The Leap of Faith in a Thesis
People always ask how I made life-changing gains with $PEPECOIN.
They assume that I had secret alpha. That I timed it perfectly.
The truth is I didn't and I didn't need to.
In 2021, I first started buying at $0.20. Then I bought more at $0.10. I kept DCA-ing throughout 2022, and then the FTX collapse happened so I bought more.
In April 2023, around the erc-20 bridge, I bought from $0.03 - 0.25. And across 2023 between $0.01 - 0.04.
One of my favorite trades was a buy for $257 that turned into $159K at ATH.
Needless to say, I hold quite a bit of $PEPECOIN.
This is a story about conviction over precision.
I had a macro thesis:
- Bitcoin's global adoption was still in its early innings
- Memecoins tend to follow Bitcoin and they can deliver outsized gains at peak euphoria (as observed with DOGE)
- I needed to have a memecoin position
- People who get shaken out during the bloodiest parts of the crypto cycle are usually the ones closest to the inflection point
I stopped trying to time the top and I started getting serious about holding at the bottom.
When everything black-swanned in 2022... FTX, NFTs, general crypto sentiment, I kept asking one question:
What will still be here when the smoke clears?
The answer I kept coming up with was PepeCoin.
Not $PEPE, the imitation.
I'm talking about $PEPECOIN, the original Pepe memecoin.
There were a handful of others too, but what drew me to PepeCoin was that it represented something rare in crypto. It was a memecoin with roots. It had history and a story.
By the time I found it, it had been through multiple cycles, a name change, and community turnover. It was battle-tested.
The trading strategy that worked wasn't sexy.
I kept building my position, averaging in as the price dropped. Detaching from the daily PnL of my portfolio, knowing my thesis remained intact.
That last part is key because staring at red numbers every day will crush your conviction faster than any drawdown ever will.
Instead, I focused on:
- Big picture
- Lowering my cost basis
- Trusting the broader cycle
You won't catch every move. You won't perfectly time every rotation. The point is to stay in the game long enough to benefit when your thesis proves out.
And with $PEPECOIN, that's what happened.
We're back in chop mode now with $PEPECOIN, but the community is rallying to make noise, and some special players are paying attention.
And just like last time, the question becomes:
Do you believe it's over? Or do you believe this is a great setup?
Because if Bitcoin continues to push further into all time highs, Ethereum follows, and we're going to see memecoins roar again.
Most people quit before the reward. They forget that actions resulting in generational wealth rarely look like genius in the moment.
I had belief in my thesis and that's the real alpha.
What's your thesis?
Find your conviction, then make your move.
Before $ETH hits $5.000 you will want to already have a huge bag of @pepecoins
OG Pepe from 2016
Because when Ethereum hits $15k, you will have made it
Leverage with no liquidation risks
#Base is a 100B-200B market cap chain
7-13% of that puts $Brett at
7B to 26B market cap
Why 7-13% you ask?
Because when ETH hit 540B #1 meme on the chain $SHIB hit 40B = 7%
When SOL hit 100B+, $Trump hit 13B = 13%
Brett is destined to fall within this 7-13% ratio of Base all time high market cap
Mathematically programming a victory for all of us today
We’ve already won
@BasedBrett is something else
Always making me buy more $Brett
I have never seen a memecoin being so bullish & still MASSIVELY undervalued
Let me stack up on more $Brett
Ps: The ad is absolutely fire 🔥
So Israel is expected to surrender to Hamas & feed them even though Israeli hostages are being starved? Did UK surrender to Nazis and drop food to them? Ever heard of Dresden, PM Starmer? That wasn’t food you dropped. If you had been PM then UK would be speaking German!
congrats to our friends at Ponke on the launch of their new plushie collectibles!
we bought 9 using @solanapay to giveaway to the Ponke and Solana community
for your chance to win one, just like this post and follow @ponkehq
Yes, @pepecoins is the real $PEPE, and it launched in 2016 and never stopped building & innovating.
Narratives matter more than anything in crypto, and @pepecoins, as the first and OG 2016 MemeCoin for the most popular internet meme, Pepe the Frog, has the strongest narrative out of all MemeCoins in crypto.
If you missed DogeCoin in 2021, @pepecoins is your second and last chance of getting into a historic MemeCoin, before massive repricing is going to happen.
Nothing is more obvious than @pepecoins being a huge opportunity right now.
Ponke & The Combat Cone™ arrives online August 7!
The first major milestone on the road to retail.
Soldiers before shelves 🐒🪖
https://t.co/Gy4dGVjqpU
2016 @pepecoins has been flat for the last 170 days while simultaneously gaining more holders
For reference, the last time it was flat for 200 days, it went through an 80,000% face melting rally to $1bn
The longer the base, the higher in space
This cycle started with the green frog, and it will end with the green frog
#Bitcoin – What’s Next?
