New short story I’ve been thinking about, sparked by the Anthropic/Fable drama:
The U.S. regulates the furnace. The lab carries the fire somewhere else.
https://t.co/xaWNsD1Jc0
Adjusted for inflation, the Apollo program cost roughly $250B.
@elonmusk’s net worth is now high enough that he could fund three Apollo programs and still be the richest person on Earth. It’s a little hand wave-y, but the comparison is staggering.
1950: can machines think?
2012: deep learning works
2017: transformers scale
2020: GPT-3 makes prompting real
2022: ChatGPT makes it mainstream
2024+: multimodal + reasoning models
2025+: agents, tools, long context, verification loops