumbent party will lose (footnote 1). The Cook Political Report historical analysis (footnote 2) shows that the incumbent party loses the election when they have high wrong track and low right track numbers. Incumbents have lost with an average of 70% wrong track and 24% right track.

2) According to Gallup, Republicans have a stronger party identification with 48% identifying as Republicans or leaning Republican versus 48% for the Democrats (footnote 3). The Republican party is winning the battle for the hearts and minds of voters for the first time in the modern era.

3) Republican early voting rates have significantly increased from 30.5% in 2020 to 36% in 2024 while Democrat rates has fallen from 44.8% in 2020 to 37.9% in 2024 (footnote 4). The Republican disadvantage in 2020 was a key reason for their lose. The former campaign manager for Barack Obama, Jim Messina, said that the early voting figures from Republicans are "a little scary" for Democrats.

4) Republicans have massively increased national and swing state Republican voter registrations by margins that would have changed the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election (footnote 5). Republicans have improved their registrations by 198,006 or 3.92% in AZ which Biden won by only 10,427 votes in 2020, 440,288 or 5.37% in GA which Biden won by only 11,779 votes in 2020, 97,674 or 1.16% in MI which Biden won by 154,188 votes in 2020, 71,734 or 2.98% in NV which Biden won by 33,596 in 2020, 311,587 or 4.06% in NC which Trump won by 74,481 in 2020, 585,957 or 6.4% in PA which Biden one by 81,660 in 2020, and 86,571 or 1.59% in WI which Biden won by 20,608 votes in 2020. In all States except Michigan, these new registered Republicans would have given Trump the edge and the Presidency in 2020. See footnotes 5 and 6.

5) RealClear Politics November 4th average of polls has Trump tied with Harris for the national vote and leading in five of the seven swing states with enough electoral votes to win the 2024 election (footnote 7). In 2016 Trump over performed the polls by 2.5% and in 2020 by 2.9% (an average of 2.7%). When the RealClear Politics average national and seven swing state polls (AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA and WI) are adjusted by this average, Trump wins the national popular vote, the electoral college and all seven swing states. Only tomorrow’s election will tell if the pollsters improved, but their 2020 performance declined over 2016.

When these five mathematical points are understood and coupled with the significant Democrat disadvantages on the key issues of inflation, economic performance, immigration, foreign wars and crime, it’s hard to see how Harris can win.

#DeSantis2024
#RD24
#DeSantisForPresident
#RonDeSantis
#NikkiHaley2024
#Trump2024 #Trump
#TeamTrump
#TrumpVance2024
#PatriotsUnite
#HarrisWalz2024
#RFK

1. https://t.co/isWYGJsiS0.
2. https://t.co/aTJPXhag0r.
3. https://t.co/d4HayCYXu8.
4. https://t.co/M9OPdCIey2
5. https://t.co/hCn93PHIDb
6. https://t.co/3LFmIcE1fc.
7. https://t.co/w2vfBdLhX3

[Tony Seruga @TonySeruga]

The Senate was never meant to be a ficken House of Lords—stuffed with powdered-wig fossils and spineless careerists kissing rings.

John Thune turned it into exactly that: a polite retirement home for controlled opposition.

Remove this milquetoast immediately.

[@Chicago1Ray 🇺🇸 @Chicago1Ray]

(29) states could see their laws allowing Mail-in Ballots be counted after election day- OVERTURNED this month

CA is giving the Supreme Court all the evidence it needs to rule in favor of having the results in on the day of

CA giving itself 30 days to count is coming to an end

[Ron DeSantis @RonDeSantis]

Florida processes more than 10 million votes in a matter of hours.

California takes days — or sometimes even weeks — to count the votes.

It’s pathetic — and it’s corrosive to our civic culture.

[Wall Street Apes @WallStreetApes]

The Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department used helicopters to fly in ballots from vote centers across the region

“They're picking up ballots from 8 cities including Lancaster, Santa Clarita, Palmdale, Lakewood, Santa Monica, Van Nuys, Pomona, and Torrance. Once they arrive, the ballots are securely transferred inside where election workers are receiving and processing millions of ballots”

The reason they do this is because LA is huge, over 4,700 miles big

There are 5.8 million registered voters that has a single Ballot Processing Center in the City of Industry

All ballots from vote centers across the vast county are brought here for counting after polls close. Driving from remote areas like the Antelope Valley, Lancaster, Palmdale takes hours, so helicopters get ballots in faster, reducing delays in reporting and minimizing time ballots sit in transit

What I find interesting is this seems like the perfect opportunity to introduce as many mail in ballots as needed without any questions

This also use one processing center. This means they wouldn’t have to coordinate rigging elections across multiple offices. If could be one easy to control operation at this one facility

We need a federal audit of California elections

If there’s no fraud, great. But I think we all know there’s massive fraud

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

Get rid of Thune. Out of touch and ineffective. In a business, he would have been fired months ago. He’s a small ball player and a bad one.

