For my first post, I’m sharing a letter @NVIDIA signed on why open models matter.
AI will transform every industry, power every company, and be built by every country.
Open models strengthen safety and cybersecurity, accelerate innovation and diffusion, and enable sovereignty.
The world needs both frontier closed models and frontier open models.
https://t.co/AUKzoQ5Ikb
The rich are moving their money, and all you have to do is follow it.
3 places the biggest investors & highest income earners are turning to:
(Hint: It's not stocks, crypto, or real estate)
15 years of biz & life lessons in <500 words:
1. Marrying well is the biggest life hack of all.
2. Be the type of person who reaches out to others... when you don't need something.
@SahilBloom Wow! What a great perspective! You always ask yourself what would you tell your younger self. This will take a bit of thinking. Thanks for sharing this!
@ESPNcricinfo Would love to see the whole crowd wear blackarm bands! @ICC are a bunch of muppets. @Uz_Khawaja no rules against putting black tape on your bat 😉
Charlie Munger passed away today at the age of 99.
Warren Buffett once said "Charlie has the best 30-second mind in the world"
How did he think so quickly & precisely?
Mental Models
Let's take a look at 21 of Munger's best:
Today Elon Musk held a Twitter Space to discuss xAI.
Here is a recap of what was discussed for those who missed it:
- The founding team was on hand to introduce themselves, and I must say it is an impressive team with an impressive background. They had very strong backgrounds with Deep Mind, OpenAI, Google, Tesla, etc.
- Elon Musk said the goal with xAI is to build a good AGI (artificial general intelligence) with the purpose of understanding the universe.
- Musk said that the safest way is to build an AGI that is ‘maximum curious’ and ‘truth curious,’ and to try and minimize the error between what you think is true and what is actually true.
- For truth-seeking super intelligence humanity is much more interesting than not humanity, so that’s the safest way to create one. Musk gave the example of how space and Mars is super interesting but it pales in comparison to how interesting humanity is.
- Musk said there is so much that we think we understand but we don’t in reality. There are a lot of unresolved questions. For example, there are many questions that remain about the nature of gravity, and why there is not massive evidence of aliens. He said he has seen no evidence of aliens whatsoever so far. He went further into the Fermi Paradox and how it's possible that other consciousness may not exist in our galaxy.
- If you ask today’s advanced AIs technical questions, you just get nonsense, so Musk believes we are really missing the mark by many orders of magnitude and that needs to get better.
- xAI will use heavy computing, but the amount of ‘brute force’ will become less as they become to understand the problem better.
- Co-Founder Greg Yang said that the mathematics they find at xAi could open up new perspectives to existing questions like the 'Theory of Everything.'
- Elon stated that you can't call anything AGI until the computer solves at least one fundamental question.
- He said that from his experience at Tesla, they have over complicated problems. “We are too dumb to realize how simple the answers really are," he said. "We will probably find this out with AGI as well. Once AGI is solved, we will look back and think, why did we think it would be so hard.”
- They are going to release more information on the first release of xAI in a couple more weeks.
- Elon Musk said that xAI is being built as competition to OpenAI, when asked by @krassenstein.
- The goal is to make xAI a useful tool for consumers and businesses and there is value in having multiple entities and competition. Elon said that competition makes companies honest, and he’s in favor of competition.
- Musk said every organization doing AI has illegally used Twitter’s data for training. Limits had to be put on Twitter because they were being scraped like crazy. Multiple entities were trying to scrape every tweet ever made in a span of days. xAI will use tweets as well for training.
- At some point you run out of human-created data. So eventually AI will have to generate its own content and self-access that content.
- Answering a question from @alx, Musk said there is a significant danger in training AI to be politically correct or training it not to say what it thinks is true, so at xAI they will let the AI say what it believes to be true, and Musk believes it will result in some criticism.
- Musk said it’s very dangerous to grow an AI and teach it to lie.
- Musk said he would accept a meeting with Kamala Harris if invited. He said he’s not sure if Harris is the best person to be the AI czar, but agrees we need regulatory oversight.
- Musk believes that China too will have AI regulation. He said the CCP doesn’t want to find themselves subservient to a digital super intelligence.
- Musk believes we will have a voltage transformer shortage in a year and electricity shortage in 2 years.
- xAI will work with Tesla in multiple ways and it will be of mutual benefit. Tesla’s self-driving capabilities will be enhanced because of xAI.
- According to Musk, the proper way to go about AI regulations is to start with insight. If a proposed rule is agreed upon by all or most parties then that rule should be adopted. It should not slow things down for a great amount of time. A little bit of slowing down is OK if it's for safety.
- Musk thinks that Ray Kurzweil's prediction of AGI by 2029 is pretty accurate, give or take a year.
I've love to hear everyone's thoughts on where you think xAI will go.
CBS has already sold out the entirety of their 2024 Super Bowl ads...