The Big Macro Report: Everything You Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: BTC just did something major, and most people still haven’t realized it. I haven’t seen a single person mention it. Probably because they haven’t figured it out yet. Not even one chart pointing out this massive bullish event. It’s right in front of our eyes, and yet the market fails to see it. Bitcoin just broke through the diagonal resistance on the MONTHLY chart. It was rejected in November, December 2024, January, and February 2025, four months in a row, with every single monthly close sitting just under that key resistance. This month we saw a clean breakout and clean retest + explosive bullish impulse forming. The resistance I’m talking about is the one that marked the 2021 all-time high. BTC just broke above it, retested it, and is now making it clear, the next leg up is loading. This chart is extremely bullish and I’m calling it now: your entire X feed will be filled with this chart soon. On top of this bullish formation you have even more bullish news:
TRUMP TRADE DEAL
One of the few elements still holding back BTC and the broader stock market from moving even higher are tariffs. Many assume the market no longer cares, that’s incorrect. Its partially priced in, but tariffs continue to suppress momentum. That suppression just broke Today, as Trump confirmed that the U.S. has officially reached a trade deal with Europe. The agreement includes:
– $750 billion in U.S. energy exports
– $600 billion in EU investments into the U.S.
– $150 billion in EU purchases of U.S. energy
This is one of the largest and most bullish trade agreements since the legendary 2016 trade deal! U.S. stock markets are expected to open sharply higher and Bitcoin will strongly follow. This is very bullish for the mid and long term as there is no longer fear due to a tarrif war between countries, especially and most importantly between the US and Europe.
RECENT WHALE MOVEMENTS
Earlier this week, we saw a sell-off triggered by movements from Galaxy Digital wallets. Markets panicked, and BTC dropped to $114,500. That panic was completely unjustified. Here’s why: ETF inflows continue to outpace daily sell volume and have done so for months. Spot ETFs are absorbing more BTC than is being mined. BlackRock is acting like a vacuum, pulling Bitcoin off the market. What some whale wallet movements are doing is irrelevant when the real accumulation engine is in full force and thousands of other whales have not touched their BTC yet. No reason to panic at all!
M2 MONEY SUPPLY
Let’s get to the real macro engine: M2 money supply. In 2020, M2 expanded 25% due to COVID panic. Bitcoin responded with an 800% rally. Since the start of 2025, M2 is up +2.3%, and that’s during a period still labeled “quantitative tightening.” In other words, rates are high, the Fed is not cutting, but they are still printing, and forced to do so. This should not be happening under tightening, and yet it is. When real easing begins, printing will become more agressive. What you’re seeing now is just the start, and it has not even started yet.
There’s no fixed rule like “BTC rises X% per M2 gain,” but historical data shows a rough correlation of 30–35% BTC upside per 1% M2 increase. The MOST AGRESSIVE printing this year happened between May and June 2025, with a monthly increase of +0.63%, the largest spike so far. For context, previous months like March → April and April → May showed smaller increases. Combine that with BTC’s typical lag to M2, around 60 to 90 days, and it’s simple: June’s print sets up a 15–17.5% BTC rally in the coming weeks. This brings us directly into the $130,000+ target zone. This is my first serious target since 2022, and everyone in the most powerful and biggest existing trading group on the planet knows exactly what that means. Our multi-year plan is on track, join to know more👉 https://t.co/TvHxOtJJRL
FOMC
Looking ahead: FOMC is on Wednesday. 95% probability: no rate cut. 5%: one cut. Powell continues to speak hawkish while the Fed is quietly expanding liquidity and printing continues as mentioned above. This gives me the signal that the FED has full control of what it is doing. Once QE starts, expect more agressive printing. If the money supply is up 2,3% since the beginning of the year during QT, how high will it rise during QE? Its an easy bet.
Trade with me on BloFin: https://t.co/BfOK8FYGfj
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE BUT EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY. ALL WRITTEN HERE IS MY OPINION AND MY OWN TRADING, INVESTING STRATEGY.
@pepecoins reached 1B market cap with 100% supply circulation and holder count of 7.6k. 20% of supply has been burned by community and team (more will be burned), with holder count now above 19k. Things will get crazy...and quickly.
In the $ETH OG 🐸 We TRUST
$0.6219
MC: 66mil
ATH: $7.57
CA:
0xa9e8acf069c58aec8825542845fd754e41a9489a
Since ATH @pepecoins holders burnt PPC for $Based brains + team launched Kekspace & the team burnt 6.9 trillion tokens (5.5mil) in Dec 2024.
This ATH run will be wild!
Other tokens are cute. $PONKE is built different.
If you want to see it on the back of an F1 car, you know what to do. @ponkesol
📲 Kraken app. Start trading. https://t.co/cC9RXt7RzQ