[@Chicago1Ray 🇺🇸 @Chicago1Ray]

Resign 🚨

Thune is holding up at least (47) pcs of legislation, over (33) Judicial appts

He's passed the fewest bills in the modern era, and he won't force a talking filibuster

What kind of Majority leader ignores what (85%) of the American people want passed

REMOVE THUNE 👇

[C3 @C_3C_3]

Over the last 20 years elections that do not declare a winner on election night go to:

80% Democrats
20% Republicans

Of course…

[Dan Hill @dandinohill]

Yep - he is betraying the voters, but is "Beloved" by his Repub Senate colleagues.

Perhaps that says more about them than about him.

[Adrienne @YoAdrienne1968]

I struggle to find the words to describe how much I loathe this useless son of a bitch 😡

[Proud Elephant 🇺🇸🦅 @ProudElephant]

Good question… 🧐🧐🧐

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

🚨 JUST IN: It's been over 12 HOURS since poll close in California and not even 60% PERCENT of the votes have been counted

Entire NATIONS count nearly 90-100% of their ballots in less time.

Florida takes just a FEW HOURS to count over 90% PERCENT of votes

California's election system is broken. Letting mail-ins FLOOD after election day is a horrible way to do it.

It needs to be overhauled MASSIVELY!

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

He’s hated by Republicans. @gopsen

[Dan Hill @dandinohill]

Senator Mike Lee (R-Utah) said that Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) “is beloved by colleagues and very popular within the conference.”

- GROK

My Question: WHY?

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

Total BS. If you were serious, you’d lead an initiative to oust John Thune who is not a Republican and is working g against st Trump, the SAVE ACT and blocking recess judicial appointments John Thune is despicable and a total incompetent. I’m a lifelong Regan Republican and I will not support any senator who supports John Thune. @GOPSenate @VP @POTUS @SenRickScott @SenAshleyMoody

[Sen. Marsha Blackburn @MarshaBlackburn]

Every single state in America should partner with DHS through the SAVE Program to clean up their voter rolls and stop illegals from voting.

I will not rest until we secure our elections.
https://t.co/e1URWhZQHC

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

Get it done.

[@amuse @amuse]

RECESS APPOINTMENTS: Senate Republicans won’t confirm dozens of Trump’s nominees and their latest rejection is Bill Pulte for DNI. Speaker Johnson MUST pull the trigger and call for a recess of Congress allowing Trump to adjourn both chambers to make his recess appointments. @ScottPresler

[C3 @C_3C_3]

California is going to take 37 days to count 9 million mail in ballots with 0 of the voters showing ID.

This is totally fine with John Thune.

Think about that.

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

@TomCottonAR Hey Tom, allow Trump to make recess, judicial appointments, pass to save act and oust. Senate Majority leader Thune. i’m a lifelong Reagan Republican and I cannot support any senator who supports Jonhn Thune. @ what are you doing?@GOPSenate

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

@BritniDWrites You need to read the laws. Pretty clear.

[Jackson2244 @PatriotWoman22]

The corrupt POS should resign in shame

[Sherri Unfiltered™ @FFT1776]

Look at the mail-in ballot mess happening live in California!

John Thune and the entire Senate support rigged elections.

[Glenn Beck @glennbeck]

6 states voted last night. I can tell you who won in South Dakota, Montana, and even New Jersey. But somehow, California has only counted HALF of its ballots. They’re saying it could take 10 DAYS to get any definitive results.

There is no modern Western country that runs its elections like California. France, the U.K., Australia, Germany, and even Colombia COUNT THEIR BALLOTS OVERNIGHT!

You don't have to believe in fraud to see that California has a problem. I mean, you totally could believe in fraud. Lots of fraud. Wow, those mail-in ballots take forever to come in! But you don't HAVE to. This is unacceptable.

[Mark Straton @mstraton2]

Pass the SAVE ACT, allow recess judicial appointments and remove Thune. @GOPSenate

[Chuck Grassley @ChuckGrassley]

$0 = how much $$ Democrats want 2 give Border Patrol and ICE to keep YOUR family safe

When will Dems wake up & realize their open borders agenda that let 10M+ illegal immigrants into the USA is unpopular + dangerous?? Republicans will keep our borders secure + Americans safe