Nils Mork-Ulnes

Data, digital, media, econ. Opinions are my own.

[Nils Mork-Ulnes @nilsmu]

https://t.co/2oAqRTINgA

[Matthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin]

it's so funny how we have this super high profile internationally televised sporting event that's just different ways norwegians get around

[Khoa Vu @KhoaVuUmn]

Adam Smith's favorite Halloween costume.

[Armand Domalewski @ArmandDoma]

The total USAID budget was $35 billion by the way

[Ethan Mollick @emollick]

Paper argues that diminishing returns to AI scale are an illusion

Economic value comes from completing long projects, not single questions. And accuracy drives how long a project AI does: small gains compound exponentially!

Reasoners are much more accurate, with big impacts.

[John Maeda @johnmaeda]

The LLM can write better than you, by a standard which others are measured.

But you write better than the LLM, by a standard which you measure yourself.

[Ethan Mollick @emollick]

DeepSeek continues to have the most unhinged reasoning traces (“pacing mentally”)

[Nathan Benaich @nathanbenaich]

surprise surprise - the hollowing out of the mind (for those who indulge in the intellectual crutch and lack self volition to actually learn) is coming at scale

[Satya Nadella @satyanadella]

Today, at Build we showed you how we are building the open agentic web. It is reshaping every layer of the stack, and our goal is to help every dev build apps and agents that empower people and orgs everywhere. Here are 5 big things we announced today:

[Henry Blodget @hblodget]

These numbers are disastrous. Car-making is a high fixed-cost business. And sales got cut in half.

Forget “growth.” It will take Tesla years to claw back to where they were (if they even can).

Good thing TSLA investors only care about businesses that don’t exist!

[Oz Katerji @OzKaterji]

There’s an awful lot of silence on the murder by torture of a female Ukrainian journalist in a Russian concentration camp by a lot of the same people who claim to be the only ones prepared to speak out about attacks on the press in the Middle East.

Credit to the Guardian for this.

[CBS News @CBSNews]

Despite President Trump's promise of cuts, the federal government has spent about $220 billion more in his first 100 days than the same time period last year.
https://t.co/RT6cpM7YHP

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

Covid, but on a slightly slower timescale, without stimulus is increasingly feeling like the right analogy.

[Matina Stevis-Gridneff @MatinaStevis]

This is where we are now.

Great scoop by @AndyBounds.

[Justin Wolfers @JustinWolfers]

Serious point: This might be the most interventionist American government in my lifetime. The price of just about every good reflects the good thinking of the Commissars in Washington DC implementing their 5-year plan for National Greatness, rather than market forces.

[Skanda Amarnath @IrvingSwisher]

If youre going to go maximalist aggro on a trading partner, you better have
1) a legitimate motivation that can be understood globally (esp by allies & partners)
2) be prepared to deal with countermeasures
3) be credible in your maximalism

Need 3 out of 3
Getting 0 out of 3

[Greg Lukianoff @glukianoff]

Yes, due process is not just an innovation for fairness. It's a clever system for accuracy in the face of human bias, self-deception, and overconfidence.

[Brad Setser @Brad_Setser]

A new kind of geopolitical risk premium --

Canadian and Danish institutional investors are, umm, reconsidering the extent of their exposure to the United States.

1/2

[Diane Swonk @DianeSwonk]

An escalation of the trade war with China will cut off trade in vital categories, which the US has become dependent upon.

That will lead to shortages, which also push prices higher - the pandemic underscored that point - even as layoffs mount in both countries.

[Michael Brown @MrMBrown]

Mar = Goldilocks...solid NFP, cool CPI & PPI

Utter lunacy that someone decided to take a wrecking ball to that...econ was literally something everyone was (rightly) jealous of

Now you've thrown it all away...