The average cost for 30 secs is $7 million. For reference in 2015, it was only $4.25 million
These brands spent their money wisely (A Thread):
@jspujji Find your 1 rep max and you can base a lot of protocols from that: 6-8 reps, cluster sets, RIR (reps in reserve) etc. Not all body parts need heavy weights, but going heavy on compound lifts will not only build muscle, it will also aide bone density - you'll beed this as you age
OpenAI Offers Salary from $300000 to $925,000 for AI-Focused Roles.
Google, Microsoft and Udemy has launched courses to master AI skills.
Here's a list of Top online courses to learn AI:
[🔖 Bookmark for later]
Steve Jobs was the single largest individual shareholder in Disney and it all started with this $5 million check.
The year was 1986 and Steve Jobs was in exile from Apple.
The company that would one day become Pixar was called Graphics Group. Graphics Group was owned by Star Wars creator George Lucas.
George Lucas was getting divorced and needed to sell off some assets.
Steve Jobs agreed to give George Lucas $5 million and invest another $5 million in the company.
This was not the first time Steve Jobs had expressed interest in the technology behind Graphics Group.
When he was still at Apple, Jobs tried to get Apple’s board to buy the company.
They turned him down.
This is Steve explaining why he was interested in acquiring Graphics Group:
“These guys were way ahead of us on graphics, way ahead. They were way, way ahead of anybody. I just knew in my bones that this was going to be very important."
Steve would eventually invest $54 million of his own money in Pixar.
After several years of failing to sell The Pixar Image Computer, Pixar decided to go all in on making films.
After years of poor sales and rising expenses they were short on cash. To solve this problem Steve signed a deal to produce 3 animated films for Disney.
The first of these movies was Toy Story —the world’s first computer animated feature film.
Now here is where this story gets really interesting:
Steve decided to capitalize on the publicity of Toy Story’s release and take Pixar public at the same time.
Toy Story was released on November 22, 1995.
Pixar went public on November 29, 1995.
Steve's two partners — Ed Catmull and John Lasseter — did not want to go public.
They thought it was too early. They wanted to do a few more films first.
Then Steve laid out his strategy and told them what was likely coming from Disney.
Steve said let’s assume Toy Story is a big success (it was —grossing over $370 million).
When that happens the CEO of Disney — Michael Eisner — will realize he inadvertently created a rival for Disney Animation.
Pixar only had to make two more films for Disney and then they’d be free to do as they like.
Steve said Eisner’s next move would be to try and renegotiate with Pixar and keep Pixar close to Disney.
Steve said if they went public and had more money they’d be able to negotiate better terms with Disney.
Steve wanted a 50/50 split with Disney on returns. In order to request this Pixar had to be able to put up 50% of the production costs.
Going public would allow Pixar to afford this.
The time is now Steve said: "This is our moment."
And he was right. Toy Story was a massive success and Pixar's IPO raised $140 million -- the biggest IPO of 1995.
A few months later Eisner approached Jobs and said he wanted to keep Pixar as a partner.
Eisner accepted Steve’s 50/50 deal.
This partnership wasn't going to last. Steve Jobs and Michael Eisner couldn’t get along.
A few years later negotiations broke down completely and Pixar started looking for other partners.
Then Michael Eisner got fired. The new CEO of Disney was Bob Iger.
When Bob Iger found out he was going to be the next CEO he called his daughters first.
The next person he called was Steve Jobs.
He told Steve he valued Pixar and wanted to make a deal. This is Bob explaining why he felt Disney needed to buy Pixar:
“Michael [Eisner] didn’t understand that Disney’s problems in animation were as acute as they were. That manifested itself in the way he dealt with Pixar. He never felt he needed Pixar as much as he really did. Every negotiation needs to be resolved by compromises. Neither one of them [Eisner and Jobs] is a master of compromise.”
How did Bob Iger realize how badly Disney needed Pixar?
By watching a parade at Hong Kong Disneyland
Iger realized that the only characters in the parade that had been created in the past decade were Pixar’s:
“A lightbulb went off. I’m standing next to Michael [Eisner], but I kept it completely to myself, because it was such an indictment of his stewardship of animation during that period. After ten years of The Lion King, Beauty and the Beast, and Aladdin, there were then ten years of nothing.”
Bob begins to negotiate with Steve to buy Pixar and does something very unusual:
He tells Steve how badly Disney needs Pixar.
Even more surprising this tactic worked. This is how Steve reacted:
“That’s why I just loved Bob Iger. He just blurted it out. Now that’s the dumbest thing you can do as you enter a negotiation, at least according to the traditional rule book. He just put his cards out on the table and said, ‘We’re screwed.’ I immediately liked the guy, because that’s how I worked too. Let’s just immediately put all the cards on the table and see where they fall.”
Disney purchased Pixar for $7.4 billion in Disney stock.
And Steve Jobs went from the single largest shareholder in Pixar to the single largest individual shareholder in Disney.
Did you know in 1921 when The Football Association in Eng banned women from playing altogether. DE, FR, and Brazil followed suit, and the ban stuck until 1969. Let that sink in: Women's football was outright banned until 1969, and there was no global tournament until 1991.