$2 TRILLION HAS BEEN WIPED OUT FROM US STOCK MARKET IN LAST 2 HOURS.
Two possible reasons for this selloff.
THE FIRST REASON IS SPACEX.
SpaceX lists on June 12 at a $1.77 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion, the largest IPO in US history.
SpaceX allocated 30% of shares to retail investors, three times the industry norm.
Even then, most retail investors still did not get full allocation. To buy more SpaceX at open on Thursday, they are selling their existing positions today to raise cash.
And SpaceX does not enter the Nasdaq 100 on day one. It enters 15 trading days after listing, putting forced buying around early July.
Nasdaq changed its rules specifically for this IPO, cutting the waiting period from three months to 15 days.
When that happens, every QQQ fund must automatically buy SpaceX, an estimated $22 to $27 billion in forced mechanical buying. To make room, every existing Nasdaq 100 stock gets trimmed.
MSCI has also adopted early inclusion rules, adding trillions more in tracked assets that will be forced to buy SpaceX after listing.
Both retail and institutions are raising cash at the same time, retail to participate in the listing, institutions to prepare for the forced index buying in July.
That combined selling is what you are seeing right now.
The second reason is insider positioning ahead of major news.
When institutions sell this aggressively across every asset class at the same time, it often signals they know something the market does not yet.