Nate Hawkins

Data Analyst, Boston Red Sox

[AJ @AJ_909]

when you consider the following:
- shot power
- shot trajectory
- block proximity
- dan burn skull thickness
- low air resistance

this must be furthest a ball has ever been headed in football history. and i can't see how it's physically possible for it ever to be beaten

[Starting 5 @PlayStarting5]

A little over a week ago I made a daily NBA game called Starting 5.

Every day you get a random team from NBA history and you have to remember it’s 5 starters.

You get 5 guesses.

First one’s blind, then you unlock hints as you go. A perfect score is 1000.

Over 4,500 people have played so far which is wild to me.

If you grew up watching this league you’ll get way too into it.

Have you tried it yet?

Working on some new features soon like “play yesterday’s puzzle” and a hard mode.

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

do some of the fun stuff ourselves? Plus AI doesn't know anything that the bracketmakers/Vegas doesn't already know

4. The sum of your final four team seeds should be 6 or greater.

Having 4 1-seeds is borrrring

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

March Madness Bracket Etiquette 🏀

1. Make one bracket and run with it.

Nothing is less interesting than your 25th bracket in your work group that's 97th percentile. If you make 25 brackets and one isn't 95+ percentile that's kinda sad.

2. Don't sneak your kid's bracket into

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

our group as your second bracket. Your 3 month old didn't make those picks. If your kid's not old enough to choose by themself then help them do a mascot bracket.

3. I UsEd CLAudE to FiLl out mY BRackET.

Why don't you just let AI eat food and play video games for you. Can we

[Jeff Passan @JeffPassan]

BREAKING: The Washington Nationals are finalizing a deal to name Paul Toboni their new head of baseball operations, sources tell ESPN. Toboni, 35, rose rapidly to become assistant GM for the Boston Red Sox and is widely regarded as one of the best young executives in MLB.

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

@burakcankoc Congrats Burak! Huge win for the bulls

[Owen Phillips @owenlhjphillips]

remixing this banger ahead of the 2025 draft lottery

[BBall Index @The_BBall_Index]

The March Madness Package is LIVE!!! 🔗 in bio

Our NCAA Data is here in time for you to expertly fill out your March Madness Bracket and win that Office Bracket Pool or win money from your friends.

This Tool offers MULTIPLE avenues of helping you pick which teams could advance including a LEBRON Bracket, Tim’s Bracket, a BBI Bracket, a Team Matchup Tool to help you choose your own path with informed data, a Tournament Probablilites Tool to identify a teams likelihood of advancing through each round, a Team Data Tool, a Player Data Tool, and a Team Dashboard.

Whether you bet on each game or choose to fill out an entire bracket, make even more informed and educated picks with our March Madness Package - only $19.99 through the link in our bio.

🧵 of what you can expect in this package:

[Krishna Narsu @knarsu3]

Did some testing of public all-in-one metrics by replicating past work of @Neil_Paine, @ElGee35 and @taylor_snarr but made some slight alterations. The method: merge the all-in-one metric with minutes in year Y+1, sum it up for the team and check the correlation with team win%.

[Taylor Wyman @taylormetrics]

Which NBA player salaries are the best and worst values according to analytics right now?

I used @The_BBall_Index all-in-one metric Multi Year LEBRON to find out. It looks at a player's impact over the last 3 seasons

Here's a thread🧵breaking down what I found

[Jacob Miller @Choco_Trail]

Enjoyable time with Connor and Grant working through this #BigDataBowl. We attempted to bite off quite a bit -- is it possible to create an overall metric for predictability of play outcome given pre-snap information?

Quick hit: more first downs = more unpredictable

[Krishna Narsu @knarsu3]

Pick whatever metric you want: Wemby's aging curve to start his career is hilarious- just a straight line upwards.

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

@WMoneyball @taylormetrics Ggplot

[Bud Davis @JBudDavis]

📊Historic Draft Value By Recruiting Class

▫️Alabama 2017 is BY FAR the GOAT
▫️Florida 2010 highest Expected DV but no hardware (thanks WM)
▫️Actual DV above on near Expected DV = higher title likelihood.
▫️No title-certainty for high level of Actual or Expected DV
▫️Poor USC

[BBall Index @The_BBall_Index]

Salary vs LEBRON

Franz Wagner is producing ALL-NBA impact at Grocery Outlet prices

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

@aloveCRJ @knarsu3 We call the version that has all the info (and is therefore more predictive) CareerLEBRON... 2025 values coming soon!

[Nate Hawkins @natehawk2]

@aloveCRJ @knarsu3 This is a snapshot of how good they have been just this season. If you only know how well they have played this season, this is the best guess of how good they will be at the end of the season. Using more info (previous seasons, age, etc.) would likely match your intuition

[Krishna Narsu @knarsu3]

Top 20 in LEBRON. One of the things we did was find the optimal amount of regression to the mean (prior) that best predicts LEBRON at the end of the season to be able to run it earlier in the season (for those familiar with RAPM type stats, finding the optimal lambda).

[Jimmy O'Brien @Jomboy_]

Teammates had no idea this BYU punt returner was going to throw up after his touchdown, a breakdown